Grains Wednesday-South America
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Started by metmike - Oct. 30, 2018, 10:25 p.m.

The weather in South America has been very good the past month and past 3 months.

A bit wet in some locations but not excessively.


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Precip_Monitoring/Figures/global/n.30day.figb.gif

                    


http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Precip_Monitoring/Figures/global/n.90day.figb.gif

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By metmike - Oct. 30, 2018, 10:29 p.m.
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Total rains the next 2 weeks from the latest, 18z operational GFS. Widespread rains....no domes or dry spots. Progressive weather systems, so no excessive rains in the main growing regions for corn and beans:


Image URL: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/18/samer/precip_ptot/gfs_samer_384_precip_ptot.gif

   

gfs_samer_384_precip_ptot.gif

By metmike - Oct. 30, 2018, 10:34 p.m.
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Crop calendar for Argentina:

http://www.soybeansandcorn.com/Argentina-Crop-Cycles

November

  • Corn planting finishes in central Argentina.
  • Corn pollination starts in northern Argentina.
  • Soybean planting at full steam.
  • Wheat moving from grain filling to maturity.
  • Sunflowers are flowering.
  • Temperatures now at summertime levels, can have heat waves as well.
  • Summertime rains usually become more abundant.

Global Crop Production Maps by Region

https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/rssiws/al/global_cropprod.aspx

https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/rssiws/al/crop_production_maps/ssa/AR_Delegation/Argentina_soybeans_department_2014_2017.jpg




Crop Calendar for Brazil:

http://www.soybeansandcorn.com/Brazil-Crop-Cycles

November

  • Early November is main soybean planting period in Brazil, full season corn crop should be all planted by now.
  • Earliest planted soybeans may start flowering by end of the month. 
  • Early planted corn begins pollination.
  • Rainfall now more frequent, 3-4 times a week, temperatures remain very hot in central Brazil.

https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/rssiws/al/crop_production_maps/Brazil/Municipality/Brazil_Soybean_prod_2015.jpg

By metmike - Oct. 30, 2018, 10:41 p.m.
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Export inspections on Monday:

https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/wa_gr101.txt

Corn and wheat weak. Pretty good for beans.

By metmike - Oct. 30, 2018, 10:51 p.m.
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Crop progress report. Nothing unusual.

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/current/CropProg/CropProg-10-29-2018.txt

Corn at the average of 63% done.

Beans a bit behind at 72% vs 81% average.


Winter wheat 78% planted behind the 85% average. KS behind by 13% and MO behind by 7%. Emerged at 63% vs 67% average.

This upcoming very wet weather pattern will make it challenging  to get the remaining Winter wheat planted in the Eastern Winter Wheat belt in timely fashion. However, the weather models actually don't look as wet as they did a few days ago. 

Rain the next 2 weeks. 

Forecast Hour:  384
Image URL: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/18/namer/precip_ptot/gfs_namer_384_precip_ptot.gif

   

gfs_namer_384_precip_ptot.gif


By mcfarm - Oct. 31, 2018, 6:34 a.m.
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great report Mike...thanks for all your input here. Not good news for US producers but we do deal in realsville here, not feel good news

By metmike - Oct. 31, 2018, 12:20 p.m.
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YW mcfarm!

Precip for the next 2 weeks in South America:

Northeast Argentina getting a bit dry....just something to watch.



By metmike - Oct. 31, 2018, 12:22 p.m.
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South America Temps:



By bcb - Oct. 31, 2018, 5:24 p.m.
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Yes TY Mike for the imput.

Just got back from Greece and trying to catch up with market moving news.

By metmike - Oct. 31, 2018, 6:16 p.m.
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Welcome back bcb!