https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog4119.txt
Soybean condition dropped 2% in the gd/ex for national ranking. Unusual for this late in the year.
NC plunged from the drought, +8% in the p/vp there.
Also SD dropped, +4% p/vp there, which was strange. Can't explain that one.
U.S. Crop Progress, Oct. 6#Corn is 58% mature and 15% harvested, 72% of #soybeans are dropping leaves and 14% are harvested. Spring #wheat harvest barely moved the needle. Winter wheat planting/emergence mostly on schedule. #harvest19
At 58%, this year's U.S. #corn crop is the slowest-maturing on record as of Oct. 6. In the past week, 2019 slid behind 2009, which was 62% mature on the same date. Last week they were both tied at 43%.
Some 58% of the U.S. #corn crop was mature on Oct. 6, the slowest-maturing crop on record. Here are the departures from the 5yr average by state. North Dakota is the furthest off course with only 22% of the corn mature. Eight other major states are more than 30 pts below avg.
Here's the state-by-state #corn maturity comparison on October 6 with 2009, simply because 2009 was the previous record-slow maturing year. Growing season was not the same! North Dakota was also gravely behind in 2009, but Illinois, Missouri, and Nebraska are faster in 2019.
Some 72% of U.S. #soybeans were dropping leaves on Oct. 6, which is the final stage before maturity. That is behind the average of 87%. North Dakota was actually not too far off the avg, but only 8% were harvested there as of Sunday, and avg is 48%.
Corn mature/harvested nationally on Oct 6 Mature (since 1990)
2019 58%
2009 62%
1993 68%
1992 71%
2008 75%
1996 80%
1997 83%
1990 85%
1995 94%
Harvested (since 1987)
2009 11%
1992 12%
1993 13%
1996 14%
2019 15%
2008 15%
1997 17%
2014 18%
2017 21%
2013 21%
Corn mature/harvested nationally on Oct 6 Mature (since 1990)
2019 58%
2009 62%
1993 68%
1992 71%
2008 75%
1996 80%
1997 83%
1990 85%
1995 94%
Harvested (since 1987)
2009 11%
1992 12%
1993 13%
1996 14%
2019 15%
2008 15%
1997 17%
2014 18%
2017 21%
2013 21%
58% mature....even if the blizzard does not play out that number is ominous
Question MM
This snow and possible frost/low temps has a lot of folks real worried
We will be okay as we are all black layered, but the numbers in that last report showed where the late corn is and there is a lot of it not black layered, according to the report
So far CBOT/CME [what ever] seems to think it will be a non event
Folks are more worried about snow on beans, hoping corn will take some snow
Any idea how much snow, rain ,sleet, wind will happen and where
Some folks are even worried about wind as a lot of corn seems to have a weak stalk this yr. I know our corn has a weak stalk, and any wind will not be very kind to it.
Will this be a market mover or do you think it will be a small production area in the big picture
We already think USDA over stated last yr production and then this yr might not be enough to massage the numbers
So: If any crop is lost or field loss is high then just one more nick in a small crop of both beans and corn
Also if harvest drags on into winter or next spring then that might mean PP for 2020 as some already have 2020 PP in mind due to water and unable to harvest. Fields ripped up with ruts, compaction with heavy harvest equipment and all kinds of bad things that will affect next yrs crop planting
So: just wondering how much damage this storm might cause already stressed farmers and fields
I see maps but my screen only shows part of the map, and the target seems to be moving according to those I listen to, who are watching