INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - Dec. 4, 2019, 4:46 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Thursday, December 5, 2019 



7:30 AM ET. November Challenger Job-Cut Report



                       Job Cuts, M/M% (previous +20.97%)



8:30 AM ET. October U.S. International Trade in Goods & Services



                       Trade Balance (USD) (previous -52.45B)



                       Exports (USD) (previous 205.99B)



                       Exports, M/M% (previous -0.9%)



                       Imports (USD) (previous 258.44B)



                       Imports, M/M% (previous -1.7%)



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims



                       Jobless Claims (previous 213K)



                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -15K)



                       Continuing Claims (previous 1640000)



                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -57K)



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales



                       Corn (Metric Tons)



                       Soybeans (Metric Tons)



                       Wheat (Metric Tons)



9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index



10:00 AM ET. October Manufacturers' Shipments, Inventories & Orders (M3)



                       Total Orders, M/M% (previous -0.6%)



                       Orders, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous -0.6%)



                       Orders, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous -0.1%)



                       Durable Goods, M/M% (previous -1.1%)



                       Durable Goods, M/M% (previous -1.2%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report



                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 3610B)



                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous -28B)

                       

12:00 PM ET. November Monthly U.S. Retail Chain Store Sales Index



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures



Friday, December 6, 2019 



8:30 AM ET. November U.S. Employment Report



                       Non-Farm Payrolls (previous +128K)



                       Unemployment Rate (previous +0.6%)



                       Avg Hourly Earnings (USD) (previous 28.18)



                       Avg Hourly Earnings-Net Chg (USD) (previous +0.06)



                       Avg Hourly Earnings, M/M% (previous +0.21%)



                       Avg Hourly Earnings, Y/Y% (previous +3.0%)



                       Overall Workweek (previous 34.4)



                       Overall Workweek Net Chg (previous +0)



                       Government Payrolls (previous -3K)



                       Private Payroll (previous +131K)



                       Participation Rate (previous 63.3%)



                       Non-Farm Payrolls Bench Net Chg



10:00 AM ET. October Monthly Wholesale Trade



                       Inventories, M/M% (previous -0.4%)



10:00 AM ET. December University of Michigan Survey of Consumers – preliminary



                       Mid-Mo Sentiment (previous 95.7)



                       Mid-Mo Expectations (previous 85.9)



                       Mid-Mo Current Idx (previous 110.9)



3:00 PM ET. October Consumer Credit



                       Consumer Credit Net Chg (USD) (previous +9.51B)



  N/A              The Philadelphia Fed Policy Forum



The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes ""



The December NASDAQ 100 closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this week's decline.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 8058.19 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 8338.63 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 8458.75. Second resistance is unknown. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 8168.25. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 8058.19.   



The December S&P 500 closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 3036.18 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 3121.85 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 3154.00. Second resistance is unknown. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 3073.50. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3036.18.  



The Dow gapped up and closed sharply higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of this week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends this week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 27,229.77 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 27,886.96 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 28,174.97. Second resistance is unknown. First support is Tuesday's lowcrossing at 27,325.13. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 27,229.77.



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



December T-bonds closed down 1-05/32's at 159-23.



December T-bonds closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 158-01 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off November's low, November's high crossing at 161-22 is the next upside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at 161-22. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 165-07. First support is the 50% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at 155-25. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at 153-06.



December T-notes closed down 155 pts. at 129.155.



December T-notes closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below Monday's low crossing at 128.225 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off Monday's low, November's high crossing at 130.155 is the next upside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at 130.155. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 132.010. First support is November's low crossing at 127.315. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at 127.171.     



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



January crude oil closed sharply higher on Wednesday after U.S. government data showed the first decline in U.S. inventories in six weeks. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January resumes the rally off October's low, the 87% retracement level of the September-October-decline crossing at 60.07 is the next upside target. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 54.85 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the September-October-decline crossing at 58.77. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the September-October-decline crossing at 60.07. First support is the reaction low crossing at 54.85. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 53.84. 



January heating oil closed higher on Wednesday as they extend the October-November trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above November's high crossing at 197.16 would confirm an upside breakout of the October-November trading range. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 184.41 would confirm a downside breakout of the aforementioned trading range. First resistance is November's high crossing at 197.16. Second resistance is the September 19th high crossing at 200.20. First support is the reaction low crossing at 184.41. Second support is October's low crossing at 180.42. 



January unleaded gas closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidated some of the decline off November's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If January extends the aforementioned decline, the reaction low crossing at 152.09 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 163.98 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is November's high crossing at 170.36. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 173.52. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 155.50. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 152.09.



January Henry natural gas closed lower on Wednesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.626 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If January resumes this month's decline, weekly support crossing at 2.187 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 2.505. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.626. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 2.270. Second support is weekly support crossing at 2.187.         



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The December Dollar closed lower on Wednesday as it extends the decline off last-Friday's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the aforementioned decline, November's low crossing at 96.96 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 98.03 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 98.50. Second resistance is the October 8th high crossing at 98.96. First support is November's low crossing at 96.96. Second support is October's low crossing at 96.88. 



The December Euro closed slightly lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off last-Friday's low, the reaction high crossing at 112.08 is the next downside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 110.56 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is October's high crossing at 112.22. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at 112.48. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 109.90. Second support is October's low crossing at 109.38. 



The December British Pound closed higher on Wednesday as it marked an upside breakout of the trading range of the past six-weeks. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off September's low, the 75% retracement level of the February-September decline crossing at 1.3161 is the next upside target. Closes below November's low crossing at 1.2782 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.3126. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the February-September decline crossing at 1.3161. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2761. Second support is October's low crossing at 1.2224.    



The December Swiss Franc closed lower on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this week's rally.The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.0071 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends this week's decline, November's high crossing at 1.0182 is the next upside target.First resistance is November's high crossing at 1.0182. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 1.0205. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 0.9987. Second support is weekly support crossing at 0.9918.



The December Canadian Dollar closed sharply higher on Wednesday and above the 50-day moving average crossing at 75.68 confirming that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December resumes the decline off October's high, October's low crossing at 74.96 is the next downside target.First resistance is theNovember 19th high crossing at 75.82. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 76.25. First support is November's low crossing at 75.03. Second support is October's low crossing at 74.97. 



The December Japanese Yen closed lower on Wednesday as it consolidated some of this week's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0925 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December extends the decline off August's high, April's low crossing at 0.0907 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0925. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 0.0929. First support is Monday's low crossing 0.0912. Second support is April's low crossing at 0.0907.  



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



December gold closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 1486.40 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December extends the decline off September's high, the 50% retracement level of the May-September-rally at 1426.60 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1486.40. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 1519.00. First support is the 38% retracement level of the May-September-rally at 1459.80. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the May-September-rally at 1426.60.



December silver posted a key reversal down on Wednesday while extending November's trading range. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December resumes the decline off the September 24th high, the 62% retracement level of the May-September-rally crossing at 16.547 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 17.399 are needed to temper the bearish outlook.First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 18.350. Second resistance is the September 24th high crossing at 18.810. First support is the 62% retracement level of the May-September-rally crossing at 16.547. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the May-September-rally crossing at 15.859.



December copper closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Wednesday's high crossing at 269.05 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If December extends the decline off last-Wednesday's high, the reaction low crossing at 257.30 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 269.05. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 273.00. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at 260.50. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 257.30.  



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



March Corn closed down 2 3/4-cents at 3.78 1/2. 



March corn closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off October's low, September's low crossing at 3.65 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.91 1/4 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.82 1/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.91 1/4. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 3.73. Second support is September's low crossing at 3.65 3/4.   



March wheat closed up 2 1/2-cents at 5.27 3/4.  



March wheat closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.15 1/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off September's low, the 87% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at 5.58 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at 5.44 1/4. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at 5.58 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.20 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.15 1/4.     



March Kansas City Wheat closed 3 3/4-cents at 4.40 1/2.

 

March Kansas City wheat closed higher on Wednesday while extending the August-December trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below November's low crossing at 4.23 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off September's low, the 38% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at 4.53 1/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the June-September-declinecrossing at 4.53 1/4. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at 4.70 3/4. First support is November's low crossing at 4.23. Second support is October's low crossing at 4.13 1/2.   



March Minneapolis wheat closed up 1 1/2-cents at 5.15. 



March Minneapolis wheat closed higher on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.20 1/2 would confirm that a low has been posted. If March extends the decline off October's high, September's low crossing at 5.00 1/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 5.20 1/2. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 5.39 3/4. First support is November's low crossing at 5.06. Second support is September's low crossing at 5.00 1/4.     



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



January soybeans closed up 7 1/4-cents at 8.78 1/4.



January soybeans closed higher on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the decline off October's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If January extends the decline off October's high, September's low crossing at 8.65 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 9.03 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 9.03. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 9.21 1/2. First support is Monday's low crossing at 8.67 1/2. Second support is September's low crossing at 8.65.    



January soybean meal closed up $2.10 at 296.80. 



January soybean meal closed higher on Monday as it consolidates some of the decline off October's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 301.50 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If January extends the decline off October's high, weekly support crossing at 288.30 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 297.80. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 301.50. First support is Monday's low crossing at 292.60. Second support is weekly support crossing at 288.30.    



January soybean oil closed up 25-pts. at 30.44. 



January soybean oil closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If January extends the decline off November's high, the reaction low crossing at 29.82 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 30.93 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 31.59. Second resistance is November's high high crossing at 32.17. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 31.59. First support is Monday's low crossing at 30.11. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 29.82.       

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



February hogs closed up $0.05 at $68.43. 



February hogs closed higher on Wednesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Thursday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. Multiple close above the 20-day moving average crossing at 70.26 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. If February extends the decline off October's high, August's low crossing at 63.67 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 70.26. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 73.35. First support is Monday's low crossing at 65.40. Second support August's low crossing at 63.67.  



February cattle closed down $1.48 at 124.17. 



February cattle closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 123.30 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If February extended the rally off September's low, weekly resistance crossing at 130.45 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 127.15. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 130.45. First support is the reaction low crossing at 123.30. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 121.56.  

 

January Feeder cattle closed down $1.50-cents at $140.88. 



January Feeder cattle closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Thursday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If January extends the decline off November's high, October's low crossing at 136.10 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 143.52 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the April-August-decline crossing at 146.85. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the April-August-decline crossing at 151.31.First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 138.27. Second support is October's low crossing at 136.10.      



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



March coffee closed lower on Wednesday as it consolidates some of the rally off October's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, weekly resistance crossing at 12.44 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.41 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.  



March cocoa closed lower on Wednesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 25.36 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 25.97 would temper the bearish outlook.     



March sugar closed higher on Wednesday as it extends the rally off October's low. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the July 30th high crossing at 13.25 is the next upside target. Closes below 50-day moving average crossing at 12.59 would confirm that a top has been posted.  



March cotton closed higher on Wednesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signal sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below November's low crossing at 63.70 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off August's low, the reaction high crossing at 66.93 is the next upside target.       

Comments
By metmike - Dec. 5, 2019, 12:16 a.m.
Like Reply

Thanks tallpine!


Weather changes not big enough today to be a big deal in any markets at least from my vantage point.