Filed under 2020 Election
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/iowa-caucus-2020-election-live/
Iowa's 41 pledged delegates are up for grabs in the first nominating contest of the 2020 election.
By Reid Wilson - 02/04/20 12:31 AM EST
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/481317-iowa-results-not-expected-until-morning
The first-in-the-nation voting state was thrown into chaos late Monday after the Iowa Democratic Party delayed releasing results.
Most Democrats care more about beating Trump than issues, according to an NBC News entrance poll.
metmike: This is what I've been saying. The top issue for dems is not the economy or anything other than getting Trump out of office. All the other issues added up still are not even close to the importance of getting Trump out of office.
Of course, every year each party wants to nominate the person that is most electable to president vs the specific person running on the other side..............but not at the expense of overlooking everything else.
Everything else counts in elect-ability of course so its sort of baked in indirectly.
But we know that this huge group of people will support anything that their candidate runs on.........including socialism because it has to be done to beat Trump.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowa-might-have-screwed-up-the-whole-nomination-process/
Expected bounce magnitude according to FiveThirtyEight’s primary model
| Relative bounce magnitude | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | States | Based on delegates | Early state bonus | Combined |
| Feb. 3 | Iowa | +3 | +20 | +23 |
| Feb. 11 | New Hampshire | +2 | +10 | +12 |
| Feb. 22 | Nevada | +3 | +5 | +8 |
| Feb. 29 | South Carolina | +3 | +5 | +8 |
| Mar. 3 | Colorado, Alabama, Utah, Oklahoma, Vermont, Texas, Tennessee, Maine, Virginia, North Carolina, California, American Samoa, Minnesota, Massachusetts, Arkansas | +30 | +30 | |
| Mar. 10 | Mississippi, Michigan, North Dakota, Washington, Missouri, Idaho, Democrats Abroad | +12 | +12 | |
| Mar. 14 | Northern Marianas | +1 | +1 | |
| Mar. 17 | Ohio, Arizona, Florida, Illinois | +16 | +16 | |
| Mar. 24 | Georgia | +5 | +5 | |
| Mar. 29 | Puerto Rico | +3 | +3 | |
| Apr. 4 | Alaska, Hawaii, Wyoming, Louisiana | +5 | +5 | |
| Apr. 7 | Wisconsin | +4 | +4 | |
| Apr. 28 | Rhode Island, New York, Delaware, Maryland, Connecticut, Pennsylvania | +18 | +18 | |
| May 2 | Guam, Kansas | +3 | +3 | |
| May 5 | Indiana | +4 | +4 | |
| May 12 | Nebraska, West Virginia | +3 | +3 | |
| May 19 | Kentucky, Oregon | +5 | +5 | |
| June 2 | New Mexico, New Jersey, South Dakota, Montana, District of Columbia | +8 | +8 | |
| June 6 | Virgin Islands | +1 | +1 | |
IA Caucuses: 2 man race now. Fairly moderate Mayor Pete very strong today at this betting site vs socialist Bernie, who has fallen sharply. Too close to call. Biden doing very poorly as Pete gets the bulk of moderate voters. But Pete's biggest problem may end up being his lack of black voter support:
https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/5241/Who-will-win-the-2020-Iowa-Democratic-caucuses
Like you said Larry, its between Pete and Bernie.
2020 United States presidential primary election results
Iowa
Updated at 5:25 PM CSTDemocraticRepublican
62% reporting
| Votes | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | Delegates | Percent | Count | |
 Pete Buttigieg | 10 | 26.9% | 363 | |
 Bernie Sanders | 10 | 25.1% | 338 | |
 Elizabeth Warren | 4 | 18.3% | 246 | |
 Joe Biden | 0 | 15.6% | 210 | |
Source: The Associated Press. FeedbackShow moreDemocratic primaries by state
so the dems have done the impossible. so screwed up the screwed up Iowa caucus. Given the path for Biden to say its flawed and racist so that's why I lost. Given the hypocrite, arrogant, angry gay guy a chance to run out and say "I won I won" when he knows damn well he did not....given Liz Warren the chance to lose CHEROKEE COUNTY FOR GOD'S SAKE, given Klobshire the chance to run out first and get more press time than she could ever garner on her own..All this while trying to screw the commy Bernie who somehow is running in the dem primary. Holy cow what a mess. And many of you guys think Trump cannot handle this bunch of clowns?