Weather
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Started by metmike - May 24, 2018, 9:43 a.m.

Rains too skinny in the Eastern Cornbelt the next week, especially with temps warming up and in many places, like mcfarm's where its been dry recently. 


However, there is a lot of rain in other places, so the forecast for the next week is barely bullish. 

Week 2 is barely bullish too and depends on the model or location. The European model is bearish.

The GFS has a dome late in the period. 

7 day rain totals:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1527168627


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Re: Weather
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By Jim_M - May 24, 2018, 10:32 a.m.
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My sister was in Florida for a couple days.  They were getting so much rain, the pool at the house she was staying at was overflowing.  She came home early.  

Re: Re: Weather
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By metmike - May 24, 2018, 2:25 p.m.
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The GFS was not all that bearish compared to yesterdays solution but it no longer has a dome that has been on some solutions recently. This is the total 2 week rain forecast...........which is a pile of doo doo, and has been wrong and too wet for 6 weeks:


gfs_namer_384_precip_ptot.gif


The main feature to consider on this last 12Z GFS run is the location of the heat ridge..............waaay far south, with a decent jet stream over the Midwest. No threats to the main growing areas. 


This is the 360 hour solution:

      

gfs_namer_360_200_wnd_ht_s.gif         gfs_namer_360_500_vort_ht
      gfs_namer_360_500_vort_ht_s.gif   
      gfs_namer_360_1000_500_thick
      gfs_namer_360_1000_500_thick_s.gif   
      gfs_namer_360_850_temp_ht
      gfs_namer_360_850_temp_ht_s.gif