Crop conditions/ratings Monday afternoon
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Started by metmike - Aug. 19, 2019, 1:04 p.m.

metmike: I was thinking before that they might drop a bit but am not so sure anymore.

Karen Braun@kannbwx

#Corn ears from all 8 #CropWatch19 fields (and most vs last year). Rain (in most locations) & mild temps boosted yield potential to 3.0/5 from 2.91 last week. Increases in Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota & Nebraska offset declines in Indiana & Ohio. That means avg yields expected.

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·The rest of the #CropWatch19 #corn this weekend. Conditions went up to 3.38/5 from 3.28 last week. Increases and declines in similar states as yield. Definitely can see the maturity difference from a year ago.

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By metmike - Aug. 19, 2019, 4:36 p.m.
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Crop ratings for both corn and beans dropped 1%.

For corn 1% increase in poor and beans 1% increase in very poor. 


Cotton condition plunged 7%!   Mostly TX which saw the p/vp increase 7% because of hot/dry conditions in the panhandle which has had almost no rain the past 2 months.

https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog3419.txt


By metmike - Aug. 19, 2019, 6:44 p.m.
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By wglassfo - Aug. 20, 2019, 8:35 a.m.
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It would seem the bean crop needs a long frost free period to develop mature pods

Corn still behind in maturity

This crop will be decided on 1st killing frost

IMHO

By bcb - Aug. 20, 2019, 9 a.m.
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IMHO condition report says corn crop is done. We also have 4.5 mil acres still need to get to silking. My God man its Aug. 20th NOT July 20th. Let's see if PFT gives some clarification that we are not a 169.5 yield crop. BUT again we also won't run out of corn.

Fill the gap tech boys 

By metmike - Aug. 20, 2019, 12:59 p.m.
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Great to read/hear from you bcb!!

It will take an early freeze to do a great deal of damage.

The weather pattern is turning much cooler but not cold enough yet....too early.


EDIT: After viewing the colder 12z guidance, I will have to say that there is a chance for temps to get cold enough for some frost in the Plains to very far Upper Midwest in 10 days, which would be at the very end of August.

Cool temps on the corn will also slow down maturity(good for filling though).


                Damaging Midwest Freezes the last 50 years            

            

                Started by metmike - Aug. 7, 2019, 5:33 p.m.            

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/36333/


By metmike - Aug. 20, 2019, 1:44 p.m.
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Look at the graph on page 28 of this article. It shows a strong correlation between late planting and low pod count.

Planting Date Effect on Pod Number Plant


https://www.agry.purdue.edu/ext/soybean/Arrivals/10SoyDevt.pdf

By metmike - Aug. 20, 2019, 3:45 p.m.
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Craig Solberg@CraigSolberg

Maturation rates were sure a lot different though back in 1993...SO much slower than this year

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By metmike - Aug. 20, 2019, 5:27 p.m.
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After viewing the colder 12z guidance, I will have to say that there is a chance for temps to get cold enough for some frost in the Plains to very far Upper Midwest in 10 days, which would be at the very end of August.