INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - Sept. 9, 2020, 7:59 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Wednesday, September 9, 2020 



7:00 AM ET.  MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey



                       Composite Idx (previous 770.6)



                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -2.0%)



                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 309.6)



                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -0.2%)



                       Refinance Idx (previous 3316.2)



                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -3.1%)



7:45 AM ET. Weekly Chain Store Sales Index



8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index



                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M% (previous +5.8%)



                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous -0.3%)



                       Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +4.6%)



10:00 AM ET. July Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey



2:00 PM ET. SEC Closed Meeting



4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin



                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -6.4M)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -5.8M)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -0.4M)



Thursday, September 10, 2020 



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims



                       Jobless Claims (expected 850K; previous 881K)



                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -130K)



                       Continuing Claims (previous 13254000)



                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -1238K)



8:30 AM ET. August PPI



                       PPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous +0.6%)



                       Ex-Food & Energy PPI, M/M% (expected +0.3%: previous +0.5%)



                       Personal Consumption (previous +0.5%)



9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index



10:00 AM ET. July Monthly Wholesale Trade



                       Inventories, M/M% (expected -0.1%; previous -1.4%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report



                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 3455B)



                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +35B)

                       

11:00 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report



                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 498.401M)



                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -9.362M)



                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 234.859M)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -4.32M)



                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 177.52M)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.675M)



                       Refinery Usage (previous 76.7%)



                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 16.979M)



                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous -2.64M)

                       

4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



Friday, September 11, 2020 



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales



                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 2484.9K)



                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 1850.9K)



                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 585.4K)



8:30 AM ET. August CPI



                       CPI, M/M% (expected +0.3%; previous +0.6%)



                       Core CPI, M/M% (expected +0.3%; previous +0.6%)



                       Energy Idx, M/M% (previous +2.5%)



                       Food Idx, M/M% (previous -0.4%)



                       Real Avg Wkly Pay-Infla Adj, M/M% (previous -0.6%)



                       CPI, Y/Y% (expected +1.2%; previous +1%)



                       Core Annual, Y/Y% (expected +1.6%; previous +1.6%)



8:30 AM ET. August Real Earnings



10:00 AM ET. August Online Help Wanted Index



10:00 AM ET. 2nd Quarter Quarterly Services



12:00 PM ET. World Agricultural Supply & Demand Estimates (WASDE)



                       Corn, End Stocks (Bushels)



                       Soybeans, End Stocks (Bushels)



                       Wheat, End Stocks (Bushels)



                       Cotton, End Stocks (Bales)



2:00 PM ET. August Monthly Treasury Statement of Receipts & Outlays of the U.S. Govt



Tuesday, September 15, 2020 



7:45 AM ET. Weekly Chain Store Sales Index



8:30 AM ET. September Empire State Manufacturing Survey



                       Mfg Idx (previous 3.7)



                       Employment Idx (previous 2.4)



                       New Orders Idx (previous -1.7)



                       Prices Received (previous 4.7)



8:30 AM ET. August Import & Export Price Indexes



                       Import Prices (previous +0.7%)



                       Non-Petroleum Prices (previous +0.2%)



                       Petroleum Prices (previous +7.8%)



8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index



                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%



                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y%



                       Latest Wk, Y/Y%



9:15 AM ET. August Industrial Production & Capacity Utilization



                       Industrial Production, M/M% (previous +3.0%)



                       Capacity Utilization % (previous 70.6%)



                       Capacity Utilization, Net Chg (Pts) (previous +2.1)



4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin



                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)



  N/A              U.S. Federal Open Market Committee meeting


The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes"



The STOCK INDEXES:The September NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight pointed to a bounce in U.S. stock futures later today with technology stocks poised to lead the gains. The high-range trade sets the stage for a higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to  lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off last-Wednesday's high, the August 11th low crossing at 10,845.50 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 11,842.15 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance the 10-day moving average crossing at 11,842.15. Second resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 12,465.25. First support is the August 11th low crossing at 10,845.50. Second support is the July 24th low crossing at 10,301.00.



The September S&P 500 was higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high.The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning.Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off last-Wednesday's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 3305.46 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 3463.53 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3463.53. Second resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 3524.50. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3305.46. Second support is the 25% retracement level of the March-August-rally crossing at 3236.03. 



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: September T-bonds were higher overnight. The low-range he stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 179-16 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews the decline off August's high, the June 16th low crossing at 174-29 is the next downside target. First  resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 179-16. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 183-06. First support is the August 28th low crossing at 175-05. Second support is the June 16th low crossing at 174-29.



September T-notes were steady to slightly lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening with the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews last-Friday's decline, the August 28th low crossing at 138.230 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Thursday's high crossing at 140.005 would renew the rally off August's low. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 140.005. Second resistance is August's high crossing at 140.130. First support is the August 28th low crossing at 138.230. Second support is the June 16th low crossing at 138.070.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



October crude oil was higher due to short covering overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off August's high.The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the aforementioned decline, the June 12th low crossing at $35.25 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $41.95 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $41.95. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $43.78. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at $36.13. Second support is the June 12th low crossing at $35.25.  



October heating oil was higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off August's high. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the decline off August's high, the 75% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at $100.45 is the next upside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $118.43 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $118.43. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $122.43. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at $106.05. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the April-August-rally crossing at $100.45.  



October unleaded gas was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off August's high. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the decline off August's high, the July 30th low crossing at $106.14 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $120.66 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $120.66. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $129.41. First support is Tuesday's low crossing at $108.51. Second support is the July 30th low crossing at $106.14.    



October Henry natural gas was higher due to short covering overnight as it consolidated some of Tuesday's huge decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. If September extends the decline off August's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.215 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Friday's high crossing at 2.605 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is August's high crossing at 2.743. Second resistance isthe November-2017 high crossing at 2.815. First support is the overnight low crossing at 2.346. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.215.    



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The September Dollar was steady to slightly higher overnight as it extends the rally  off September's low. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the August 3rd high crossing at $93.98 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If September renews this year's decline, long-term support on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 90.21 is the next downside target. First resistance is the August 3rd high crossing at $93.98. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $94.10. First support is September's low crossing at $91.74. Second support is long-term support on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 90.21.



The September Euro was steady to slightly lower in overnight trading while extending the July-September trading range. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the August 3rd low crossing at $117.07 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews the rally off May's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at $120.83 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high  crossing at $120.01. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at $120.83. First support is the August 3rd crossing at $117.07. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $116.76.



The September British Pound was lower in overnight trading as it extends the decline off September's high. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2938 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.3236 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3176. Second resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.3236. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.2938. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the March-August-rally crossing at 1.2710.



The September Swiss Franc was steady to slightly lower in overnight trading as it extends the decline off last-Tuesday's high. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0869 would open the door for a possible test of August's low crossing at 1.0829. If September resumes the rally off April's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 1.1178 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 1.1116. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 1.1178. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0869. Second support is August's low crossing at 1.0829.  



The September Canadian Dollar was steady to slightly higher in late-overnight trading as it consolidates some of last-week's decline. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends Tuesday's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 74.96 is the next downside target.Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 76.23 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 76.96. Second resistance is January's high crossing at 77.16. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 74.96. Second support is the August 7th low crossing at 74.63.



The September Japanese Yen was steady to slightly lower overnight while extending the August-September trading range. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. Closes below August's low crossing at 0.0934 would renew the decline off July's high. If September renews the rally off August's low, July's high crossing at 0.0960 is the next upside target. First resistance is July's high crossing at 0.0960. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 0.0968. First support is August's low crossing at 0.0934. Second support is the July 20th low crossing at 0.0930. Third support is July's low crossing at 0.0925.



PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: October gold was lower overnight as it extends the August-September trading range. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $1915.80 would open the door for a possible test of August's low crossing at $1865.00. If October resumes the rally off August's low, the August 18th high crossing at $2016.60 is the next upside target. First resistance is the August 18th high crossing at $2016.60. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $2078.00. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1915.80. Second support is August's low crossing at $1865.00.  



September silver was lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at $26.130 would signal that a short-term top might be in or is near. If September renews the rally off June's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2011-2020 decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 30.727 is the next upside target. First resistance is August's high crossing at $29.915. Second resistance is the the 50% retracement level of the 2011-2020 decline on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 30.727. First support is the reaction low crossing at $26.130. Second support is the 38% retracement level of March-August-rally crossing at $22.973. 



September copper was steady to slightly lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. If September renews the rally off August's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 3.2293 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.9096 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 3.0598. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at 3.2293. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.9623. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.9096. 



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



December corn was lower overnight as it consolidates around the 38% retracement level of the 2019-2020 decline. The mid-range trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2019-2020 decline crossing at $3.72 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.49 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $3.64 1/4. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2019-2020 decline crossing at $3.72. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $3.49 1/4. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $3.41 1/2.      



December wheat was lower overnight as it extends the decline off last-Tuesday's high. The low-range trade sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the decline off last-Tuesday's high, the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.35 1/2 is the next downside target. If December resumes the rally off August's low, the 87% retracement level of the March-June-decline crossing at $5.69 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $5.68 1/2. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the March-June-decline crossing at $5.69 1/2. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.35 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.29. 



December Kansas City wheat was lower overnight as it extends the decline off September's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.59 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off August's low, June's high crossing at $4.95 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at $4.90 3/4. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $4.95. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.59. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.54.          



December Minneapolis wheat was steady to fractionally higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off last-Wednesday's high. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to fractionally higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.30 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December resumes the rally off August's low, June's high crossing at $5.54 1/4 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $5.49 1/2. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $5.54 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.30 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.27 1/4.   



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



November soybeans was steady to higher in late-overnight trading. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If November extends this summer's rally, the December 2019 high crossing at $9.82 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $9.57 would signal that a short-term top has been posted.First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $9.77. Second resistance is the December 2019 high crossing at $9.82 3/4. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $9.57. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $9.31 1/4.  



December soybean meal was higher overnight. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends this summer's rally, the 75% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $324.30 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $305.00 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of 2019-2020-decline crossing at $317.60. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $324.30. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $310.70. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $305.00.   

   

December soybean oil was lower overnight as it extends the trading range of the past two-weeks. The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off April's low, the 87% retracement level of the December-March-decline crossing at 35.07 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 32.38 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the December-March-decline crossing at 33.88. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the December-March-decline crossing at 35.07. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 32.38. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 30.95.

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



October hogs closed up $0.08 at $59.90. 



October hogs closed higher on Tuesday as it extends the rally off June's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends the rally off the July 31st low, the 38% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $62.58 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $54.79 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $60.95. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $62.58. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $56.50. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $54.79.     



October cattle closed up $1.10 at $105.55. 



October cattle closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the decline off August's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the decline off August's high, the July 15th low crossing at $102.65 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $107.68 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $110.91. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at $115.09. First support is the July 15th low crossing at $102.65. Second support is the June 29th low crossing at $98.50.     



October Feeder cattle closed up $1.45-cents at $139.95. 


October Feeder cattle closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the decline off August's high, July's low crossing at $132.38 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $143.53 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $143.53. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $150.20. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $137.55. Second support is July's low crossing at $132.38.        



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



December coffee closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidates some of the rally off June's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the rally off August's low, the 75% retracement level of the December-June-decline crossing at 13.58 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.31 would confirm that a short-term top.  



December cocoa gapped down and closed lower on Tuesday as it extends the decline off last-Thursday's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 25.20 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off July's low, the 87% retracement level of the February-July-decline crossing at 27.14 is the next upside target.                  



October sugar closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the decline off August's high. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends the decline off August' high, the July 24th low crossing at 11.48 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.70 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted.               



December cotton closed lower on Tuesday as it extends the decline off last-Tuesday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 63.33 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December renews the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 67.31 is the next upside target. 

Comments
By metmike - Sept. 9, 2020, 3:44 p.m.
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Thanks tallpine.


Weather not a big factor at this point for grains.


Forecast is warming up for ng but prices have become extraordinarily volatile with insane daily price swings with tremendous uncertainty on several issues.