Export inspections/sales February 3, 2020
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Started by metmike - Feb. 3, 2020, 11 a.m.

https://www.ams.usda.gov/mnreports/wa_gr101.txt


Corn and wheat increased from a very low number last week but still not great.

Soybeans were huge!

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By metmike - Feb. 3, 2020, 11:12 a.m.
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@kannbwx

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U.S. #corn and #wheat export inspections were as expected last week, but #soybeans were a little bigger. The soybean total included 552,523 tonnes to #China.

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By metmike - Feb. 3, 2020, 11:15 a.m.
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@kannbwx

USDA confirms the sale of 130,000 tonnes of U.S. #soybeans to #Egypt for delivery in 2019/20.

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Bloomberg reporting that #China seeks flexibility on Phase 1 trade targets amid the coronavirus outbreak. The deal says the two sides can consult “in the event that a natural disaster or other unforeseeable event” delays either side from complying.

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It's not clear yet whether #China has formally requested the consultation. But this puts even more uncertainty around China's ability or intention to meet the target.



China Seeks U.S. Flexibility on Trade Targets as Virus SpreadsChinese officials are hoping the U.S. will agree to some flexibility on pledges in their phase-one trade deal, people familiar with the situation said, as Beijing tries to contain a health crisis...bloomberg.com

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By metmike - Feb. 3, 2020, 11:24 a.m.
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China Seeks U.S. Trade-Target Flexibility Amid Virus’s Spread


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-03/china-seeks-u-s-flexibility-on-trade-targets-as-virus-spreads?utm_source=google&utm_medium=bd&cmpId=google

Bloomberg News

                

                                                                    

                                                                                                                                    

                            
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                    Pact contains clause dealing with delays in compliance                    
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                    China pledged to buy $76.7 billion more U.S. goods in year one                    
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"Chinese officials are hoping the U.S. will agree to some flexibility on pledges in their phase-one trade deal, people familiar with the situation said, as Beijing tries to contain a health crisis that threatens to slow domestic growth with repercussions around the world.

                                

The agreement sealed Jan. 15 is supposed to take effect in mid-February. It has a clause that states the U.S. and China will consult “in the event that a natural disaster or other unforeseeable event” delays either from complying with the agreement. It’s unclear whether China has formally requested such a consultation yet, but the people familiar with the matter said the plan is to ask for it at some point."


metmike:This is an example of how the news is dominatimg trading right now and with tremendous uncertainty over the Coronovirus, markets will often trade fear of the worst. ............until they are more confident that the worst case scenario is not going to happen............or at least that its not going to be as bad as some of the more alarming, speculative predictions. 

By mcfarm - Feb. 3, 2020, 4:07 p.m.
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 I think that takes a real set to have the nerve to ask for flexibility.  Number 1 we cannot trust them to accurately report just how bad the virus is or what they are doing to fight it. Number 2 they have bent us over for years cheating and stealing. At this point I would say, do what you promised and "flexibililty" may come later.

By metmike - Feb. 6, 2020, 12:05 p.m.
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By metmike - Feb. 6, 2020, 12:11 p.m.
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All U.S. export sales were within the ranges of expectations last week, though #corn, #soybeans, and soyoil were on the higher end while #wheat and soymeal were on the lower end. Just 31.5kt of soybeans from #China, its smallest weekly purchase since Sept.

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By metmike - Feb. 6, 2020, 12:12 p.m.
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@kannbwx


U.S. #wheat exports were a brighter spot in December at 2.15 mmt (79 mbu), some 10% above the 5yr avg. Jun-Dec shipments (15.1 mmt) were 8% above the 5yr avg and comprised 57% of USDA's full 2019/20 forecast.

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By metmike - Feb. 6, 2020, 12:13 p.m.
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U.S. agricultural & related exports to #China were valued at $16.3 billion in 2019, up from $13.2B in 2018, which was an 11-year low. #Soybeans made up nearly half that value, despite the trade tariffs and ASF. #Pork value was by far record, nearly double that of 2017.

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By metmike - Feb. 6, 2020, 12:16 p.m.
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Karen Braun@kannbwx

U.S. exports, December 2019: #Soybeans 5.57 mmt (205 mbu) ASIDE FROM 2018: lowest for month since 2012


Sep-Dec total (22.41 mmt) lowest since 2012, and 24% below the 2013-2017 avg 


#Corn 2.51 mmt (99 mbu)      lowest Dec since 2012Sep-Dec (9.3 mmt) 37% below 2014-2018 avgImageImageImageImage