INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - Aug. 12, 2020, 8:03 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Wednesday, August 12, 2020 



7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey



                       Composite Idx (previous 841.9)



                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -0.8%)



                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 300.7)



                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -1.8%)



                       Refinance Idx (previous 3688.1)



                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -6.8%)



8:30 AM ET. July Real Earnings



8:30 AM ET. July CPI



                       CPI, M/M% (expected +0.3%; previous +0.6%)



                       Core CPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous +0.2%)



                       Energy Idx, M/M% (previous +5.1%)



                       Food Idx, M/M% (previous +0.6%)



                       Real Avg Wkly Pay-Infla Adj, M/M% (previous -2.3%)



                       CPI, Y/Y% (expected +0.8%; previous +0.6%)



                       Core Annual, Y/Y% (expected +1.2%; previous +1.2%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report



                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 518.596M)



                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -7.373M)



                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 247.806M)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +0.419M)



                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 179.977M)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +1.591M)



                       Refinery Usage (previous 79.6%)



                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 17.912M)



                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous -1.182M)

                       

12:00 PM ET. World Agricultural Supply & Demand Estimates (WASDE)



                       Corn, End Stocks (Bushels)



                       Soybeans, End Stocks (Bushels)



                       Wheat, End Stocks (Bushels)



                       Cotton, End Stocks (Bales)



2:00 PM ET. SEC Closed Meeting



Thursday, August 13, 2020 



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims



                       Jobless Claims (expected 1100K; previous 1186K)



                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -249K)



                       Continuing Claims (previous 16107000)



                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -844K)



8:30 AM ET. July Import & Export Price Indexes



                       Import Prices (expected +0.5%; previous +1.4%)



                       Non-Petroleum Prices (previous +0.3%)



                       Petroleum Prices (previous +23%)



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales



                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 2701.2K)



                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 1750.3K)



                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 610.5K)



9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report



                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 3274B)



                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +33B)

                       

4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures



4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



Friday, August 14, 2020  



8:30 AM ET. 2nd Quarter Preliminary Productivity & Costs



                       Non-Farm Productivity, Q/Q% (expected +4.9%; previous -2.5%)



                       Unit Labor Costs (expected +5.3%; previous +4.8%)



8:30 AM ET. July Advance Monthly Sales for Retail & Food Services



                       Overall Sales-SA, M/M% (expected +2.2%; previous +7.5%)



                       Sales, Ex-Auto, M/M% (expected +1.3%; previous +7.3%)



                       Sales, Ex-Auto & Gas, M/M% (previous +6.7%)



9:15 AM ET. July Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



                       Industrial Production, M/M% (expected +2.8%; previous +5.4%)



                       Capacity Utilization % (expected 70.2%; previous 68.6%)



                       Capacity Utilization, Net Chg (Pts) (previous +3.5)



10:00 AM ET. June Manufacturing & Trade: Inventories & Sales



                       Total Inventories (expected -1.3%; previous -2.3%)



10:00 AM ET. August University of Michigan Survey of Consumers – preliminary



                       Mid-Mo Sentiment (expected 70.0; previous 73.2)



                       Mid-Mo Expectations (previous 66.2)



                       Mid-Mo Current Idx (previous 84.2)



Monday, August 17, 2020  



8:30 AM ET. August Empire State Manufacturing Survey



                       Mfg Idx (previous 17.2)



                       Employment Idx (previous 0.4)



                       New Orders Idx (previous 13.9)



                       Prices Received (previous -4.5)



10:00 AM ET. August NAHB Housing Market Index



                       Housing Mkt Idx (previous 72)



4:00 PM ET. June Treasury International Capital Data


The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes"



The STOCK INDEXES:The September NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it consolidates some of its losses of the past three trading sessions. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 10,857.40 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If September extends this year's rally into uncharted territory upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 11,283.25. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 10,857.40. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 10,425.91.



The September S&P 500 was higher overnight as it rebounds off Tuesday's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning.Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at 3387.60 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3265.51 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 3375.60. Second resistance is February's high crossing at 3387.60. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3265.51. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3173.31. 



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: September T-bonds were lower in overnight trading as they extend the decline off last-Thursday's high. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for steady to lower opening is possible when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 178-26 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 181-13 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 183-06. Second resistance is the  75% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 183-23. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 178-26. Second support is July's low crossing at 177-06.



September T-notes were lower overnight and is testing support marked by the 50-day moving average crossing at 139.044. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening with the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 139.044 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 139.290 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 140.130. Second resistance is March's high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 140.240. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 139.044. Second support is July's low crossing at 138.235.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



October crude oil was higher overnight.The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at $46.44 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $40.31 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $43.68. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at $46.44. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $40.31. Second support is the July 30th low crossing at $39.00.  



October heating oil was slightly higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October resumes the rally off April's low, the 38% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $133.94 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $124.26 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $131.92. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at $133.94. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing  at $124.26. Second support is the July 30th low crossing at $119.03.  



October unleaded gas was higher overnight while extending the June-August trading range. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October renews the rally off April's low, June's high crossing at $121.22 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $113.41 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. First resistance is June's high crossing at $121.22. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at $130.29. First support is the July 30th low crossing at $106.14. Second support is the June 29th low crossing at $104.41.  



October Henry natural gas was lower overnight as it consolidates above the 62% retracement level of the May-June-decline crossing at 2.247. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.078 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If October resumes the rally off June's low, the 87% retracement level of the May-June decline crossing at 2.473 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the May-June decline crossing at 2.365. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the May-June decline crossing at 2.473. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 2.241. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.078.    



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The September Dollar was lower overnight following a three-day rebound off last-Thursday's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $94.02 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.If September renews this year's decline, the May 14th 2018-low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 92.12 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $94.02. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $95.73. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $92.48. Second support is weekly support on the weekly continuation chart marked by the May 14th 2018 low crossing at 92.12.  



The September Euro was higher in overnight trading as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $117.03 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If June renews the rally off May's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at $120.83 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $119.26. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at $120.83. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $117.03. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $114.64. 



The September British Pound was lower overnight while extending the trading range of the past two-weeks. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2922 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September resumes the rally off June's low, the December-2019 high crossing at 1.3453 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 87% retracement level of the December-March decline crossing at 1.3193. Second resistance is the December-2019 high crossing at 1.3453. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.2922. Second support is the 50-day  moving average crossing at 1.2693.  



The September Swiss Franc was higher in overnight trading as it consolidates some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0878 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If September resumes the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 1.1178 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 1.1062. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020  decline crossing at 1.1178. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0878. Second support is last-Monday's low crossing at 1.0829. 



The September Canadian Dollar was higher overnight. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off March's low, the 87% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 76.04 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 74.66 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 75.59. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 76.04. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 74.66. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 74.13.



The September Japanese Yen was lower overnight as it extends the decline off July's high. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0936 would open the door for a possible test of the July 20th low crossing at 0.0930. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 0.0945 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is July's high crossing at 0.0960. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 0.0968. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0936. Second support is the July 20th low crossing at 0.0930. 



PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: October gold was higher overnight as it consolidates some of Tuesday's sharp decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the decline off last-Friday's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at $1842.20 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $1996.50 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If August resumes this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $2063.00. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1842.20. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2018-2020-rally crossing at $1777.30.  



September silver was higher due to short covering overnight as it consolidates some of Tuesday's sharp decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $24.367 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off June's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2011-2020 decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 30.727 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $29.915. Second resistance is the the 50% retracement level of the 2011-2020 decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 30.727. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $24.367. Second support is the 38% retracement level of March-August-rally crossing at $22.973. 



September copper was higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are  possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.8987 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If September extends last-Friday's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.7765 is the next downside target. First resistance is the July 13th high crossing at 2.9930. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 3.0598. First support is Monday's low crossing at 2.7820. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at  2.77694.5



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



December corn was steady to fractionally lower overnight as trading is subdued ahead of this morning's monthly supply-demand report. The mid-range trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are poised to turn neutral to bullish with additional strength. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.29 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. If December renews the decline off July's high, weekly support crossing at $3.00 1/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.29. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.37 1/4. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $3.20. Second support is weekly support crossing at $3.00 1/4.     



December wheat was lower overnight and remains poised to resume the decline off July's high. The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the aforementioned decline, July's low crossing at $4.96 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.26 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $5.15 1/4. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.26. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $4.98 1/2. Second support is July's low crossing at $4.96. 



December Kansas City wheat was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off July's high, weekly support crossing at $4.12 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.44 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $4.35. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.44 3/4. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $4.20 3/4. Second support is weekly support crossing at $4.12.         



December Minneapolis wheat was steady to fractionally lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this year's decline, psychological support crossing at $5.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.20 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $5.15. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.20. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $5.06 1/2. Second support is psychological support crossing at $5.00.  



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



November soybeans was steady to fractionally lower overnight. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to fractionally lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but are poised to turn neutral to bullish with additional strength. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.87 1/2 are needed to temper the near-term bearish outlook. If November extends this month's decline, the June 29th low crossing at $8.56 3/4 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.87 1/2. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the October-April decline crossing at $9.07 1/4. First support is the June 29th low crossing at $8.56 3/4 1/2. Second support is June's low crossing at $8.45 3/4.    



December soybean meal was lower overnight. The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this month's decline, weekly support crossing at $283.00 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $295.80 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $295.80. Second resistance is the July 27th high crossing at $303.50. First support is Monday's low crossing at $286.20. Second support is weekly support crossing at $283.00.   

   

December soybean oil was higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off July's high. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 30.57 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the December-March-decline crossing at 32.40 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 31.16. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the December-March-decline crossing at 32.40. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 30.57. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 29.55. 



LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



August hogs closed down $0.40 at $53.03. 



August hogs closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidates some of Monday's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends Monday's rally, July's high crossing at $55.28 is the next upside target. If August resumes the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at $47.52 is the next downside target. First resistance is July's high crossing at $55.28. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $58.03. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $49.20. Second support is June's low crossing at $47.52.     



August cattle closed up $1.15 at $104.75. 



August cattle closed higher on Tuesday as it extends the rally off March's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $108.26 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $102.40 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $104.90. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $108.26. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $102.40. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $99.42.     



August Feeder cattle closed up $1.18-cents at $144.75. 


August Feeder cattle closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August renews the rally off April's low, the 87% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $150.58 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $142.77 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $145.98. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $150.58. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $142.77. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $137.36.        



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



September coffee closed lower on Tuesday as it extended the decline off last-Wednesday's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.01 would confirm that a short-term top. If September renews the rally off June's low, March's high crossing at 12.91 is the next upside target.  



September cocoa closed lower on Tuesday following yesterday's key reversal down. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning  neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 23.33 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. If September renews the rally off July's low, the 62% retracement level of the February-July-decline crossing at 25.87 is the next upside target.                



October sugar closed higher on Tuesday as it extended the trading range of the past two-weeks. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at 13.63 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 12.05 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.              



December cotton closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the decline off last-Thursday's high but leaves a potential double top with July's high on the daily chart. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 61.54 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the aforementioned rally, the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 67.31 is the next upside target.            

Comments
By metmike - Aug. 12, 2020, 2:21 p.m.
Like Reply

Thanks tallpine!


Turning dry in the cornbelt for the 2nd half of August.  It's late in the growing season but still bullish, along with record exports.

Huge reversal up after the bearish USDA crop report. Strong technical sign that the short term lows are in.


Been turning cooler for ng every day this week but supplies drying up will limit the downside.

By rich-in-mo - Aug. 12, 2020, 4:32 p.m.
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Yes, nice reversal in grains on a bearish report.  The week 2 is cool, but hopefully the dry outlook will give producers some extension on todays reversal.  Haven't been on in a while, always good to get your weather input.  Thanks Mike.  Hope things are going well for you.

By metmike - Aug. 12, 2020, 10:25 p.m.
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Wonderful to hear from you rich!!!!