USDA weekly crop report October 7, 2019
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Started by metmike - Oct. 7, 2019, 5:23 p.m.

https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog4119.txt


Soybean condition dropped 2% in the gd/ex for national ranking. Unusual for this late in the year.

NC plunged from the drought, +8% in the p/vp there.

Also SD dropped, +4% p/vp there, which was strange. Can't explain that one.

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By metmike - Oct. 7, 2019, 5:43 p.m.
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U.S. Crop Progress, Oct. 6#Corn is 58% mature and 15% harvested, 72% of #soybeans are dropping leaves and 14% are harvested. Spring #wheat harvest barely moved the needle. Winter wheat planting/emergence mostly on schedule. #harvest19

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By metmike - Oct. 7, 2019, 5:45 p.m.
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At 58%, this year's U.S. #corn crop is the slowest-maturing on record as of Oct. 6. In the past week, 2019 slid behind 2009, which was 62% mature on the same date. Last week they were both tied at 43%.

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Some 58% of the U.S. #corn crop was mature on Oct. 6, the slowest-maturing crop on record. Here are the departures from the 5yr average by state. North Dakota is the furthest off course with only 22% of the corn mature. Eight other major states are more than 30 pts below avg.

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Here's the state-by-state #corn maturity comparison on October 6 with 2009, simply because 2009 was the previous record-slow maturing year. Growing season was not the same! North Dakota was also gravely behind in 2009, but Illinois, Missouri, and Nebraska are faster in 2019.

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Some 72% of U.S. #soybeans were dropping leaves on Oct. 6, which is the final stage before maturity. That is behind the average of 87%. North Dakota was actually not too far off the avg, but only 8% were harvested there as of Sunday, and avg is 48%.

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By metmike - Oct. 7, 2019, 5:54 p.m.
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Soybeans drop leaves/harvested nationally on Oct 6 Drop Leaves (since 1990)
 2019  72% 
1993  74% 
1990  74% 
1996  75% 
2009  82% 
1992  83% 
2008  84% 
1995  85% 
2011  86% 


Harvested (since 1984)
 2019  14% 
1986  15% 
1985  15% 
2009  17% 
1996  17%
 1993  18% 
2014  23% 
1990  25% 
1984  27%


Corn mature/harvested nationally on Oct 6 Mature (since 1990)

 2019  58% 

2009  62% 

1993  68% 

1992  71%

2008  75% 

1996  80% 

1997  83% 

1990  85%

 1995  94% 


Harvested (since 1987) 

2009  11%

 1992  12%

 1993  13%

 1996  14% 

2019  15% 

2008  15%

 1997  17%

 2014  18%

 2017  21%

2013  21%

By metmike - Oct. 7, 2019, 5:54 p.m.
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Soybeans drop leaves/harvested nationally on Oct 6 Drop Leaves (since 1990)
 2019  72% 
1993  74% 
1990  74% 
1996  75% 
2009  82% 
1992  83% 
2008  84% 
1995  85% 
2011  86% 


Harvested (since 1984)
 2019  14% 
1986  15% 
1985  15% 
2009  17% 
1996  17%
 1993  18% 
2014  23% 
1990  25% 
1984  27%


Corn mature/harvested nationally on Oct 6 Mature (since 1990)

 2019  58% 

2009  62% 

1993  68% 

1992  71%

2008  75% 

1996  80% 

1997  83% 

1990  85%

 1995  94% 


Harvested (since 1987) 

2009  11%

 1992  12%

 1993  13%

 1996  14% 

2019  15% 

2008  15%

 1997  17%

 2014  18%

 2017  21%

2013  21%

By mcfarm - Oct. 7, 2019, 7:58 p.m.
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58% mature....even if the blizzard does not play out that number is ominous

By wglassfo - Oct. 7, 2019, 10:31 p.m.
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Question MM

This snow and possible frost/low temps has a lot of folks real worried

We will be okay as we are all black layered, but the numbers in that last report showed where the late corn is and there is a lot of it not black layered, according to the report

So far CBOT/CME [what ever] seems to think it will be a non event

Folks are more worried about snow on beans, hoping corn will take some snow

Any idea how much snow, rain ,sleet, wind will happen and where

Some folks are even worried about wind as a lot of corn seems to have a weak stalk this yr. I know our corn has a weak stalk, and any wind will not be very kind to it.

Will this be a market mover or do you think it will be a small production area in the big picture 

We already think USDA over stated last yr production and then this yr might not be enough to massage the numbers

So: If any crop is lost or field loss is high then just one more nick in a small crop of both beans and corn

Also if harvest drags on into winter or next spring then that might mean PP for 2020 as some already have 2020 PP in mind due to water and unable to harvest. Fields ripped up with ruts, compaction with heavy harvest equipment and all kinds of bad things that will affect next yrs crop planting

So: just wondering how much damage this storm might cause already stressed farmers and fields

I see maps but my screen only shows part of the map, and the target seems to be moving according to those I listen to, who are watching