Cotton-drought
4 responses | 0 likes
Started by metmike - Sept. 12, 2019, 4:19 p.m.

  

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/38700/

              Re: Re: Upcoming USDA report            

                            By metmike - Sept. 12, 2019, 4:16 p.m.            

         

Larry,

The crop report showed a cut of 3% vs the August report but that had to be expected considering the massive drop in crop conditions.

https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/crop0919.txt


I was actually thinking that it was the deteriorating crop condition which was responsible. This had to be expected but the updated drought monitor that is updated early Thursday increased the drought in the south, especially in TX, which as you know grows over 1/3rd of the crop.

I will start a cotton thread on this.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

                Crop conditions September 9, 2019            

                          Started by metmike - Sept. 9, 2019, 4:28 p.m.            

           https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/38636/                             

Corn rating in gd/ex dropped 3%.

Beans unch  gd/ex(-1% poor, +1% exc so they actually improved but just shifted around)

Cotton rating plunged another 5%!

https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog3719.txt

                    


Comments
By metmike - Sept. 12, 2019, 4:19 p.m.
Like Reply

Texas produces 38% of the cotton crop and most of that is grown in the panhandle, so the weather there is huge.

Georgia is 2nd , producing less than half of what TX does but is very important.


https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/rssiws/al/crop_production_maps/us/USA_Cotton_Total_Lev2_Prod_2012_2017.jpg

                                    


            

                

By metmike - Sept. 12, 2019, 4:21 p.m.
Like Reply


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml#

                            

Daily Soil Moisture Pecentile       

        Daily Anomaly Soil Moisture (mm)

        

Monthly Soil Moisture Change



       

By metmike - Sept. 12, 2019, 4:24 p.m.
Like Reply

Latest: The first map below is the latest. The 2nd one is from last week.

In july/August/Sept, it's typical to see some increase in drought because of heat  being a factor in evaporation, seasonally exceeding low rainfall during this month.

TOP MAP SHOWS DROUGHT INCREASED A BIT IN THE LAST WEEK in the central Cornbelt. Not unusual for early September.

TX and cotton have the worst drought. That increased quite a bit in the last week.

The map below is updated on Thursdays.


https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/


                                                                                      

                             


                                   

Drought Monitor for conus

                                                                                             

                                        

Drought Monitor for conus

      

                                    


            

                

                

By metmike - Sept. 13, 2019, 7:24 p.m.
Like Reply

None to very little rain for cotton land in the next week in the drought areas, so crop ratings should continue to drop:

7 Day Total precipitation below:

https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1566925971


https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1566925971