Grains Tuesday
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Started by metmike - June 26, 2018, 10:04 a.m.

Crop condition/ratings from Monday Afternoon:

Nothing noteworthy.

Corn -1% to 77% gd/ex

beans unch at 73% gd/ex

Spring Wheat 77% gd/ex  -1% from last week.

Oats 72% +2%

Cotton 42% gd/ex  +4%    Cotton 19% P/VP -7% from last week, WOW!

https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/prog2618.txt

Comments
By metmike - June 26, 2018, 10:07 a.m.
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By mcfarm - June 26, 2018, 6:57 a.m.

https://talk.newagtalk.com/forums/thread-view.asp?tid=790526&mid=6834302#M6834302    despite the record rains in northern Iowa and S Minn and many crops hurting this is an estimate of crop yield to date....pretty fancy numbers



                By cliff-e - June 26, 2018, 8:59 a.m.            

            Farm Progress is living in a world of BS and fantasy if they think Mn. will achieve those yield numbers. We have entirely too much water standing in fields in places and many acres of both corn and soybeans have yet to be sprayed. On June 19 we saw some "dicamba desperation" spraying of soybeans in misty,drizzly conditions that will cause that effort to fail. Prior to that we saw it being sprayed "off label" in too hot and/or windy conditions But dicamba use was very limited as too many were afraid to use use it even though they paid for the seed to do so and/or spraying conditions prohibited it. And as of June 20 dicamba's not legal to use on soybeans so those who haven't sprayed will be using chemicals that will burn and stunt the soybean plants. Fortunately those of us who planted Liberty soybeans have some time yet to spray Liberty herbicide to control weeds.

By metmike - June 26, 2018, 10:11 a.m.
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                By cliff-e - June 25, 2018, 9:26 p.m.            

                 The other story...too much rain on the Plain makes raising grain a pain. And the rainfall totals have increased thru out SE. SD. NW Ia. and the lower third of Mn.

http://www.keloland.com/news/article/weather/rain-totals-across-the-state

By metmike - June 26, 2018, 10:40 a.m.
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The extended guidance is turning MUCH drier and hot.


Temperatures below for today's 8-14 day forecast.

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/short_range/tools/gifs/ens700_maps.d11.klnT.prb.gif



Precip Below for today's 8-14 day forecast:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/short_range/tools/gifs/sfc_count_sup814_prec.gif

By metmike - June 26, 2018, 10:45 a.m.
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CFS week 3 and 4...........back to HOT and dry for the Midsection. Very impressive if it's on the right track.

"If" its on the right track, the lows might be in.

Temperatures Below:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk3.wk4_latest.NAsfcT.gif


Precip Below

Precip belowhttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/weekly/images/wk3.wk4_latest.NAprec.gif

By metmike - June 26, 2018, 3:21 p.m.
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As expected the NWS guidance came out hot and getting drier:


Temperature Probability 6-10 Day

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
 Precipitation Probability

  6 to 10 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability


Temperature Probability 8-14 Day

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
 Precipitation Probability

  8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
By metmike - June 26, 2018, 3:49 p.m.
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Extreme weather days 3-7:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d3_7_contours.png


Extreme weather days 8-14:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/hazards_d8_14_contours.png

By MarkB - June 26, 2018, 11 p.m.
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Travelling through AL, TN, KY, and southern IN this past weekend, nearly all the corn I saw was already at least 5'-6' tall and healthy looking. Very few bad spots. As long as they get enough rain to kernel out, they will be good.


Marketwise, I'm thinking the lows have pretty much been dialed in with the planting progress. Now we wait to see if any weather anomolies reduce production at harvest.

By cutworm - June 26, 2018, 11:48 p.m.
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My early planted corn is starting to tassel . Very early for 112 day corn in this area.