economy 10 yr cycle
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Started by bear - May 18, 2018, 7:47 p.m.

except for the recession in 09,  recessions have normally hit in the 1st couple years of each decade....

2001, 91, 81, 71, etc.  ,  by this pattern our next recession should hit (or bottom) around 2021 , give or take a year.

(so somewhere in the 2020-2022 timeframe).   

so that  means we should get an inverted yield curve around 2019-2020.  so maybe long rates will top out in the next year or so then drop quickly.  

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