Crop conditions August 24, 2020
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Started by metmike - Aug. 24, 2020, 6:13 p.m.

Corn rating -5% gd/ex

Beans -3% gd/ex


Grains open higher tonight.

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By metmike - Aug. 24, 2020, 6:17 p.m.
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U.S. #corn conditions drop 5 pts to 64% good/excellent as of Sunday. Conditions for #soybeans fell 3 pts to 69%. Both of those came in lower than trade expectations.


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By metmike - Aug. 24, 2020, 6:20 p.m.
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#Soybeans fall to 69% good/excellent from 72%. Iowa fell 6 to 56% and Illinois dropped 3 to 73%. A month ago they were both 76%. 

It has been a pretty dry month for a lot of the Midwest and Plains, and the soybeans do not like that, especially in August.

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By metmike - Aug. 24, 2020, 6:21 p.m.
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U.S. #corn conditions fell to 64% good/excellent from 69% a week earlier. Conditions did not improve anywhere. Iowa fell 9 pts to 50% - they were 77% a month ago.


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By metmike - Aug. 24, 2020, 7:22 p.m.
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This is the main reason that crop ratings dropped so much:


Monthly Soil Moisture Change

                                    


            

                

By metmike - Aug. 24, 2020, 7:52 p.m.
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When the grains open, for the corn, it should be a gap higher..........could be pretty bullish.


Not sure if we can open high enough for it to be a gap higher for the beans......it should be close.

By wglassfo - Aug. 24, 2020, 9:34 p.m.
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Remains to be seen if southern storms kick in with some rain in the eastern grain crops

We are dry but rain is forcast for this week end starting on Fri. We will have a corn crop but kernel depth and test wt make a big difference in yield

That same thing about kernel depth and test wt in some of the best grain growing soils in the western grain belt are suffering from drought, [except if irrigation] with no rain in sight. Some corn in the NW Ill in gods country has corn fields dried up and dead from drought. Looking at the cobs 160 might catch what should be 220 bu crop in any yr

Conditions may drop again next week, considering how many high yielding crops are going down hill fast

This is much more than just storm damaged acres, with yields going down hill, fast

By mcfarm - Aug. 24, 2020, 10:55 p.m.
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many many reports of beans really showing the stress this week. Northern Iowa beans are turning, ears are hanging down and just after labor day there will be combines rolling. Here in Central Indiana we have had more rain this month but sudden death syndrome is really coming now. Good crops here, great crops in western Indiana where I was last week. Next weeks ratings will show more shrinkage. And on top of all that a major turn day for beans comes in around the 28th. If grains do not break out this week the rally will be capped I am afraid. 

By metmike - Aug. 25, 2020, 1:04 p.m.
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The rally so far has been pretty impressive.

By metmike - Aug. 26, 2020, 12:34 a.m.
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Aug. 25: CBOT Dec #corn jumped 2.8% to $3.54-1/2 per bu, its highest since July 10. That is up ~10% in two weeks and up more than 8% this month, the biggest August rise since 2011. Drought/derecho concerns continue for U.S. output, and #China placed a large order for U.S. corn.

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By metmike - Aug. 30, 2020, 7:58 p.m.
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Thanks in part to the increase in CO2, very dry conditions in IA and vicinity(although hurting yields this month) are not taking the toll that would have occurred before this era of  beneficial climate change.


Interesting to look back at the last decade. Note the last drought year of 2012, at the bottom.

The previous drought was 1988.

This was a record for consecutive years without a severe, widespread Cornbelt drought.

STAR - Global Vegetation Health Products

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/VH/vh_browse.php


2020 below

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2020/WorldBig_VHI_202034.png


2019

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2019/WorldBig_VHI_201934.png


2018https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2018/WorldBig_VHI_201834.png


2017https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2017/WorldBig_VHI_201734.png


2016https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2016/WorldBig_VHI_201634.png


2015https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2015/WorldBig_VHI_201534.png


2014https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2014/WorldBig_VHI_201434.png


2013https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2013/WorldBig_VHI_201334.png


2012https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/vci/gvix_webImages/2012/WorldBig_VHI_201234.png

By metmike - Aug. 30, 2020, 8:18 p.m.
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Crop ratings on Monday will fall several % again, led by the areas in orange/red below:


Monthly Soil Moisture Change


By metmike - Aug. 30, 2020, 8:22 p.m.
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On top of the dry weather, we had some major heat last week in those dry spots.


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/tanal/7day/max_min/20200828.7day.max_min.F.gif