Crop condition report:

https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog3918.txt

Nothing exciting at this time of year, however corn and bean condition went up 1% in the excellent category. 

Harvest has been faster than average because the crop was planted in timely fashion and matured faster than average with the heat in the first half of the Summer. 

However, harvest will really start slowing down now with the next 2 weeks looking pretty wet in most of the Cornbelt.

Pretty good progress on Winter wheat planting except for Montana, that really needs their crop planted soon to get established............but the weather will be horrible for that, so it looks like alot of HRW in MT will not get planted this year. 

Export inspections. Pretty good for corn, ok for beans/wheat:

https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/wa_gr101.txt

Soybeans 10 year charts below.

New low for SX last week at 812.25 but we've bounced back! Did we make an early season low? Very volatile right now.

In August the USDA fed the market one of the most bearish crop reports ever.  2019 to have the highest stocks in  history!

Outstanding August weather has increased the crop size even more.

 Harvest pressure and negative seasonals are typical right now BUT wet weather has offset much of that bearishness.   Tariff news is an extreme wild card........as we saw last Tuesday.

These are still at close to 10 year lows and over $2.10 below the  $10.60  late May highs.

Soybeans: Wider perspective: Currently at 10 year lows !!!!!

Charts November contract.

Soybeans 3 months below......bottom in??? 

Soybeans 1 year chart below   

Soybeans 5 years below

Soybeans10years-Wow, look at that high from the drought of 2012...and demand, Currently, we are still just below the 10 year lows!

Corn 10 year charts

CZ  made new lows last week at 342.5 but has bounced back.  Now 18c off the lows but 58c off the late May highs. Weather is not so good for harvest. More wet weather ahead.  Charts below are for the front month. Are the lows in now? Sure looks like it.

Corn historical perspective:

Who remembers $8 corn not so long(5 years) ago   

3 month below December  contract

1 year below

5 year below                                      10 year below

Corn broke and closed above the downtrend line going back to May. Can it hold ?

It probably depends on keeping the funds from adding to their shorts. 

The excessively wet weather has turned off the harvest pressure and also expectations for upcoming harvest pressure because of one of the wettest Septembers in history. 

Funds have been covering their shorts. 

The test would be if the weather ever turned dry for an extended period and we still can't go lower. 

Grain comments here:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/13877/