weather
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Started by metmike - May 30, 2018, 9:51 a.m.

Note: The posts here were made on Wednesday and the maps here update everyday.

So if you looking at these posts and its Friday, you are getting Wednesdays weather description but the maps updating ever day to the latest maps, will show Friday's weather...........for instance the (current)national radar below. Alberto is long gone but the post was drawing attention to Alberto on Wednesday.

I'll have to figure out a way to do this so the verbiage lines up with the weather.


I think that just starting fresh with new everything, everyday is best. 


Radar loop. Note the tiny spiraling bands of rain associated with the remnants of Alberto.......in sw Indiana. It's about as expected and moving northeast.....hopeful into mcfarm-land.

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/index_loop.php


Doppler Radar National Mosaic Loop
Go to: Most Recent Image

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Re: weather
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By metmike - May 30, 2018, 9:53 a.m.
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Rain the next 7 days. Lots of it........pressuring grains early this morning:


http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1527688332

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1527688332


Re: Re: weather
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By metmike - May 30, 2018, 9:56 a.m.
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Potential for severe storms the next  3 days. When you have this, there is often a strong jet stream associated with the activity:


http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/

                                          

Current Convective Outlooks
        Current Day 1 Outlook
        1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook             
                Forecaster: Edwards/Smith
Issued: 30/1251Z
Valid: 30/1300Z - 31/1200Z
Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Enhanced Risk        
      
          Current Day 2 Outlook
          0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook               
                Forecaster: Dial
Issued: 30/0600Z
Valid: 31/1200Z - 01/1200Z
Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Slight Risk        
      
          Current Day 3 Outlook
          0600 UTC Day 3 Outlook               
                Forecaster: Dial
Issued: 30/0730Z
Valid: 01/1200Z - 02/1200Z
Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Slight Risk
      
          Current Day 4-8 Outlook
          Day 4-8 Convective Outlook         


By metmike - May 30, 2018, 9:59 a.m.
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Here is the jet stream:

Forecast Hour:  049
Image URL: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/06/namer/200_wnd_ht/gfs_namer_049_200_wnd_ht.gif

   

gfs_namer_049_200_wnd_ht.gif

By Jim_M - May 30, 2018, 10:06 a.m.
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I love the maps.  Thanks for the update Mike.  

By metmike - May 30, 2018, 12:39 p.m.
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Thanks Jim!

My guess on the NWS extended maps later today.


With absolute confidence the heat will be greatest the farther you go west.

There will be an area of below temps, somewhere in the east. How big and far west ?

There will be an area of below rains, especially in the 6-10 day, possible fairly large. Tricky about where to put it.

There will also be an area with below rains in the 8-14 day, highest chances of being dry,  going southwest, entering the rain suppressing influence of the dome. 

The S.Plains will have blistering heat(100+) and no rain


Thinking that tonights 6-10 and 8-14 day could be more bullish again.

By mcfarm - May 30, 2018, 2:09 p.m.
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about what we expected out of alberto, the main moisture is swirling to west side while we are stuck on the east...so far got the side walk wet. big circle of moisture just spinning to the west but we will get none of that. friend got 6/10s out of an ordinary rain cloud in Champaign, ill last nite and alberto is still heading his way with more. This is shaping up to be another big miss for much of this area

By metmike - May 30, 2018, 2:44 p.m.
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Sorry to see you are missing this rain mcfarm. 


Still the chance of one of the many spiraling bands around Alberto could intensify later today and give you .5 or so. 

Am getting just a bit more bullish in the extended at the moment, increasing my heat and decreasing my rain, so lets hope that doesn't happen with you not getting a good rain.

By mcfarm - May 30, 2018, 4:37 p.m.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3V5lQh4Do4&feature=youtu.be&hd=1   here is a bam-x video that seems was much more accurate amounts and locations of rain

By metmike - May 31, 2018, 1:50 p.m.
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Thanks mcfarm,

Sorry your missing the rains your south.