USDA crop condition October 21, 2019
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Started by metmike - Oct. 21, 2019, 4:08 p.m.
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By metmike - Oct. 21, 2019, 4:35 p.m.
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@kannbwx

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As of Sunday, U.S. #corn is 30% harvested.Was 22% last week5yr avg is 47%Trade guess was 34%About tied w/ 2008Ahead of 1992, 1993 and slowest 2009 (18% in '09)#harvest19Image



#Corn harvest notables, Oct. 20 (5yr avg):

 Illinois 36% (70%)

 Indiana 36% (53%) 

Iowa 15% (34%)

 Kansas 62% (73%)

 Michigan 14% (26%) 

Minnesota 11% (35%) 

Missouri 55% (77%)

 Nebraska 30% (35%)

 North Dakota 4% (24%

 Ohio 26% (41%) 

South Dakota 9% (29%) 

Wisconsin 7% (24%)


And NONE of the previously mentioned #corn states are ahead of last year's harvest pace. 

These ones are close:

 Kansas -6 Nebraska -3

 And corn #harvest19 is AHEAD of 2018 in these states: 

CO +3 KY+7 NC +1 PA +9 TN +5 TX +3 (Most important state there is TX w/ 2% of prod)

By metmike - Oct. 21, 2019, 4:41 p.m.
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@kannbwx

  Soybeans were 46% harvested as of Sunday.+20 pts on the week5yr avg 64%Trade guess 42%Last year 51%

Ahead of 1981, 1982, 1984, 1985, 1986 and slowest 2009 (34% in '09)#harvest19


Image


By metmike - Oct. 21, 2019, 5:29 p.m.
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#Harvest19 on #soybeans is AHEAD of 2018 in the following states: 

Arkansas +10 

Iowa +14 

Kansas +10 

Kentucky +12 

Louisiana +4 

Mississippi +6

 Nebraska +8

 N Carolina +13

 Tennessee +11 

Slightly behind in these: Michigan -3 Ohio -1 Wisconsin -2

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By metmike - Oct. 21, 2019, 5:30 p.m.
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#Soybeans harvest notables, Oct. 20 (5yr avg):

 Illinois 52% (68%) 

Indiana 53% (62%)

 Iowa 48% (61%) 

Kansas 32% (41%) 

Michigan 37% (50%) 

Minnesota 42% (81%)

Missouri 26% (41%) 

Nebraska 60% (67%)

 N Dakota 20% (81%)

Ohio 55% (65%)

 S Dakota 33% (76%

)Wisc 32% (55%)

By wglassfo - Oct. 21, 2019, 7:32 p.m.
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I think there is a very good reason why so many important areas of C & B harvest is behind

Snow in norther states

Rain in northern and other states

Wet soil conditions won't support harvest equipment without ruining soil conditions for 2020 crop planting

A lot of corn is still in the 30-35 % moisture range, some even higher. That corn will be very slow to dry down, and some won't be harvested until spring. Some will likely be an insurance claim

One other thing folks have noticed. When drying 30 % corn or higher the test weight is low. Thus the yield is affected

And just to be an ornery crop yr.. More folks are reporting less bu than last yr vs more than last yr.. Not a disaster where harvest is progressing but less over all, seems to be the common comment

I wonder if USDA will make any changes to 2019 C and B yield

If very much stays in the field until spring the harvest loss will be high, especially in beans.  Most elevators won't accept beans over 16%. If you don't have a place to store on farm, then you have to wait, for beans to dry in the field, and the forcast is not very promising. Unless folks get a break with the weather I don't know what will happen to some high moisture beans. We can dry our beans, but our beans were dry. 

Many producers are hoping for good weather, or else they are in a tough spot


And I did go and vote today

There were 5 choices on the ballot or maybe 6. I did not count there were so many

A vote for the local candidate is also a vote for PM

Number of candidates for each party decides who we have for PM

By metmike - Oct. 22, 2019, 11:15 a.m.
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Thanks Wayne!



By metmike - Oct. 22, 2019, 11:16 a.m.
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Craig Solberg@CraigSolberg

National soybean harvest on October 20 (since 1984)

 2009        34%

 1985        35 

1986        40

 1984        41 

2019        46****  

2018        51 

2014        55

 1990        55 

1993        62 

2013        63

 1996        63

 1989        63 

2017        64

By wglassfo - Oct. 22, 2019, 4:37 p.m.
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Tks MM for the update on bean harvest compared to other yrs

I see this is not the latest harvest by far, but give it until Nov when beans simply will not dry and then have a look at how many acres are left to harvest

I would bet good money there will be millions of acres still in the field and very hard, if impossible, to harvest

Lately the rain seems to be the reason for a late harvest and until the weather trend changes it will continue to be beans left standing out in the field

I remember a yr when I did not own a combine

Eventually I harvested in Nov at 23% Now that was a tough yr for me and a lot of the yield was on the ground from pods that had split open and shed the seed. A very good crop gone bad by weather I could not control.

Remember: every plant wants to reproduce itself and beans will split the pod and empty seed on the ground

Just the way it is and this yr is looking to be one to remember for yrs to come by many producers

I think some counties have already or will declare a disaster , due to inability to harvest

Canada still has snow in grain fields not harvested

Just to add insult to injury Kansas and maybe Neb had high winds recently. Knocked a lot of corn down and some producers are reporting cobs falling off the stalk before even having a chance to harvest. Corn wanting to reproduce itself.

Remember susan said crops mostly grow

Well yes they do, but this yr is a yr when growth was slow and harvest is even slower in a large part of the grain belt

It will be interesting to see final production numbers for 2019 crop. How can you estimate crop production when it is still in the field

Having said that some bean growers are using new technology to obtain tremendous yield in the 80-90-100 bu whole field average, while some are just test plots which always yield higher than whole field average

Very interesting to see what kind of yield can be had with new and improved methods