INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - Dec. 31, 2020, 3:08 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Friday, January 1, 2021  



  N/A              U.S.: New Year's Day. Financial markets closed


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes



The Dow closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are diverging but are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at 29,755.53 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 30,588.79. Second resistance is unknown. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 29,755.53. Second support is the November 12th low crossing at 28,902.13.  



The March NASDAQ 100 closed slightly lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off September's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below last-Monday's low crossing at 12,461.00 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Tuesday's high crossing at 12,918.25. Second resistance is unknown. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 12,461.00. Second support is the December 12th low crossing at 12,217.00.   



The March S&P 500 closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Multiple closes below the reaction low crossing at 3636.00 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at 3727.50. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the reaction low crossing at 3636.00. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3567.22.  



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



March T-bonds closed up 5/32's at 173-00.

  

March T-bonds closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish  signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 173-18 would confirm that a low has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of November's high crossing at 177-06. If March resumes the decline off the November 20th high, November's low crossing at 170-22 is the next downside target.First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 173-18. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 177-06. First support is the December 4th low crossing at 171-04. Second support is November's low crossing at 170-22. 



March T-notes closed up 25-pts. at 138.015.



March T-notes closed higher on Thursday as it extends December's trading range. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. Closes below the December 16th low crossing at 137.195 would temper the near-term friendly outlook. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 138.070 would open the door for a possible test of November's high crossing at 138.300. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 138.070. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 138.300. First support is the December 16th low crossing at 137.195. Second support is the December 4th low crossing at 137.075.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



February crude oil closed slightly lower on Thursday as it extends this month's symmetrical triangle. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February renews the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $52.41 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Tuesday's low crossing at $46.16 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is December's high crossing at $49.43. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $52.41. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at $46.16. Second support is December's low crossing at $44.10.  



February heating oil closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $145.93 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If February renews the rally off November's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $152.86 is the next upside target. First resistance is December's high crossing at $151.88. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $152.86. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at  $145.93. Second support is December's low crossing at $134.29. 



February unleaded gas closed lower on Thursday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought, diverging but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February renews the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $152.11 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $133.69 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is December's high crossing at $139.69. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $152.11. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 133.69. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $122.77.    



February Henry natural gas closed higher on Thursday and filled Monday's gap crossing at 2.507 signaling that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If February extends this week's rally, the December 22nd high crossing at 2.775 is the next upside target. If February extends this year's decline, weekly support crossing at 2.179 is the next downside target. First resistance is Monday's gap crossing at 2.507. Second resistance is the December 22nd high crossing at 2.775. First support is Monday's low crossing at 2.263. Second support is weekly support crossing at 2.179. 



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The March Dollar closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher  opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this year's decline, monthly support crossing at 88.15 is the next downside target. Closes above the December 21st high crossing at 90.95 would signal that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for additional gains near-term. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 90.34. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 91.71. First support is today's low crossing at 89.47. Second support is monthly support crossing at 88.15. 



The March Euro closed lower on Thursday as it consolidated some of this year's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 122.09 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at 125.39 is the next upside target. First resistance is Wednesday's high crossing at 123.30. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at 125.39. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 122.09. Second support is the December 9th low crossing at 120.90.  



The March British Pound closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March renews the rally off May's low, the February-2019 crossing at 1.3728 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3296 would open the door for additional weakness and a possible test of November's low crossing at 1.2876. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.3693. Second resistance is the February-2019 high crossing at 1.3728. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3296. Second support is December's low crossing at 1.3146.

 

The March Swiss Franc posted a key reversal down as it closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this month's rally, the September-2019 high crossing at 1.1408 is the next upside target. Multiple closes below Monday's low crossing at 1.1241 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 1.1395. Second resistance is the September-2019 high crossing at 1.1408. First support is Monday's low crossing at 1.1241. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing  at 1.1141.



The March Canadian Dollar closed slightly lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's rally, December's high crossing at 78.87 is the next upside target. If March renews the decline off December's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 77.09 is the next downside target. First resistance is December's high crossing at 78.87. Second resistance is the October-2018 high crossing at 79.09. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 77.09. Second support is the November 13th low crossing at 75.96.



The March Japanese Yen closed unchanged on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have   turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March renews the rally off November's low, the 87% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 0.0981 is the next upside target. If March renews the decline off December's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0962 is the next downside target. First resistance is December's high crossing at 0.0974. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of March's decline crossing at 0.0981. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0962. Second support is December's low crossing at 0.0956.  



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



February gold closed higher on Thursday as it extends the trading range of the past two-week's.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Friday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are  possible near-term. If February renews the rally off November's low, November's high crossing at $1973.30 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at  $1867.70 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the December 21st high crossing at $1912.00. Second resistance is November's high crossing at $1973.30. First support is the December 14th low crossing at $1820.00. Second support is November's low crossing at $1767.20.



March silver closed lower on Thursday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low, the September 15th high crossing at 28.015 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 24.704 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is December's high crossing at 27.635. Second resistance is the September 15th high crossing at 28.015. First support is the reaction low crossing at 23.630. Second support is November's low crossing at 21.960. 



March copper closed lower on Thursday as it extends this month's trading range. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the reaction low crossing at 345.00 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off March's low, monthly resistance crossing at 379.25 is the next upside target.  First resistance is December's high crossing at 364.46. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at 379.25. First support is the reaction low crossing at 345.00. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 334.31. 



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



March Corn closed up $0.09 1/2-cents at $4.84. 



March corn closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off August's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off April's low, the May-2014 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $5.22 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.38 1/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $4.85 3/4. Second resistance is the May-2014 high on the monthly chart crossing at $5.22 3/4. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $4.53 1/4. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $4.38 1/4.    



March wheat closed up $0.01-cents at $6.40 1/2.  



March wheat closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off December's high. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off December's low, the 50% retracement level of the 2012-2016-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $6.67 3/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.06 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $6.44 1/2. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2012-2016-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $6.67 3/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.06. Second support is December's low  crossing at $5.65 1/4.        



March Kansas City Wheat closed up $0.04 1/2-cents at $6.05 3/4.

 

March Kansas City wheat closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off August's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this month's  rally, the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at $6.12 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.64 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $6.06 1/2. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020 decline crossing at $6.12. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.64. Second support is December's low crossing at $5.30 3/4.       



March Minneapolis wheat closed up $0.03-cents at $5.99 1/4. 



March Minneapolis wheat closed higher on Thursday as it extended the rally off December's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible. If March extends the rally off December's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $6.06 1/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at crossing at $5.67 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at crossing at $6.00. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2019-2020-decline crossing at $6.06 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at crossing at $5.67 1/2. Second support is the December 16th low crossing at $5.54 1/4.      

     

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



March soybeans closed up $0.10 1/2-cents at $13.11.



March soybeans closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off last-March's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this year's rally, the 62% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline on the monthly chart crossing at $14.07 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $12.14 3/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $13.20 3/4. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline on the monthly chart crossing at $14.07 1/2. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $12.61. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $12.14 3/4.



March soybean meal closed up $1.30 to $429.10. 



March soybean meal closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off August's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off August's low, monthly resistance crossing at $439.60 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $399.70 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $432.50. Second resistance is monthly resistance crossing at $439.60. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $415.50. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $399.70.       



March soybean oil closed up 58-pts. at 42.44. 



March soybean oil closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close  sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off October's low, the March-2014 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 45.05 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 39.40 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 42.65. Second resistance is the March-2014 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 45.05. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 40.73. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 39.40.      

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



February hogs closed up $2.75 at $70.35. 



February hogs closed sharply higher on Thursday as it closed out the month and year on a high note. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February extends this month's rally, October's high crossing at $72.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $66.31 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $70.50. Second resistance is October's high crossing at $72.00. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $66.31. Second support is December's low crossing at $63.00.  



February cattle closed up $0.68 at $115.13 



February cattle closed higher on Thursday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $113.43 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If February extends the rally off October's low, September's high crossing at $116.63 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $116.30. Second resistance is September's high crossing at $116.63. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $113.43. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $112.32.   



March Feeder cattle closed up $0.38 at $140.13. 


March Feeder cattle closed higher on Thursday but remains below the 20-day moving average crossing at $140.70 signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at $137.37 is the next downside target. If March renews the rally off October's low, August's high crossing at $145.30 is the next upside target. First resistance is Monday's high crossing at $143.70. Second resistance is August's high crossing at $145.30. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $137.37. Second support is the November 20th low crossing at $132.45.         



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



March coffee closed higher on Thursday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off November's low, the 87% retracement level of the September-November decline crossing at 13.17 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.33 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted.     



March cocoa closed unchanged on Thursday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above Monday's high crossing at 26.04 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If March renews the decline off November's high, the November 16th gap crossing at 23.95.                        



March sugar closed higher on Thursday as it extends the rally off December's low. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off December's low, November's high crossing at 15.66 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 14.68 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. 



March cotton closed higher on Thursday as it posted a new high for the year. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off April's low, the July-2018 high crossing at 79.56 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 75.00 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted.   

Comments
By metmike - Jan. 1, 2021, 3:33 p.m.
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Thanks tallpine and Happy New Year!