INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - Dec. 17, 2019, 7:03 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

 



 

 

Tuesday, December 17, 2019  

 



 

 

7:45 AM ET. The Retail Economist/Goldman Sachs Weekly Chain Store Sales Index

 



 

 

                       Chain Store Sales, W/W% (previous +3.2%)

 



 

 

                       Chain Store Sales, M/M% (previous +3.1%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. November New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits

 



 

 

                       Total Starts (previous 1.314M)

 



 

 

                       Housing Starts, M/M% (previous +3.8%)

 



 

 

                       Building Permits (previous 1.461M)

 



 

 

                       Building Permits, M/M% (previous +5.0%)

 



 

 

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M% (previous -3.6%)

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +5.0%)

 



 

 

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +5.0%)

 



 

 

9:15 AM ET. November Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization

 



 

 

                       Industrial Production, M/M% (previous -0.8%)

 



 

 

                       Capacity Utilization % (previous 76.7%)

 



 

 

                       Capacity Utilization, Net Chg (Pts) (previous -0.8)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. December IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism Index

 



 

 

                       Economic Optimism Idx (previous 52.9)

 



 

 

                       6-Mo Economic Outlook (previous 47.0)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. October Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

 



 

 

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +1.4M)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +4.9M)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +3.2M)

 



 

 

Wednesday, December 18, 2019  

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx (previous 532.1)

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous +3.8%)

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 268.3)

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -0.4%)

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx (previous 2094.1)

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous +8.7%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter State Quarterly Personal Income

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. SEC Open Meeting

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 447.918M)

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +0.822M)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 234.768M)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +5.405M)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 123.587M)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +4.118M)

 



 

 

                       Refinery Usage (previous 90.6%)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 18.359M)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous -2.73M)

 

  

 

Thursday, December 19, 2019

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. December Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey

 



 

 

                       Business Activity (previous 10.4)

 



 

 

                       Prices Paid (previous 7.8)

 



 

 

                       Employment (previous 1.5)

 



 

 

                       New Orders (previous 8.4)

 



 

 

                       Prices Received (previous 12.2)

 



 

 

                       Delivery Times (previous 8.5)

 



 

 

                       Inventories (previous -4.6)

 



 

 

                       Shipments (previous 9.8)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter International Transactions

 



 

 

                       Current Account (USD) (previous -128.19B)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims (previous 252K)

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +49K)

 



 

 

                       Continuing Claims (previous 1667000)

 



 

 

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -31K

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

 



 

 

                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 875.9K)

 



 

 

                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 1175.1K)

 



 

 

                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 502.7K)

 



 

 

9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. November Leading Indicators

 



 

 

                       Leading Index, M/M% (previous -0.1%)

 



 

 

                       Leading Index (previous 111.7)

 



 

 

                       Coincident Index, M/M% (previous +0%)

 



 

 

                       Lagging Index, M/M% (previous +0.1%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. November Existing Home Sales

 



 

 

                       Existing Sales (previous 5.46M)

 



 

 

                       Existing Sales, M/M% (previous +1.9%)

 



 

 

                       Unsold Homes Month's Supply (previous 3.9)

 



 

 

                       Median Price (USD)  (previous 270900)

 



 

 

                       Median Home Price, Y/Y% (previous +6.2%)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 3518B)

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous -73B)

 

                        

 

4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

 



 

 

Friday, December 20, 2019  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter Revised Corporate Profits

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter 3rd estimate GDP

 



 

 

                       Annual Rate, Q/Q% (previous +2.1%)

 



 

 

                       Chain-Weighted Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +1.8%)

 



 

 

                       Corporate Profits, Q/Q% (previous -0.6%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +1.5%)

 



 

 

                       Purchase Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +1.4%)

 



 

 

                       Real Final Sales, Q/Q% (previous +2.0%)

 



 

 

                       Core PCE Price Idx, Ex Food/Energy, Q/Q% (previous +2.1%)

 

                        

 

                       Personal Consumption, Q/Q% (previous +2.9%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. November Personal Income & Outlays

 



 

 

                       Personal Income, M/M% (previous +0%)

 



 

 

                       Consumer Spending, M/M% (previous +0.3%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.2%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +1.3%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Core Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.1%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y%  (previous +1.6%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. November Regional & State Employment & Unemployment

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. December University of Michigan Survey of Consumers – final

 



 

 

                       End-Mo Sentiment Idx (previous 96.8)

 



 

 

                       End-Mo Expectations Idx (previous 87.3)

 



 

 

                       12-Month Inflation Forecast (previous 2.5%)

 



 

 

                       5-Year Inflation Forecast (previous 2.5%)

 



 

 

                       End-Mo Current Idx (previous 111.6)

 



 

 

11:00 AM ET. December Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing

 



 

 

                       Mfg Activity Idx (previous -5)

 



 

 

                       6-Mo Exp Prod Idx (previous 25)

 



 

 

                       Mfg Composite Idx (previous -3)

 



 

 

                       6-Mo Exp Composite Idx (previous 15)

 



 

 

  N/A               Deadline for new funding deal to avert U.S. Govt shutdown

 



 

 

The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=indexes"  



The STOCK INDEXES:The March NASDAQ 100 was slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of its recent gains. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 8405.15 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 8626.50. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 8405.15. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 8207.16.



The March S&P 500 was slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of its recent gains. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3135.71 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 3201.50. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3135.71. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3070.10.  



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: March T-bonds were higher overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 158-20 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March extends this month's decline, November's low crossing at 155-00 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 159-02. Second resistance is December's high crossing at 160-12. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 155-23. Second support is November's low crossing at 155-00.



March T-notes were higher overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 129.156 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March extends the decline off December's high, last-July's low crossing at 127.090 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 129.140. Second resistance is December's high crossing at 130.045. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 127.290. Second support is July's low crossing at 127.090.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



January crude oil was steady to slightly higher overnight as it extends the rally off October's low.The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral signaling that sideways to higher. If January extends the rally off October's low, September's high crossing at 61.44 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 58.15 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 60.48. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 61.44. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 59.21. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 58.14.



January heating oil was higher overnight as it extends the rally off November's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off the October low, September's high crossing at 207.82 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 192.39 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 202.08. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 207.82. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 196.00. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 193.58.    



January unleaded gas was steady to slightly higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off December's low, November's high crossing at 170.36 is the next upside target.Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 160.99 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 167.61. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 170.36. First support is December's low crossing at 155.50. Second support is the October 21st reaction low crossing at 152.09.  



January Henry natural gas was lower overnight. The low-overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.423 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.If January resumes the decline off November's high, weekly support crossing at 2.029 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.423. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.583. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 2.158. Second support is weekly support crossing at 2.029.  



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The March Dollar was higher in late-overnight trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off November's high, the 50% retracement level of the March-September-rally crossing at 96.23 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 97.26 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 96.91. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 97.26. First support is the 50% retracement level of the March-September-rally crossing at 96.23. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the March-September-rally crossing at 95.63.  



The March Euro was higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 111.54 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, October's high crossing at 112.91 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 112.64. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 112.91. First support is the reaction low crossing at 111.12. Second support is November's low crossing at 110.61.    



The March British Pound gapped down and was lower overnight. If the overnight gap remains unfilled for the day, it would leave a two-day island top on the daily chart (sign of a top in the market).The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3097 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off September's low, the 62% retracement level of the April-September-decline crossing at 1.3748 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 1.3548. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the April-September-decline crossing at 1.3748. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3097. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2954.



The March Swiss Franc was steady to slightly higher overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low, September's high crossing at 1.0380 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0182 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is October's high crossing at 1.0268. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 1.0380. First support is the reaction low crossing at 1.0158. Second is November's low crossing at 1.0060.  



The March Canadian Dollar was lower overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish hinting that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 75.56 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, October's high crossing at 76.70 is the next upside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at 76.27. Second resistance is October's high crossing at 76.70. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 75.56. Second support is November's low crossing at 75.08.  



The March Japanese Yen was steady to slightly lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off August's high, April's low crossing at 0.0913 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0927 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0927. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 0.0934. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 0.0917. Second support is April's low crossing at 0.0913.



PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: February gold was higher overnight as it extends the trading range of the past six-weeks. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $1487.20 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If February resumes the decline off September's high, the 50% retracement level of the April-September rally crossing at $1431.40 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1487.20. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $1525.20. First support is November's low crossing at $1453.10. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the May-September rally crossing at $1431.40.



January silver was steady to slightly higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 17.307 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If January resumes the decline off September's high, the 75% retracement level of the May-September-rally crossing at 15.842 is the next downside target.First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 17.307. Second resistance is the October's high crossing at 18.365. First support is the 62% retracement level of the June-September-rally crossing at 16.530. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the June-September-rally crossing at 15.842.



January copper was higher overnight as it extends the rally off December's low. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off December's low, the 75% retracement level of the April-September-December crossing at 287.40 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 270.16 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 282.30. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the April-September-decline crossing at 287.40. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 275.18. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 270.16.       



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



March corn was lower overnight after a three-day rebound off last-Wednesday's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.88 1/2 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional short-term gains. If March resumes the decline off October's low, September's low crossing at $3.65 3/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.88 1/2. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $4.00. First support is Wednesday's low crossing at $3.71. Second support is September's low crossing at $3.65 3/4.   



March wheat was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Thursday's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off last-Thursday's low, the 87% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at $5.44 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Thursday's low crossing at $5.16 1/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of November's low crossing at $5.01 3/4. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at $5.44 1/4. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at $5.58 1/4. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $5.16 1/4. Second support is November's low crossing at $5.01 3/4.     



March Kansas City Wheat closed up $0.19 1/4-cents at $4.62.

 

March Kansas City wheat closed higher on Monday marking an upside breakout of the August-December trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off September's low, the 50% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at $4.70 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below December's low crossing at $4.23 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the June-September-declinecrossing at $4.70 3/4. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the June-September-decline crossing at $4.88 1/4. First support is December's low crossing at $4.23 1/2. Second support is October's low crossing at $4.13 1/2.   



March Minneapolis wheat was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off November's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the October-November-decline crossing at $5.46 1/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.16 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 5.43 1/4. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-November-decline crossing at $5.46 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.16 1/2. Second support is November's low crossing at $5.06.      



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



January soybeans were higher overnight as they tested the 62% retracement level of the October-November-decline crossing at $9.24 1/4. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off December's low, the 75% retracement level of the October-November-decline crossing at $9.36 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.94 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-November-decline crossing at $9.24 1/4. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the October-November-decline crossing at $9.36 1/2. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $8.88 1/4. Second support is December's low crossing at $8.67 1/2.    



January soybean meal was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off last-Thursday's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $303.80 is the next upside target. If January resumes last-week's decline, December's low crossing at $292.60 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $303.80. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $310.00. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $293.10. Second support is December's low crossing at $292.60.    



January soybean oil was higher overnight as it extends the rally off December's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off December's low, May's high crossing at 34.34 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 31.27 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 33.78. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 34.34. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 31.85. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 31.27.   



LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



February hogs closed up $1.00 at $70.50. 



February hogs closed higher on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. If February extends today's rally, the 50-day moving average crossing at $72.07 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $68.08 would temper the friendly outlook. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $72.07. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $76.62. First support is December's low crossing at $65.40. Second support August's low crossing at $63.67.  



February cattle closed down $0.30 at $127.25. 



February cattle closed lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February extended the rally off September's low, weekly resistance crossing at $130.45 is the next upside target. Closes below the reaction low crossing at $123.30 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $127.90. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at $130.45. First support is the reaction low crossing at $123.30. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $123.06.  

 

January Feeder cattle closed down $0.43-cents at $145.25. 



January Feeder cattle posted an inside day with a lower close on Monday as it consolidated some of last-Friday's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends last-Friday's rally, the 75% retracement level of the April-August-decline crossing at $151.31 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $142.47 would temper the friendly outlook. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the April-August-decline crossing at $146.85. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the April-August-decline crossing at $151.31. First support is November's low crossing at $138.27. Second support is October's low crossing at $136.10.      



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



March coffee closed sharply higher on Monday leaving last-Friday's huge key reversal down unconfirmed. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, weekly resistance crossing at 14.38 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.25 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.   



March cocoa closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off November's high, November's low crossing at 24.30 is the next downside target. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 25.95 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.      



March sugar closed sharply lower on Monday as it consolidated some of the rally off October's low. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below 20-day moving average crossing at 13.02 would confirm that a top has been posted. If March extends the rally off October's low, the June high crossing at 13.78 is the next upside target.   



March cotton closed higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signal sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off August's low, July's high crossing at 69.07 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 65.31 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.       

Comments
By metmike - Dec. 17, 2019, 12:31 p.m.
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Thanks tallpine!


Even milder weather yet in the forecast pressuring ng early but we are at some solid support and lows are holding. Could turn much colder at the end of the month.


Grains are not trading weather......more of the China tariff thing but Argentina is mostly dry again for the next week before rains chances increase in week 2 but the pattern is not great for them.