This was my comment:
Agree with Pat Frank on this being solid proof of a non scientific process being used.
Models that have been too warm are getting tweaked to make them warmer yet?
Science would compel the scientist to adjust the models so that they are a closer fit to the observations……………..cooler. Instead, they adjusted the equations to make the models even warmer(and more wrong)…………because the previous model projections did not scare people enough in order to accomplish the political objectives.
During the past 4 decades, they have been consistently wrong on almost everything.
We are having a climate OPTIMUM for life by all objective standards in authentic science. The last 40 years have featured the best weather/climate for life on this greening planet in at least 1,000 years(the last time that it was this warm, during the Medieval Warm Period).
If you want to imagine a real climate crisis, think about global cooling. Or, how about just going back to the OLD climate from around a century ago. 1 Deg. cooler and 120 PPM less atmospheric CO2.
This would result in world food production dropping by around 25%. As a result, roughly 1 billion people would starve to death within 3 years and food/crop prices would triple as we rationed the severe shortage in supplies.
They keep telling us that this will happen:
U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
June 29, 1989
https://apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0
UNITED NATIONS (AP) _ A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.”
“Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of ″eco- refugees. Coastal regions will be inundated; one-sixth of Bangladesh could be flooded, displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.”
“Shifting climate patterns would bring back 1930s Dust Bowl conditions to Canadian and U.S. wheatlands”
They have been wrong every year. Instead this keeps happening:
“Global cereal production, utilization, stocks and trade all set to rise to new records in 2020/21”
http://www.fao.org/worldfoodsituation/csdb/en/
Soybeans: Yield by Year, US
https://www.nass.usda.gov/Charts_and_Maps/Field_Crops/soyyld.php
Corn yields
https://www.agry.purdue.edu/ext/corn/news/timeless/yieldtrends.html
This is the only field of science that I know of………actually, any field at all, where predictions failing every year are handsomely rewarded with more money and resources. Climate scientists and modelers have zero accountability.
Just how hot will it get this century? Latest climate models suggest it could be worse than we thought
Michael Grose Climate Projections Scientist, CSIRO
Julie Arblaster Associate Professor, Monash University
May 18, 2020 5.58am AESTClimate scientists use mathematical models to project the Earth’s future under a warming world, but a group of the latest modelshave included unexpectedly high values for a measure called “climate sensitivity”.
Climate sensitivity refers to the relationship between changes in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere and warming.
The high values are an unwelcome surprise. If they’re right, it means a hotter future than previously expected – warming of up to 7℃ for Australia by 2100 if emissions continue to rise unabated.
Our recent study analyses these climate models (named CMIP6), which were released at the end of last year, and what insights they give for Australia.
These models contain the latest improvements and innovations from some of the world’s leading climate modelling institutes, and will feed into the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report in 2021.
But the new climate sensitivity values raise the question of whether previous climate modelling has underestimated potential climate change and its effects, or whether the new models are overdoing things.
If the high estimate is right, this would require the world to make greater and more urgent emission cuts to meet any given warming target.
…
Read more: https://theconversation.com/just-how-hot-will-it-get-this-century-latest-climate-models-suggest-it-could-be-worse-than-we-thought-137281
metmike: The insanity and departure from authentic science is mind boggling. The warming in the real world since the late 70's is around 1.4 deg C/decade, which would mean another 1.1 Deg C warmer by the year 2100. However, they are using equations in computer model simulations to create as much as 7 Deg. C of warming in order to scare the sheet out of people in order to trick people into believing we have a climate crisis so that they can push the global socialism agenda.
They have hijacked climate science for the political agenda.
https://www.drroyspencer.com/2020/06/uah-global-temperature-update-for-may-2020-0-54-deg-c/
The linear warming trend since January, 1979 is +0.14 C/decade (+0.12 C/decade over the global-averaged oceans, and +0.18 C/decade over global-averaged land).
The Guardian publishes another classic: “It’s worse than we thought” story.
This was my comment:
"This is what they've been saying would happen for over 3 decades based on models.
Now, we are supposed to believe that it will be even worse than that???
While deciding on what level of apocalypse to dial into the next political narrative by way of manipulating equations in the computer simulations of the atmosphere going out for the next 100 years, they should consider the previously predicted disasters that never happened and at least.............wait for those disasters to catch up to the busted forecasts for them before making it worse.
U.N. Predicts Disaster if Global Warming Not Checked
PETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 29, 1989
https://apnews.com/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0
Since life has been enjoying a climate optimum, with the best weather/climate during the last 40 years on this greening planet since the Medieval Warm Period and still it's not nearly as warm in the higher latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere as the Holocene Climate Optimum just over 5,000 years ago. We still have many Climate Optimum decades to go before the warming becomes a climate crisis......if ever.
But it might eventually turn out to be a climate crisis many decades from now.....maybe as we approach the year 2100 for instance. If the authentic science finally does actually show that, then what will the warnings be then?
If we already killed a greening planet with a booming biosphere and most life flourishing several times over, what will be the new warning for a real climate crisis that will distinguish it from the decades of warnings about the FAKE climate crisis?"