INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - Dec. 7, 2020, 8:14 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



10:00 AM ET. November Employment Trends Index



                       ETI (previous 97.57)



                       ETI, Y/Y%



3:00 PM ET. October Consumer Credit



                       Consumer Credit Net Chg (USD) (previous +16.2B)


The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=indexes"



The STOCK INDEXES:The March NASDAQ 100 was slightly lower overnight as it consolidates some of its recent gains. The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher are possible near-term. If the NASDAQ 100 extends the rally off November's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,101.71 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 12,563.50. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 12,101.71. Second is the 50-day moving average crossing at11,784.31.  



The March S&P 500 was steady to lower overnight.The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning.Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are still possible near-term. If March extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3590.49 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 3706.00. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3590.49. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3469.49. 



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: March T-bonds were higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends last-week's decline, November's low crossing at 169-16 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 174-25 would open the door for a possible test of November's high crossing at 170-22. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 174-25. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 177-06. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 171-04. Second support is November's low crossing at 170-22.



March T-notes were higher overnight as it consolidates some of last-Friday's decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening with the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends last-week's decline, November's low crossing at 136.265 is the next downside target. If March renews the rally off November's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 138.068 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 138.068. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 138.300. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at 137.075. Second support is November's low crossing at 136.265. 



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



January crude oil was lower overnight as it consolidates some of last-Friday's rally. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January extends the rally off November's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $47.20 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $43.30 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $46.68. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $47.20. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $45.09. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $43.30.    



January heating oil was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off November's low. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January resumes the rally off November's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $150.97 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $131.24 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $142.01. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $150.97. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $137.06. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $131.24. 



January unleaded gas was lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If January renews the rally off November's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $134.28 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $120.15 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $128.80. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $134.28. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $124.44. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $120.15. 



January Henry natural gas was lower overnight as it extends the decline off October's high and has taken out March's low crossing at 2.421. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If January extends the decline off October's high, weekly support crossing at 2.179 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.877 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.877. Second resistance is the November 16th gap crossing at 3.074. First support is the overnight low crossing at 2.389. Second support is weekly support crossing at 2.179.



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The March Dollar was higher overnight as it consolidates some of the decline off November's low. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off November's high, monthly support crossing at $90.21 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving averagecrossing at $91.96 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving averagecrossing at $91.38. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $91.96. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $90.38. Second support is monthly support crossing at $90.21.



The March Euro was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off November's low. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $125.38 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $119.56 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of 2018-2020-decline crossing at $122.03. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $125.38. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $120.41. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $119.56. 



The March British Pound was sharply low overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off September's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a lower opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3304 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off September's low, the February-2019 high crossing at 1.3728 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 1.3550. Second resistance is the February-2019 high crossing at 1.3728. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3304. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3116.



The March Swiss Franc was steady to slightly higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends last-week's rally, the September-2018 high crossing at 1.1319 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1063 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at 1.1290. Second resistance is the September-2018 high crossing at 1.1319. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.1132. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1063. 



The March Canadian Dollar was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off November's low. The low-range trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the October-2018 high crossing at $79.05 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $76.90 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Friday's high crossing at $78.32. Second resistance is the October-2018 high crossing at $79.05. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $77.32. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $76.90.  



The March Japanese Yen was steady to slightly lower overnight as it extends the trading range of the past three-weeks. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0956 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off November's low, November's high crossing at 0.0971 is the next upside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at 0.0971. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the February-March rally crossing at 0.0981. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0956. Second support is November's low crossing at 0.0948.  



PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: February gold was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Monday's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $1850.60 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If February renews the decline off November's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020-rally crossing at $1711.10 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1850.60. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1887.90. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at $1767.20. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2018-2020-rally crossing at $1711.10.



March silver was lower overnight as it consolidates some of the rally off last-Monday's low. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $24.320 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If March renews the decline off November's high, the 50% retracement level of the March-August-rally crossing at $21.148 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $24.320. Second resistance is the November 16th high crossing at $25.285. First support is September's low crossing at $21.930. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the March-August-rally crossing at $21.148. 



March copper was lower overnight as it consolidates some of this year's rally. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2011-2016-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 3.6126 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.3148 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the overnight high crossing at 3.5460. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2011-2016-decline on the monthly chart crossing at 3.6126. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 3.4316. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.3147.  



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



March corn was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off last-Monday's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.11 1/2 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $4.26 would temper the near-term bearish outlook. If March resumes the rally off April's low, weekly resistance marked by the June-2016 high crossing at $4.43 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $4.39 1/2. Second resistance is the June-2016 high crossing at $4.43 1/2 is the next upside target. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $4.11 1/2. Second support is the October 29th low crossing at $3.93.    



March wheat lower overnight as it extends the decline off October's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off October's high, the 62% retracement level of the June-October-rally crossing at $5.55 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.01 1/4 would signal that a short-term low has likely been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $5.90 1/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.04 1/4. First support is the overnight low crossing at $5.66 1/4. Second support is the 62% retracement level of the June-October-rally crossing at $5.55.      

 

March Kansas City wheat was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends last-week's decline, the 38% retracement level of the August-November-rally crossing at $5.27 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.56 1/4 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $5.56 1/4. Second resistance is the November 25th high crossing at $5.75. First support is the 38% retracement level of the August-November-rally crossing at $5.27 3/4. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the August-November-rally crossing at $5.09 3/4.



March Minneapolis wheat was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off October's high, the 75% retracement level of the August-October-rally crossing at $5.39 1/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at crossing at $5.63 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.39 1/4. Second resistance is the November 25th high crossing at crossing at $5.73. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $5.46 1/4. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the August-October-rally crossing at $5.39 1/4.     

     

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



January soybeans was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at $11.42 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If January renews the rally off August's low, monthly resistance marked by the June-2016 high crossing at $12.08 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at $12.00. Second resistance is monthly resistance marked by the June-2016 high crossing at $12.08 1/2. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at $11.42 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $10.98 1/2.



March soybean meal was lower overnight as it extends the decline off last-Monday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends last-week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at $368.00 is the next downside target. If March renews the rally off August's low, monthly resistance crossing at $404.90 is the next upside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at $398.80. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $404.90. First support is the overnight low crossing at $379.20. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $368.00.       



March soybean oil was lower overnight. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March resumes the rally off October's low, monthly resistance crossing at 41.25 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at 36.42 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is November's high crossing at 38.60. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 41.25. First support is last-Wednesday's low crossing at 36.42. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 34.90.     

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



February hogs closed down $0.48 at $66.45. 



February hogs closed lower on Friday but well off session lows. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If February extends this week's decline, November's low crossing at $62.75 is the next downside target. If February renews the rally off November's low October's high crossing at $72.80 is the next upside target. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $69.60. Second resistance is October's high crossing at $72.80. First support is November's low crossing at $62.75. Second support is September's crossing at $61.55.     



February cattle closed down $0.55 at $112.03 



February cattle close lower on Friday as it consolidated some of the rally off November's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. February extends the decline off last-Tuesday's high, the November 20th low crossing at $109.00 is the next downside target. If February renews the rally off November's low, November's high crossing at $115.45 is the next upside target. If First resistance is November's high crossing at $115.45. Second resistance is September's high crossing at $116.63. First support is the November 20th low crossing at $109.00. Second support is October's low crossing at $105.53. 



January Feeder cattle closed unchanged at $139.50. 


January Feeder cattle closed unchanged on Friday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Monday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $139.06 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If January resumes the rally off October's low, August's high crossing at $147.38 is the next upside target. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at $143.48. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $147.38. First support is the November 20th low crossing at $133.00. Second support is October's low crossing at $124.25.       



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



March coffee closed lower on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 11.70 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off November's low, the 75% retracement level of the September-November decline crossing at 12.80 is the next upside target.    



March cocoa closed higher on Friday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 25.75 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off November's low, monthly resistance crossing at 29.98 is the next upside target.                     



March sugar closed lower on Friday as it extends the decline off November's high. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain  neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below Wednesday's low crossing at 14.33 would open the door for a possible test of the October 30th low crossing at 13.94. If March renews the rally off September's low, weekly resistance crossing at 16.45 is the next upside target.             



March cotton closed higher on Friday as it consolidated some of the decline off November's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 70.48 is the next downside target. If March resumes the rally off April's low, the July-2018 high crossing at 79.56 is the next upside target. 

Comments
By metmike - Dec. 7, 2020, 11:47 a.m.
Like Reply

Thanks tallpine!


NG spiked lower from warmer forecasts!!


Beans have bounced back from losses at mid morning. Could the move up resume?  SA weather still mostly bearish.