Weather Friday-Welcome to June Forumites!
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Started by metmike - June 1, 2018, 10:28 a.m.

Friday morning radar fairly quiet but things will pick up:

https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/index_loop.php


Time of images: 1228 UTC 06/01/2018
through 1338 UTC 06/01/2018

Doppler Radar National Mosaic Loop

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By metmike - June 1, 2018, 10:36 a.m.
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By metmike - June 1, 2018, 10:39 a.m.
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6-10/8-14 day will be hot and dry again:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/index.php

Temperature Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
 Precipitation Probability

  6 to 10 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability  
 
emperature Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
 Precipitation Probability

  8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
By metmike - June 1, 2018, 10:41 a.m.
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If this hot/dry weather does happen, the area of drought will likely expand northeast.

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

The map below is the latest drought monitor. The one below that was from 3 months ago.......early March.

Drought Monitor for conus

Drought Monitor for conus        

By metmike - June 1, 2018, 10:49 a.m.
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Severe Storm risk the next 8 days:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/

                                                  

Current Convective Outlooks
        Current Day 1 Outlook
        1300 UTC Day 1 Outlook             
                Forecaster: Edwards/Smith
Issued: 01/1259Z
Valid: 01/1300Z - 02/1200Z
Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Enhanced Risk        
      
          Current Day 2 Outlook
          0600 UTC Day 2 Outlook               
                Forecaster: Picca
Issued: 01/0544Z
Valid: 02/1200Z - 03/1200Z
Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Slight Risk        
      
          Current Day 3 Outlook
          0600 UTC Day 3 Outlook               
                Forecaster: Picca
Issued: 01/0729Z
Valid: 03/1200Z - 04/1200Z
Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Marginal Risk
      
          Current Day 4-8 Outlook
          Day 4-8 Convective Outlook                 
                Forecaster: Picca
Issued: 01/0830Z
Valid: 04/1200Z - 08/1200Z
          Note: A severe weather area          depicted in the Day 4-8 period          indicates a 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms          (e.g. a 15%, 30% chance that a severe 
By metmike - June 1, 2018, 10:51 a.m.
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Excessive rain threat  the next couple of days:

 

Current Day 1 ForecastCurrent Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Valid 15Z 06/01/18 - 12Z 06/02/18

 

Day 1 Threat Area in Text Format  


  Day 2 and Day 3 Forecasts 
Current Day 2 ForecastCurrent Day 2 Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Valid 12Z 06/02/18 - 12Z 06/03/18

 

Day 2 Threat Area in Text Format 

 

Current Day 3 ForecastCurrent Day 3 Excessive Rainfall Forecast
Valid 12Z 06/03/18 - 12Z 06/04/18
By metmike - June 1, 2018, 11:14 a.m.
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You can go to this link to see rain totals from recent time periods:

https://water.weather.gov/precip/

Go to precipitation, then scroll down to pick a time frame. Hit states to get the borders to see locations better. Under products, you can hit %normal. 


Lots of dry pockets


By Jim_M - June 1, 2018, noon
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I think it is safe to see that with the rain potential over the next couple days, it's going to be another week or 3 before we see much, if any drop in crop ratings.  

We are supposed to get some rain this afternoon, we shall see.  It's missed us here in Akron all week.  

By metmike - June 1, 2018, 1:21 p.m.
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Thanks Jim,

Rains have underperformed models and forecast the past 2 months.


Much of the guidance turns it very warm(hot west) and dry in week 2................but the just out, 12z Canadian model still has rains coming early in week 2 with a powerful cold front surging south from Canada and a wet southern stream aimed at the Plains/WCB/SW belt from an upper low out west.


If this would verify, and get as far south as TX, cotton would be limit down for a couple of days.

Cotton prices have been soaring along with widespread 100+ heat in cotton country/TX

Images created on Fri 01 Jun at 16:57Z

By metmike - June 1, 2018, 1:24 p.m.
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Here's that intense heat in W.TX.  Some places approaching 110 degrees!


http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/DAY5_MAX_filled.gif

Day 5 Maximum Temperatures
Day 5
[Contours Only]


By mcfarm - June 1, 2018, 1:29 p.m.
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yes Mike ,ripped to the bone. 2.10th one day and road got wet another. Kicker was when the front came thru it took down 4 trees in brothers yard which took 5 hours to clean all to watch the rain disappear again

By WxFollower - June 1, 2018, 4:42 p.m.
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 Back to 1950, May of 2018 came in with the highest nationally averaged cooling degree days as well as lowest nationally averaged heating degree days on record for any May. The only cooler than normal were in S FL and the Southern Calif. coast.