Next 7 days of rain. Tons of it.
Rains his month have been OVER forecast by every model, for everytime frame and by every forecaster...........including me:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/fill_94qwbg.gif?1526306199054
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day2.shtml
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/day3.shtml
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/95ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep48iwbg_fill.gif?1526306162
Total accumulation
The NWS JUST updated their monthly forecast for June:
Very warm to hot(SW to S.Plains) with equal chances of above/below rains.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/
June 2018 | ||||||||
[UPDATED MONTHLY FORECASTS SERVICE CHANGE NOTICE] [EXPERIMENTAL TWO-CLASS SEASONAL FORECASTS] | ||||||||
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Extreme weather(hazards) risks. This will be updated in the early afternoon:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7_contours.png
Excessive rain outlook for the next 3 days. Rains his month have been OVER forecast by every model, for everytime frame and by every forecaster...........including me:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Current Day 1 Forecast Valid 12Z 05/17/18 - 12Z 05/18/18 |
Day 1 Threat Area in Text Format
Day 2 and Day 3 Forecasts |
Current Day 2 Forecast Valid 12Z 05/18/18 - 12Z 05/19/18 |
Day 2 Threat Area in Text Format
Current Day 3 Forecast |
... much obliged Mike !
Latest GFS just has too much rain to be bullish and rain makes grain right now:
2 week rain totals:
Forecast Hour: 384
Image URL: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/12/namer/precip_ptot/gfs_namer_384_precip_ptot.gif