Oil Rallies As Twin Storms Force Shut-Ins In Gulf Of Mexico
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Started by metmike - Aug. 24, 2020, 1:05 p.m.

https://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/Oil-Rallies-As-Twin-Storms-Force-Shut-Ins-In-Gulf-Of-Mexico.html

Oil and gas companies active in the Gulf of Mexico have shut in almost 58 percent of oil production on Monday as two tropical storms threaten operations

Oil and gas companies active in the Gulf of Mexico have shut in almost 58 percent of oil production and 44.6 percent of gas production as a hurricane and a tropical storm are approaching the area. The shut-in oil output stands at over 1.065 million bpd and the shut-in gas production is about 1.205 billion cu ft daily.

The staff on 114 production platforms had been evacuated as of Sunday. These platforms represent 1.773 percent of all Gulf of Mexico platforms, the Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement said. Workers were also evacuated from five of the ten drilling rigs in the Gulf, the BSEE also said in an update. BP, Chevron, Shell, and Equinor were among the companies evacuating platform staff.

“After the storms have passed, facilities will be inspected,” the BSEE said. “Once all standard checks have been completed, production from undamaged facilities will be brought back online immediately. Facilities sustaining damage may take longer to bring back online.”

 

Two tropical storms, Marco and Laura, are moving in on the Gulf of Mexico. While the National Hurricane Center expected Marco to weaken to a depression, the latest update about its progress includes wind speeds indicating a Category 1 hurricane. Laura is expected to gather strength into a full-blown hurricane before weakening around the middle of the week.

Oil prices were down at the time of writing but will likely jump later as the market factors in the shut-in production. This is the first significant production shut-in in the Gulf of Mexico this hurricane season. On the flip side, worry about the continued negative effect of the coronavirus pandemic on fuel demand is pressuring prices, so any gain will likely be limited in the absence of more bullish news. Concern about the U.S. economy after pessimistic minutes from the latest Fed meeting released last week will also likely continue to drag prices down.





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By metmike - Aug. 24, 2020, 1:09 p.m.
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By metmike - Aug. 25, 2020, 12:47 p.m.
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metmike: Laura predicted to become a MAJOR hurricane now.

Oil prices rise on storm-driven output cuts, COVID-19 weighs

https://www.oilandgas360.com/oil-prices-rise-on-storm-driven-output-cuts-covid-19-weighs/

LONDON – Crude oil prices rose on Tuesday, supported by production cuts in the U.S. Gulf Coast as Tropical Storm Laura was forecast to become a major hurricane, while rising coronavirus cases in Asia and Europe capped gains.


Source: Reuters

However, the risk of a major double hit has lessened. Storm Laura has developed into a hurricane but storm Marco has weakened and was likely to dissipate by early Wednesday, the National Hurricane Center said.

Producers have shut more than 1.5 million barrels per day of Gulf Coast offshore oil production, nearly 14% of the nation’s total output.

“With the storm downgrade, it suggests the production recovery and will take place in short order. Meanwhile, preemptive refinery shutdowns will have offset lost supply but the U.S. is still facing elevated crude stocks so the market won’t maintain this gain,” Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity research at BNP Paribas, said.

A U.S. infectious diseases specialist said on Monday that rushing out vaccines could undermine trials of other promising candidates, following a boost to markets after U.S. regulators authorised the use of blood plasma from recovered COVID-19 patients as a treatment.

Europe is also seeing a rise in coronavirus cases, including re-infection. Two re-infections were reported in Europe and one in Hong Kong this week.

Elsewhere, U.S. and Chinese trade officials have reaffirmed their commitment to a Phase 1 trade deal, giving a boost to financial markets on Tuesday.

Meanwhile U.S. crude oil stockpiles likely fell for a fifth straight week, while refined product inventories also decreased last week, a preliminary Reuters poll showed on Monday.


By bear - Aug. 26, 2020, 11:12 p.m.
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look at the 1 yr chart of oil on the right... oil has gone up barely a little,  but not that much.  

By metmike - Aug. 27, 2020, 3:43 p.m.
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By metmike - Aug. 28, 2020, 2:29 p.m.
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https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/eia-crude-oil-inventories-75

                          

            

U.S. Crude Oil Inventories

   Latest Release   Aug 26, 2020   Actual-4.689M  Forecast-3.694M   Previous-1.632M                                                    A                                                                                                                                                                                              
Release DateTimeActualForecastPrevious
Sep 02, 2020 10:30  -4.689M
Aug 26, 2020 10:30-4.689M-3.694M-1.632M
Aug 19, 2020 10:30-1.632M-2.670M-4.512M
Aug 12, 2020 10:30-4.512M-2.875M-7.373M
Aug 05, 2020 10:30-7.373M-3.001M-10.612M
Jul 29, 2020 10:30-10.612M0.357M4.892M