Exports November 18, 2019
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Started by metmike - Nov. 18, 2019, 12:32 p.m.

Corn and wheat ok/not too bad, beans continue huge. 


SA weather bearish for the grains.......lots of rain.


https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/wa_gr101.txt

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By metmike - Nov. 18, 2019, 8:21 p.m.
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Inspections were in line with expectations last week, a little above for #soybeans. Some 914k tonnes of those beans were for #China (might be largest post-trade war weekly total?). #Corn inspections were the strongest for any week so far in 2019/20. #Wheat ttl ahead of last year.

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By metmike - Nov. 18, 2019, 8:30 p.m.
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@kannbwx

·

Here's the chart showing weekly #corn inspections versus the previous four years. Data is through Nov. 14 for 2019/20.

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To be fair, #corn inspections were extremely strong this time last year, so -58% YOY might be over-dramatizing this year's poor export demand. Inspections are down around 25% from the same point in 2017 (6.64 mmt as of Nov. 15, 2017).

By metmike - Nov. 18, 2019, 8:31 p.m.
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Nov. 18: CBOT December #corn futures fell 3.5 cents/bu to $3.67-3/4, the lowest price in two months. U.S. demand still stinks, the U.S.-#China trade deal is dragging ('Phase 1' was originally set to be signed yesterday), and no huge weather risk on horizon for South America.

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By metmike - Nov. 18, 2019, 8:31 p.m.
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Still important to put #corn futures in context. Prices are at the highest levels for the time of year since 2014 and about 5 cents higher than last year. For reference, funds were close to flat a year ago. But today, they hold an est. net short > 130,000 fut+opt contracts.

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By metmike - Nov. 21, 2019, 10:41 a.m.
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By metmike - Nov. 21, 2019, 10:43 a.m.
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Inspections were in line with expectations last week, a little above for #soybeans. Some 914k tonnes of those beans were for #China (might be largest post-trade war weekly total?). #Corn inspections were the strongest for any week so far in 2019/20. #Wheat ttl ahead of last year.

Image