Crude Oil Swing Trade
13 responses | 0 likes
Started by mikempt - Aug. 22, 2018, 6:19 p.m.

I bought Oct 19th (USO) 14 calls for $.60 cents on the breakout today. Looking for a 50% return!!

Comments
By silverspiker - Aug. 23, 2018, 12:34 a.m.
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Looks like all the boxes are checked off to swing at the fences there Mike ! ☺

Texas Exports More Oil Than It Imports For First Time Ever

By metmike - Aug. 24, 2018, 11:05 a.m.
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Crude held key short term support!!! Bull flag? Breaking out to the upside? Triple top??


Crude 3 month chart

                   


Crude1year chart below


                   


Crude 5 year chart below

                   


Crude10 year chart below

               

                   
By metmike - Aug. 24, 2018, 11:06 a.m.
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Crude prices historically still strong this time of year...........actually, I stated that a month ago.

We are now into the time frame of a seasonal top!


http://charts.equityclock.com/seasonal_charts/futures/FUTURE_CL1.PNG

By metmike - Aug. 24, 2018, 11:08 a.m.
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Unleaded Gasoline Price Charts(not as strong as crude or heating oil): Uptrend on longer term price chart......bull flag short term(or top?)  

3 month                 

                   


1 Year                

                   


5 year........are we headed back to the highs?

                   


10 Year                

                   
By metmike - Aug. 24, 2018, 11:09 a.m.
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Here are the gas prices at the pump.

The National Gas Price Heat Map from GasBuddy:

https://www.gasbuddy.com/GasPriceMap?z=4




By metmike - Aug. 24, 2018, 11:10 a.m.
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Weekly US ending stocks of crude oil. Peaked in March 2017 and have been falling sharply since then. Now still close to the lowest in 3.5 years:

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCRSTUS1&f=W

          



         

Weekly ending stocks for unleaded gasoline. Barely peaked in Feb 2017 but have not dropped much...........similar this month to July 2017...still fairly high:

https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WGTSTUS1&f=W

                                    


                                             

             

Weekly US ending stocks for distillate fuel oil(heating oil-especially used in the Northeast). Peaked in Feb 2017 and had PLUNGED to the lowest in 4 years and almost the lowest in 10 years.

However, distillate stocks have increased a great deal recently(the last 2 months)!


https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WDISTUS1&f=W

                                    


By silverspiker - Aug. 31, 2018, 12:35 p.m.
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Stay The Course My Good Man !!!... especially next Wednesday thru Thursday (looking for upside objective ?!?!?!?)

  .... measures 75 for 1-st stop if it starts spikin'

By silverspiker - Aug. 31, 2018, 12:38 p.m.
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ooops... forgot the chart... EVERYBODY STAY COOL !!!   


By silverspiker - Sept. 4, 2018, 11:26 a.m.
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Hi plumber dude....

Crude traded up to 71.40 this session , just praying that you're still in it to win it.

This trade was definitely the best trade of the time frame and still will continue to be IMHO

By tjc - Sept. 4, 2018, 11:31 a.m.
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  Opposite view point here.

  Huge reversal taking place.

  Short at 7044.  Risk is new high

Probably good for 200-300 point drop this week

By cutworm - Sept. 4, 2018, 5:09 p.m.
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Nice open tjc. a reversal at a resistance point. Hope mike and silver have stops in positive territory.

By metmike - Sept. 4, 2018, 5:33 p.m.
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The seasonal top for the liquid energies is in this current time frame into October.  We could have  triple top in the crude market. 

By silverspiker - Sept. 4, 2018, 8:43 p.m.
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good trade tjc.... it is weak this evening too... just prayin' plumber dude got paid.... all I know is underlying futures 

market NOT the "ETF"... good trades to all....