KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

Wednesday, July 15, 2020  

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

                       Composite Idx (previous 775.9)

                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous +2.2%)

                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 325.2)

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous +5.3%)

                       Refinance Idx (previous 3373.9)

                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous +0.4%)

8:30 AM ET. July Empire State Manufacturing Survey

                       Mfg Idx (expected 15.0; previous -0.2)

                       Employment Idx (previous -3.5)

                       New Orders Idx (previous -0.6)

                       Prices Received (previous -0.6)

8:30 AM ET. June Import & Export Price Indexes

                       Import Prices (expected +1.0%; previous +1%)

                       Non-Petroleum Prices (previous +0.1%)

                       Petroleum Prices (previous +21.7%)

9:15 AM ET. June Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization

                       Industrial Production, M/M% (expected +4.0%; previous +1.4%)

                       Capacity Utilization % (expected 67.5%; previous 64.8%)

                       Capacity Utilization, Net Chg (Pts) (previous +0.8)

10:00 AM ET. June Online Help Wanted Index

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 539.181M)

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +5.654M)

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 251.682M)

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -4.839M)

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 177.262M)

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +3.135M)

                       Refinery Usage (previous 77.5%)

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 18.12M)

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous +0.767M)

2:00 PM ET. U.S. Federal Reserve Beige Book

2:00 PM ET. SEC Closed Meeting

The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes"

The STOCK INDEXES:The September NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it extends Tuesday's upside reversal. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at  10,310.81 would confirm that a short-term top has been  posted. If September extends the rally off March's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 11,058.50. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 10,310.81. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 9,792.95.

The September S&P 500 was higher overnightas it extends its rally off June's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning.Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off June's low the 87% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 3237.65 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 3041.26 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the June 8th high crossing at 3216.70. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 3237.65. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3041.26. Second support is the June 15th low crossing at 2925.70. 

INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"

INTEREST RATES: September T-bonds were lower overnight. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 177-22 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. From a broad perspective, closes above the April-21^st high crossing at 181-15 or below June's low crossing at 170-30 are needed to confirm a breakout of the April-July trading range. First resistance is the April 21st high crossing at 181-15. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 183-23. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 177-22. Second support is the June 16^th low crossing at 174-29.

September T-notes were lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening with the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 138.242 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September extends the rally off June's low, March's high crossing at 139.250 is the next upside target. Closes above March's high crossing at 139.250 or below June's low crossing at 136.220 are needed to confirm a breakout of the March-July trading range. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 139.225. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 139.250. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 139.013. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 138.242.  

ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""

August crude oil was steady to slightly higher in overnight trading while extending the June-July trading range.The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August renews the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at $46.20 is the next upside target. Closes below the June 25^th low crossing at $37.08 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at $41.25. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at $46.20. First support is the June 25th low crossing at $37.08. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $36.02.  

August heating oil was steady to slightly higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the June 29^th low crossing at $112.96 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If August resumes the rally off April's low, the 38% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $128.72 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $125.83. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at $128.72. First support is the June 29th low crossing at $112.96. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing  at $111.73.  

August unleaded gas was steady to slightly higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August renews the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at $141.79 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $124.21 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is June's high crossing at $132.53. Second resistance is the 62%retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at $141.79. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $124.21. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $113.71.  

August Henry natural gas was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off last-Tuesday's high. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.729 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above last-Tuesday's high crossing at 1.924 would open the door for additional short-term gains. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 1.924. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 1.960. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.729. Second support is June's low crossing at 1.517.    

CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"

CURRENCIES:The September Dollar was lower overnight as it extends the decline off the June 30th high crossing at $97.81. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off the June 30^th high, March's low crossing at $94.71 is the next downside target. Closes above  the 20-day moving average crossing at $96.96 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the June 30th high crossing at $97.81. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $97.84. First support is the 87% retracement level of March's rally crossing at $95.88. Second support is March's low crossing at $94.71. 

The September Euro was higher overnight as it has renewed the rally off April's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off May's low, March's high crossing at $115.68 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $112.95 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 87% retracement level of March's decline crossing at $114.58. Second resistance is the March high crossing at $115.68. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $112.95. Second support is June's low crossing at $111.90. 

The September British Pound was higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2449 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off June's low, June's high crossing at 1.2819 is the next upside target. First resistance is June's high crossing at 1.2819. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the December-March decline crossing at 1.2952. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2449. Second support is June's low crossing at 1.2256.  

The September Swiss Franc was lower in overnight trading. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are poised to turn neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0601 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September extends the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 1.0759 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 1.0701. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 1.0759. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0601. Second support is the June 30^th low crossing at 1.0513. Third support is the June 12^th low crossing at 1.0497.

The September Canadian Dollar was higher overnight. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are poised to turn neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September renews the rally off June's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 74.99 is the next upside target.If September extends the decline off last-Friday's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 73.00 is the next downside target.First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 74.99. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 76.04. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing  at 73.00. Second support is the June 26th low crossing at 72.92.

The September Japanese Yen was higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, June's high crossing at 0.0944 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0932 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is June's high crossing at 0.0944. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 0.0945. First support is July's low crossing at 0.0925. Second support is June's low crossing at 0.0912. 

PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"

PRECIOUS METALS: August gold was lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $1785.10 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If August extends the rally off May's low, monthly resistance crossing at $1832.90 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $1829.80. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $1832.90. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1785.10. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1753.00.  

September silver was higher overnight as it extends the rally off March's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off March's low, last-September's high crossing at $20.020 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $18.504 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at $19.815. Second resistance is last-September's high crossing at $20.020. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $18.981. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $18.504. 

September copper was steady to slightly lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off March's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 3.0598 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.7516 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 2.9930. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 3.0598. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 2.8438. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.7516. 

GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains

December corn was steady to fractionally higher due to short covering overnight as it consolidates some of this week's loss. Themid-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this week's decline, June's low crossing at $3.22 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $3.48 are needed to signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $3.48. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $3.63. First support is the overnight low crossing at $3.32 1/2. Second support is June's low crossing at $3.22.      

December wheat was higher overnight. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off June's low, 75% retracement level of the March-June decline crossing at $5.53 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.07 3/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $5.42 3/4. Second resistance is .the 75% retracement level of the March-June decline crossing at $5.53. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.16 3/4. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.07 3/4. 

December Kansas City wheat was higher overnight due to short covering. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are  neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.54 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.68 1/4 would open the door for a larger-degree rally near-term. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.68 1/4. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $4.95. First support isthe 20-day moving average crossing at $4.54 1/4. Second support is June's low crossing at $4.37 1/4.         

December Minneapolis wheat was higher overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off June's low, the June 18^th high crossing at $5.49 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $5.31 3/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the June 18th high crossing at $5.49. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $5.54 1/4. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $5.31 3/4. Second support is June's low crossing at $5.22 1/4.  

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "

November soybeans was higher overnight due to short covering. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If November extends the decline off July's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.68 1/2 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $8.92 3/4 are needed to signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-April decline crossing at $9.07 1/4. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the October-April decline crossing at $9.25 1/4. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $8.68 1/2. Second support is the June 29^th low crossing at $8.56 3/4.      

December soybean meal was slightly higher due to short covering overnight. The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at $287.50 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $300.20 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is Monday's gap crossing at $299.50. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2019-2020 decline  crossing at $306.50. First support is Monday's low crossing at $291.10 Second support is June's low crossing at $287.50.      

December soybean oil was higher due to short covering overnight as it extended Tuesday's rally, which posted a key reversal up. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December renews the rally off April's low, the 38% retracement level of the December-March-decline crossing at 29.91 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 28.39 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 29.64. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 29.91. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 28.39. Second support is the May 22^nd low crossing at 27.42. 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 

August hogs closed down $1.30 at $49.98. 

August hogs closed lower on Tuesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off June's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $54.65 is the next upside target. If August renews the decline off May's high, weekly support crossing at $44.76 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $54.65. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $58.03. First support is June's low crossing at $47.52. Second support is weekly support crossing at $44.76.    

August cattle closed down $0.70 at $98.95. 

August cattle closed lower on Tuesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $97.79 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If August resumes the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $103.35 is the next upside target. First resistance is the May 8th high crossing at $101.90. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $103.35. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $97.79. Second support is the June 15th low crossing at $93.58.     

August Feeder cattle closed down $0.21-cents at $137.03. 

August Feeder cattle closed lower on Tuesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off April's low, May's high crossing at $138.80 is the next upside target. Closes below the June 29^th low crossing at $130.45 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $136.73. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $138.80. First support is June's low crossing at $128.68. Second support is May's low crossing at $125.30.        

FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 

September coffee closed lower on Tuesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at 94.55. Closes above July's high crossing at 10.46 would  open the door for a larger-degree rally near-term.

September cocoa closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Wednesday's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $22.18 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews this month's decline, weekly support crossing at 20.89 is the next downside target.                

October sugar closed lower on Tuesday as it extends this month's decline. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Today's close below 50-day moving average crossing at 11.48 opens the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.95 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.             

December cotton closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidates some of the rally off April's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 61.34 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 67.31 is the next upside target.