Will start with comments last night. The gap higher on last nights open, which was filled, turned out to be a "gap and crap" short term selling signal.  Looks like tjc was a couple of days early............especially if the extended maps take out the massive heat ridge.

                By metmike - June 17, 2018, 11:06 p.m.            

Natural gas gapped higher on the open(the lows early tonight were higher than the highs from Friday) but barely filled that gap 3 hours later, with the drop to the lows this evening..........$3.033.

Mixed temperatures for the natural gas.

Seems a bit cooler later this week into early next week, especially in the Midwest/Plains but then the GFS products have a much hotter solution late in week 2. 

                By tjc - June 18, 2018, 9:06 a.m.            

  NG opened much higher Sunday evening, into new ground, but has since consistently eroded.

  Significant Reversal forming.

  (Perhaps I am merely 'early' rather than wrong---beauty of an option giving you time)

                By WxFollower - June 18, 2018, 9:58 a.m.            

 Similar to what Mike said, the forecasts I’ve seen vs Fri are warmer in week 2 but are cooler in week one. Though they are pretty flat forecasts for the 2 week period overall vs Fri, the higher reliability of week 1 appears to be taking precedence over the much lower reliability of week 2. 

 NG usually trades the entire 2 weeks in some way, shape, or form. If the overall two week forecast looks pretty flat but week one looks warmer (cooler) while week 2 looks cooler (warmer), it sometimes puts more emphasis on the much more reliable week 1, sometimes puts more emphasis on the much less reliable week 2 especially if the week 2 forecast change is larger, and sometimes puts about equal emphasis on the 2 weeks. A lot of this depends on what’s dialed in beforehand, which way prices had recently moved, and seasonal as well as nonwx factors like recent storage trends and perceived supply/nonwx related demand balance actual and forecasted changes.