Saturday rain forecast.......heavy in the I states eastward
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Started by metmike - May 12, 2018, 8:41 p.m.

If not for the fact that most of the corn is now planted in these locations, this would be quite bullish. Clearly this still is too much rain in the areas that get 3+ inches and ponding water on newly emerged corn is bad if it sticks around for a couple of days or repeats. However, the markets crash lower on Friday, says that it was trading "Rain makes Grain mentality"


Heaviest rains the next week will be from S.IA to N.IL, N/C IN/OH to Mikempt's house (-:

First link is the NWS QPF page. Quantitative Precipitation Forecast. 

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day1-7.shtml

2nd link is the 7 day total rainfall map, also copied below.

 http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1526170524


http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1526170524

3rd link/map is the areas of potentially excessive rains the next  days:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml


Excessive Rainfall Forecasts

   

Current Day 1 ForecastCurrent Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Valid 15Z 05/12/18 - 12Z 05/13/18

 


Current Day 2 ForecastCurrent Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Valid 12Z 05/13/18 - 12Z 05/14/18

 

Current Day 3 ForecastCurrent Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Comments
By metmike - May 12, 2018, 8:52 p.m.
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Corn that stays in saturated soils will not extend its root system outward. .......no need to go anywhere in search of moisture. 

If we dry out by the end of May, things are ok.........as long as rains don't completely shut down in June.   The longer the soils stay saturated, the longer there is retardation of root development. 

Down the road,  less extensive roots mean the plant can't access as much moisture, deeper into the subsoil moisture, if needed when/if we turn hot/dry.

Regardless of whether it never turns dry this growing season, the more expansive the corn roots are, the more nutrients/minerals/fertilizer they have access to for nourishing the plant during the growing season.

Also, excessive rains will wash out alot of the nitrogen fertilizer that was applied previously. 

The old saying "plant in the dust and the bins will bust" comes to mind.........but only if  the early dust is not from a developing drought and is followed , instead by timely rains.

By metmike - May 12, 2018, 8:54 p.m.
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By Jim_M - May 13, 2018, 1:07 p.m.
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Here in NE Ohio we got some rain, but it wasn't quite the fire and brimstone stuff they were warning us about.  Cleveland might have got hit harder, but I would call what we got here in Akron nothing more than a decent shower.  There were farmers still working fields this weekend.

By metmike - May 13, 2018, 3:21 p.m.
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Yeah, the rains have been much less than predicted so far.