INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - Aug. 14, 2020, 8:03 a.m.

August hogs closed up $0.85 at $53.75. 



August hogs closed higher on Thursday as it extended the rally off last-Wednesday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends this week's rally, July's high crossing at $55.28 is the next upside target. If August resumes the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at $47.52 is the next downside target. First resistance is July's high crossing at $55.28. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $58.03. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $49.20. Second support is June's low crossing at $47.52.     



August cattle closed up $0.83 at $107.18. 



August cattle closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off March's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $108.26 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $102.82 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $107.35. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $108.26. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $102.82. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $99.81.     



August Feeder cattle closed down $1.00-cents at $145.15. 


August Feeder cattle closed lower on Thursday as it consolidates some of the rally off March's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off April's low, the 87% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $150.58 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $143.19 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at $146.40. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $150.58. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $143.19. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $137.82.       



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



September coffee closed higher on Thursday as it consolidated some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.17 would confirm that a short-term top. If September renews the rally off June's low, March's high crossing at 12.91 is the next upside target.  



September cocoa closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 23.65 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. If September renews the rally off July's low, the 62% retracement  level of the February-July-decline crossing at 25.87 is the next upside target.                



October sugar closed higher on Thursday as it renewed the rally off April's low. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the February-April-decline crossing at 13.63 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 12.11 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.              



December cotton closed higher on Thursday as it consolidated some of Wednesday's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Friday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 61.66 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December renewed the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 67.31 is the next upside target.           

Comments
By metmike - Aug. 14, 2020, 12:47 p.m.
Like Reply

Thanks much tallpine!

Friday comments to add to those below:


NG is off to the races. Bullish fundamentals/technicals, with the help of weather models that show it heating back up towards the end of the month(after dialing in this upcoming week of cooler temps earlier this week).


Grains late in the year for weather to be big but the dry, then turning warmer forecast is bullish for late pod filling beans that will lose a bit of yield.

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Previous stuff below:


Massive 20/21 sales again Thursday morning!!!

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/57403/


USDA report

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/57407/


Thursday weather:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/57379/


Turning dry during the extended period/2nd half of August.

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Previous discussion................still looks valid right now:


                Re: INO Morning Market Commentary            

           

                By metmike - Aug. 12, 2020, 2:21 p.m.            

       Thanks tallpine!


Turning dry in the cornbelt for the 2nd half of August.  It's late in the growing season but still bullish, along with record exports.

Huge reversal up after the bearish USDA crop report. Strong technical sign that the short term lows are in.


Been turning cooler for ng every day this week but supplies drying up will limit the downside.

                                    


            

         ++++++++++++++++++                              

                Re: Re: INO Morning Market Commentary            

            

                By rich-in-mo - Aug. 12, 2020, 4:32 p.m.            

            

                          

Yes, nice reversal in grains on a bearish report.  The week 2 is cool, but hopefully the dry outlook will give producers some extension on todays reversal.  Haven't been on in a while, always good to get your weather input.  Thanks Mike.  Hope things are going well for you.

                                    


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                Re: Re: Re: INO Morning Market Commentary            

                                     

                By metmike - Aug. 12, 2020, 10:25 p.m.            

                                       

Wonderful to hear from you rich!!!!