Natural gas Tuesday
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Started by WxFollower - June 19, 2018, 9:19 a.m.

 NG is down over 1% this morning. This appears to be largely due to cooler forecast changes in late week #1 and early week #2. Late week #2 appears pretty much unchanged, if not a touch warmer.


 July later dipped to 2% down (just under 2.90) but has since come back some.

Comments
By metmike - June 19, 2018, 10:23 a.m.
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I agree completely Larry and am surprised that we are down this much but congrats to tj.

Thanks for getting us started too.

July Natural Gas Lower Again Ahead of Open on Short-term Heat

     8:53 AM    

July natural gas prices remained firmly in the red ahead of market open Tuesday, trading 4.3 cents lower at $2.908 as cooler trends forecast over the next week sent prices sliding for the second day in a row. 

By metmike - June 19, 2018, 10:47 a.m.
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This is what the dome looked like on the last GFS.

      

gfs_namer_384_200_wnd_ht
      gfs_namer_384_200_wnd_ht_s.gif   
      gfs_namer_384_500_vort_ht
      gfs_namer_384_500_vort_ht_s.gif   
      gfs_namer_384_1000_500_thick
      gfs_namer_384_1000_500_thick_s.gif   
      gfs_namer_384_850_temp_ht
      gfs_namer_384_850_temp_ht_s.gif
By metmike - June 19, 2018, 11:10 a.m.
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But more importantly to the market today:

Temperatures cooling off now in the Upper Midwest and cooling spreads south:

By metmike - June 19, 2018, 11:11 a.m.
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Highs days 3-7 shows even more cooling in the Midwest that wasn't there on forecasts yesterday.

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/DAY3_MAX_filled.gif

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/DAY4_MAX_filled.gifhttp://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/DAY5_MAX_filled.gifhttp://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/DAY6_MAX_filled.gifhttp://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/DAY7_MAX_filled.gif

By metmike - June 19, 2018, 8:05 p.m.
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More heat in the NWS extended guidance:

 


Temperature Probability 6-10 day

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
 Precipitation Probability

 

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
Temperature Probability 8-14 day

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
 Precipitation Probability

  8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability


By metmike - June 19, 2018, 8:38 p.m.
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July Natural Gas Softens Again Even as Weather Models Flip

     5:48 PM    

July natural gas prices fell for a second straight day Tuesday, sliding 5.1 cents to $2.90 as the latest weather outlooks held cooler trends for early next week, but then flipped to hotter trends for late in the week and into early Jul