INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - Nov. 28, 2018, 4:38 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Thursday, November 29, 2018  



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims



                       Jobless Claims (expected 220K; previous 224K)



                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +3K)



                       Continuing Claims (previous 1668000)



                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -2K)



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales



                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 882.4K)



                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 684.4K)



                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 330.4K)



8:30 AM ET. October Personal Income & Outlays



                       Personal Income, M/M% (expected +0.4%; previous +0.2%)



                       Consumer Spending, M/M% (expected +0.4%; previous +0.4%)



                       PCE Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.1%)



                       PCE Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +2.0%)



                       PCE Core Price Idx, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous +0.2%)



                       PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y% (expected +1.9%; previous +2.0%)



9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index



10:00 AM ET. October Metropolitan Area Employment & Unemployment



10:00 AM ET. October Pending Home Sales Index



                       Pending Home Sales (previous 104.6)



                       Pending Home Sales Idx, M/M% (expected +0.3%; previous +0.5%)



                       Pending Home Sales Idx , Y/Y% (previous -1.0%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report



                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 3113B)



                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous -134B)

                       

2:00 PM ET. SEC Closed Meeting



2:00 PM ET. Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes published



3:00 PM ET. November Agricultural Prices



                       Farm Prices, M/M% (previous -1.5%)



4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures





Friday, November 30, 2018  



9:45 AM ET. November ISM-Chicago Business Survey - Chicago PMI



                       PMI-Adj (expected 58.0; previous 58.4)



Monday, December 3, 2018 



9:45 AM ET. November US Manufacturing PMI



                       PMI, Mfg (previous 55.7)



10:00 AM ET. October Construction Spending - Construction Put in Place



                       New Construction (previous +0.0%)



                       Residential Construction



10:00 AM ET. November ISM Manufacturing Report on Business



                       Manufacturing PMI (previous 57.7)



                       Prices Idx (previous 71.6)



                       Employment Idx (previous 56.8)



                       Inventories (previous 50.7)



                       New Orders Idx (previous 57.4)



                       Production Idx (previous 59.9)



11:00 AM ET. November Global Manufacturing PMI



                       PMI, Mfg (previous 52.1)



4:00 AM ET. November Domestic Auto Industry Sales



                       Auto Sales Annualized (previous 17.57M)


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes ""



The December NASDAQ 100 closed sharply higher on Wednesday and above the 20-day moving average crossing at 6834.38 confirming that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off November's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 7107.44 is the next upside target. If December renews the decline off November's high, February's low crossing at 6385.25 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 6934.50. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 7107.44. First support is November's low crossing at 6449.50. Second support is February's low crossing at 6385.25. 



The December S&P 500 closed higher on Wednesday and above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2719.51 confirming that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off November's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 2784.44 is the next upside target. If December renews the decline off November's high, April's low crossing at 2583.60 is the next downside target. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 2748.00. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2784.44. First support is the 87% retracement level of the April-September-rally crossing at 2628.96. Second support is April's low crossing at 2583.60. 



The Dow gapped up and closed sharply higher on Wednesday leaving a five-day island bottom on the daily chart. Today's close above the 20-day moving average crossing at 25,229.98 confirming that a short-term low has been posted. Today's high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends today's rally, the 50-day moving average crossing at 25,612.52 is the next upside target. Closes below today's low crossing at 24,750.73 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 25,612.52. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 26,277.82. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 24,268.74. Second support is October's low crossing at 24,122.23.



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



December T-bonds closed down 8-points at 139-21.



December T-bonds closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off November's low, the 50% retracement level of the August-October-decline crossing at 140-28 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 138-23 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the August-October-decline crossing at 139-27. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the August-October-decline crossing at 140-28. First support is November's low crossing at 136-24. Second support is October's low crossing at 136-16.         



December T-notes closed up 5-points at 119-085.



December T-notes closed higher on Wednesday as it extended the rally off November's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off November's low, the 75% retracement level of the August-October-decline crossing at 119.266 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 118.156 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the August-October-decline crossing at 119.130. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the August-October-decline crossing at 119.266. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 118.216. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 118.156.         



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



January crude oil closed lower on Wednesday and is poised to renew the decline off October's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If January extends the decline off October's high, the June-2017 low crossing at 46.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 57.67 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 54.00. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 57.67.First support is the 87% retracement level of the 2017-2018-rally crossing at 49.96. Second support is the June-2017 low crossing at 46.00. 



January heating oil closed lower on Wednesday as it extended the decline off October's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If January extends the decline off October's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2017-2018-rally crossing at 173.08 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 207.14 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 197.56. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 207.14. First support is today's low crossing at 183.15. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2017-2018-rally crossing at 173.08.



January unleaded gas closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If January extends the decline off October's high, the June-2017 low crossing at 129.88 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 164.77 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 147.84. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 156.55. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 136.85. Second support is the June-2017 low crossing at 129.88.



January Henry natural gas closed sharply higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off September's low, the 25% retracement level of the 2008-2016-decline crossing at 5.204 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.004 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is November's high crossing at 4.929. Second resistance is the 25% retracement level of the 2008-2016-decline crossing at 5.204. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.004. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.572.     



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The December Dollar closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December renews the decline off November's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 95.77 is the next downside target.If December renews the rally off September's low, weekly resistance crossing at 97.83 is the next upside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at 97.53. Second resistance isweekly resistance crossing at 97.83. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 95.77. Second support is October's low crossing at 94.47.     



The December Euro closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December renews the rally off November's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 115.20 is the next upside target.If December renews the decline off September's high, the 87% retracement level of the 2016-2018-rally crossing at 113.54 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 115.20. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 115.46. First support is November's low crossing at 112.46. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2016-2018-rally crossing at 111.16.    



The December British Pound closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off November's high, the 87% retracement level of the 2017-2018-rally crossing at 1.2632 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3023 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2922. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3023. First support is October's low crossing at 1.2722. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2017-2018-rally crossing at 1.2632. 



The December Swiss Franc closed sharply higher on Wednesday.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends today's rally, the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0124 is the next upside target. If December resumes the decline off September's high, weekly support crossing at 0.9833 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 1.0114. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0124. First support is November's low crossing at 0.9902. Second support is weekly support crossing at 0.9833. 



The December Canadian Dollar closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off October's high, the May-2017 low crossing at 73.52 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 75.83 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 75.83. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 76.57. First support is today's low crossing at 74.87. Second support is the May-2017 low crossing at 73.52. 



The December Japanese Yen closed higher on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday’s night session begins trading. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0888 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December resumes the decline off October's high, November's low crossing at 0.0877 is the next downside target. First resistance is October's high crossing at 0.0901. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 0.0912. First support is November's low crossing at 0.0877. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2015-2016 rally crossing at 0.0876.



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



February gold closed higher due to weakness in the US Dollar on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December renews the rally off October's low, the 38% retracement level of the April-August-Decline crossing at 1259.00 is the next upside target. Closes below today's low crossing at 1216.80 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is October's high crossing at 1252.00. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the April-August-Decline crossing at 1259.00.First support is November's low crossing at 1202.40. Second support is October's low crossing at 1192.00.



March silver closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Thursday's high crossing at 14.660 would confirm that a low has been posted. If March extends Tuesday's decline, November's low crossing at 13.985 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 14.660. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 15.040. First support is November's low crossing at 13.985. Second support is weekly support crossing at 13.860.        



March copper closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off August's low, the 38% retracement level of the June-August-decline crossing at 289.43 is the next upside target. Closes below Tuesday's low crossing at 272.50 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the June-August-decline crossing at 289.43. Second resistance is the July-5th gap crossing at 295.45. First support is November's low crossing at 266.20. Second support is August's low crossing at 260.00.



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



March Corn closed up 5 1/4-cents at 3.73 3/4. 



March corn closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off November's high, the reaction low crossing at 3.66 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.77 1/4 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 3.83. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 3.90. First support is the reaction low crossing at 3.66 3/4. Second support is September's low crossing at 3.54 3/4.



March wheat closed up 4 3/4-cents at 5.11 1/4. 



March wheat closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.15 1/4 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. If March extends the decline off August's high, the 87% retracement level of the 2017-2018-rally crossing at 5.01 is the next downside target. First resistance the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.26. Second is October's high crossing at 5.46 1/2. First support is November's low crossing at 5.03 1/4. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the 2017-2018-rally crossing at 5.01.   



March Kansas City Wheat closed up 8 3/4-cents at 4.92 1/4. 



March Kansas City wheat closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off October's high, weekly support crossing at 4.53 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.08 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.08. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.27 1/4. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 4.82 1/4. Second support is weekly support crossing at 4.53. 



March Minneapolis wheat closed up 1 1/2-cents at 5.71 1/2. 



March Minneapolis wheat closed higher on Wednesday.The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March renews the decline off October's high, July's low crossing at 5.59 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.78 1/2 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.78 1/2. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.89 1/4. First support is November's low crossing at 5.69 1/4. Second support is July's low crossing at 5.59.   



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



January soybeans closed up 15 1/4-cents at 8.90 3/4.



January soybeans closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January resumes the rally off September's low, the 38% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 9.15 3/4 is the next upside target. If January extends Monday's decline, October's low crossing at 8.44 1/2 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 917. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 9.45 1/4. First support is Monday's low crossing at 8.57. Second support is November's low crossing at 8.44 1/2.  



March soybean meal closed up $3.30 at 313.30. 



March soybean meal closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher possible near-term. Closes below September's low crossing at 301.60 would confirm a downside breakout of the September-October trading range. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 312.80 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is October's high crossing at 327.40. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the May-September-decline crossing at 330.30. First support is November's low crossing at 305.30. Second support is September's low crossing at 303.40. 



March soybean oil closed up 58 pts. at 28.23. 



March soybean oil closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 28.19 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March extends the decline off October's high, weekly support crossing at 26.88 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 28.19. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 28.94. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 27.42. Second support is weekly support crossing at 26.88.  

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



February hogs closed down $0.55 at $64.50. 



February hogs closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 64.16 confirms that a short-term top has been posted. If February renews the rally off October's low, weekly resistance crossing at 72.88 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 69.50. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 72.88. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 64.16. Second support is November's low crossing at 59.25.    



February cattle closed down $0.05 at 120.55. 



February cattle closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 121.35 would renew the rally off November's low. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 120.06 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 121.35. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 123.90. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 120.06. Second support is November's crossing at 116.67.   

 

January Feeder cattle closed down $0.73 at $147.70. 



January Feeder cattle closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 147.44 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If January renews the rally off November's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 150.43 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 150.43. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 152.43. First support is the reaction low crossing at 145.57. Second support is November's low crossing at 142.67. 



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



March coffee closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.63 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March extends the decline off October's high, the reaction low crossing at 10.45 is the next downside target.            



March cocoa closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off November's high, the reaction low crossing at 20.94 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 22.34 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.    



March sugar closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.81 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March extends the decline off October's high, the reaction low crossing at 11.91 is the next downside target.  



March cotton closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 79.39 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March resumes decline off November's high, October's low crossing at 76.50 is the next downside target.   

Comments
By metmike - Nov. 28, 2018, 11:23 p.m.
Like Reply

Thanks tallpine!

By cutworm - Nov. 29, 2018, 6:33 a.m.
Like Reply

Thanks Tallpine !