INO Morning Market Commentary
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Started by tallpine - March 22, 2021, 8:12 a.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:

 



 

 

Monday, March 22, 2021  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February CFNAI Chicago Fed National Activity Index

 



 

 

                       NAI (previous 0.66)

 



 

 

                       NAI, 3-mo Moving Avg (previous 0.47)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. February Existing Home Sales

 



 

 

                       Existing Sales (expected 6.69M)

 



 

 

                       Existing Sales, M/M% (previous +0.6%)

 



 

 

                       Unsold Homes Month's Supply (previous 1.9)

 



 

 

                       Median Price (USD) (previous 303900)

 



 

 

                       Median Home Price, Y/Y% (previous +14.1%)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. 4th Quarter Quarterly Financial Report - Retail Trade

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. 4th Quarter Quarterly Financial Report – Industry

 



 

 

Tuesday, March 23, 2021   

 



 

 

7:45 AM ET. Weekly Chain Store Sales Index

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 4th Quarter International Transactions

 



 

 

                       Current Account (USD) (expected -178.5B)

 



 

 

8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%

 



 

 

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y%

 



 

 

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y%

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. March Richmond Fed Business Activity Survey

 



 

 

                       Mfg Idx (previous 14)

 



 

 

                       Shipments Idx (previous 12)

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. February New Residential Sales

 



 

 

                       New Home Sales (previous 923K)

 



 

 

                       New Home Sales, M/M% (previous +4.3%)

 



 

 

                       New Home Sales Months Supply (previous 4.0)

 



 

 

1:00 PM ET. February Money Stock Measures

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

 



 

 

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

 



 

 

Wednesday, March 24, 2021   

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W%

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W%

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W%

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 4th Quarter State Quarterly Personal Income

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February Advance Report on Durable Goods

 



 

 

                       Durable Goods-SA, M/M% (previous +3.4%)

 



 

 

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous +2.3%)

 



 

 

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous +1.4%)

 



 

 

                       Orders: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +0.5%)

 



 

 

                       Shipments: Cap Goods, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +2.1%)

 

                        

 

9:45 AM ET. March US Flash Manufacturing PMI

 



 

 

                       PMI, Mfg (previous 58.5)

 



 

 

9:45 AM ET. March US Flash Services PMI

 



 

 

                       PMI, Services (previous 58.9)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Refinery Usage

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day)

 



 

 

Wednesday, March 24, 2021   

 



 

 

7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx

 



 

 

                       Composite Idx, W/W%

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA

 



 

 

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W%

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx

 



 

 

                       Refinance Idx, W/W%

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 4th Quarter State Quarterly Personal Income

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February Advance Report on Durable Goods

 



 

 

                       Durable Goods-SA, M/M% (previous +3.4%)

 



 

 

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous +2.3%)

 



 

 

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous +1.4%)

 



 

 

                       Orders: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +0.5%)

 



 

 

                       Shipments: Cap Goods, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +2.1%)

 

                        

 

9:45 AM ET. March US Flash Manufacturing PMI

 



 

 

                       PMI, Mfg (previous 58.5)

 



 

 

9:45 AM ET. March US Flash Services PMI

 



 

 

                       PMI, Services (previous 58.9)

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl)

 



 

 

                       Refinery Usage

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day)

 



 

 

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day)

 



 

 

Thursday, March 25, 2021  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 4th Quarter 3rd estimate GDP

 



 

 

                       Annual Rate, Q/Q% (previous +4.1%)

 



 

 

                       Chain-Weighted Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +2.1%)

 



 

 

                       Corporate Profits, Q/Q%

 



 

 

                       PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +1.6%)

 



 

 

                       Purchase Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +1.8%)

 



 

 

                       Real Final Sales, Q/Q% (previous +3%)

 



 

 

                       Core PCE Price Idx, Ex-Food/Energy, Q/Q% (previous +1.4%)

 

                        

 

                       Personal Consumption, Q/Q% (previous +2.4%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. 4th Quarter Corporate Profits

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims (previous 770K)

 



 

 

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +45K)

 



 

 

                       Continuing Claims (previous 4124000)

 



 

 

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -18K)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales

 



 

 

                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 1226.8K)

 



 

 

                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 202.4K)

 



 

 

                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 529.1K)

 



 

 

9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index

 



 

 

10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 1782B)

 



 

 

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous -11B)

 

                        

 

11:00 AM ET. March Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing

 



 

 

                       Mfg Activity Idx (previous 26)

 



 

 

                       6-Mo Exp Prod Idx (previous 44)

 



 

 

                       Mfg Composite Idx (previous 24)

 



 

 

                       6-Mo Exp Composite Idx (previous 34)

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings

 



 

 

4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

 



 

 

Friday, March 26, 2021  

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February Personal Income & Outlays

 



 

 

                       Personal Income, M/M% (previous +10%)

 



 

 

                       Consumer Spending, M/M% (previous +2.4%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.3%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +1.5%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Core Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.3%)

 



 

 

                       PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +1.5%)

 



 

 

8:30 AM ET. February Advance Economic Indicators Report

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. 4th Quarter GDP by State

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. February State Employment and Unemployment

 



 

 

10:00 AM ET. March-January University of Michigan Survey of Consumers – final

 



 

 

                       End-Mo Sentiment Idx (previous 76.8)

 



 

 

                       End-Mo Expectations Idx (previous 70.7)

 



 

 

                       12-Month Inflation Forecast (previous 3.3%)

 



 

 

                       5-Year Inflation Forecast (previous 2.7%)

 



 

 

                       End-Mo Current Idx (previous 86.2)

 


The STOCK INDEXES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=indexes"  



The STOCK INDEXES: The June NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it consolidated some of last-Thursday's sharp decline.The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off Tuesday's high, the 25% retracement level of the March-February-rally crossing at 12,146.81 is the next downside target. If June resumes the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at 13,888.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is the February 25th high crossing at 13,337.50. Second resistance is February's high crossing at 13,888.00. First support is March's low crossing at 12,200.00. Second support is the 25% retracement level of the March-February-rally crossing at 12,146.81.



The June S&P 500 was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates some of last-week's decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading later this morning.Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 3849.63 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If June resumes the rally off last-September's low into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 3978.50. Second resistance is unknown.First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3849.63. Second support is March's low crossing at 3710.50.  



INTEREST RATES http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=interest"



INTEREST RATES: June T-bonds were higher due to short covering overnight as they consolidate some of this month's decline. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the decline off September's high, the June-2019 low on monthly support crossing at 152-27 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 157-09 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 157-09. Second resistance is the February 26th high crossing at 161-02. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at 153-07. Second support is the June-2019 low on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 152-27.



June T-notes were higher overnight as it consolidates some of last-week's decline. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening with the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends this year's decline the February-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 130.070 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 132.151 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 132.151. Second resistance is the March 2nd high crossing at 133.230. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at 131.000. Second support is the February-2020 low on the weekly continuation chart crossing at 130.070. 



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



May crude oil was steady to slightly lower overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $58.33 would open the door for a larger-degree decline near-term. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $63.78 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is March's high crossing at $67.79. Second resistance is the October-2018 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $76.90. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $58.33. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the November-March-rally crossing at $55.69.      



May heating oil was steady to lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $175.27 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $189.50 would signal that a short-term low has likely been posted. First resistance is March's high crossing at $198.30. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $199.48. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $175.27. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the November-March-rally crossing at $164.17. 



May unleaded gas was lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends last-week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at $184.16 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $204.48 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is March's high crossing at $215.48. Second resistance is the October 8th 2018 high crossing at $222.19. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $184.16. Second support is the 38% retracement of the November-March-rally crossing at $177.06.



May Henry natural gas was lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April extends the decline off February's high, the 87% retracement level of the December-February-rally crossing at 2.445 is the next downside target. Closes above the March 16th gap crossing at 2.619 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance resistance is the March 16th gap crossing at 2.619. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.707. First support is the 87% retracement level of the December-February-rally crossing at 2.445. Second support is December's low crossing at 2.353.  



CURRENCIEShttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=currencies"



CURRENCIES:The June Dollar was lower overnight. The low-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $91.38 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If June resumes the rally off February's low, the 50% retracement level of the September-January-decline crossing at $93.43 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at $92.42. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at $93.43. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $91.38. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $90.87.



The June Euro was higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $120.15 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June resumes the decline off February's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $117.85 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $120.15. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $120.95. First support is March's low crossing at $118.61. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the November-January-rally crossing at $117.85.

 

The June British Pound was steady to slightly lower overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session beings trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3825 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for possible test of the 38% retracement level of the September-February rally crossing at 1.3672. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 1.4009 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted while opening the door for a possible test of February's high crossing at 1.4245. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 1.4009. Second resistance is February's high crossing at 1.4245. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3825. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the September-February rally crossing at 1.3672.  



The June Swiss Franc was higher overnight. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0875 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June renews the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 1.0586 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.0875. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.1101. First support is March's low crossing at 1.0695. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 1.0586.

 

The June Canadian Dollar was higher overnight as it consolidates some of last-Thursday's sharp decline. The high-range trade sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $79.57 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If June extends the rally off February's low, the February-2018 high crossing at $82.27 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $80.88. Second resistance is the February-2018 high crossing at $82.27. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $79.57. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $79.00.  



The June Japanese Yen was steady to slightly higher overnight as it consolidates around the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 0.0920. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0928 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June extends the decline off January's high, the March-2020 low crossing at 0.0911 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 0.0928. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.0946. First support is last-Monday's low crossing at 0.0915. Second support is the March-2020 low crossing at 0.0911.

 

PRECIOUS METALS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=metals"



PRECIOUS METALS: June gold was steady to slightly lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Thursday's high crossing at $1756.00 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June resumes the decline off January's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2015-2020-rally crossing at $1617.40 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $1756.00. Second resistance is 50-day moving average crossing at $1795.90. First support is March's low crossing at $1676.20. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2015-2020-rally crossing at $1617.40.



May silver was lower overnight. The mid-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading later this morning. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above last-Thursday's high crossing at $26.740 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If May resumes the decline off January's high, the 75% retracement level of the November-February-rally crossing at $24.059 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at $26.740. Second resistance is the February 23rd high crossing at $28.470. First support is the 62% retracement level of the November-February-rally crossing at $25.111. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the November-February-rally crossing at $24.059.  



May copper was higher in overnight trading. The high-range overnight trade sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at 4.3755 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.8619 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is February's high crossing at 4.3755. Second resistance is the August-2011 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 4.5400. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.8619. Second support is the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 3.8134.  



GRAINS http://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=grains



May corn was steady to lower overnight as it consolidates some of last-Friday's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.39 3/4 would open the door for a test of the February 11th low crossing at $5.23 1/4. If May extends the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at $5.72 is the next upside target. First resistance is February's high crossing at $5.72. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2012-2019-decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $6.36. First support is the February 11th low crossing at $5.23 1/4. Second support is the the 25% retracement level of the August-February-rally crossing at $5.14.      



May wheat was steady to lower overnight as it extends the decline off February's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off February's high, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $6.17 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.53 1/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.53 1/4. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $6.88 1/2. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $6.21 3/4. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $6.17.

 

May Kansas City wheat was lower overnight as it extends the decline off February's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off February's high, the 38% retracement level of the August-March-rally crossing at $5.79 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.18 1/2 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.18 1/2. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.26 1/4. First support is the 38% retracement level of the August-March-rally crossing at $5.79. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the August-March-rally crossing at $5.52 3/4.



May Minneapolis wheat was lower overnight as it extends the decline off February's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off February's high, the the 38% retracement level of the December-January-rally crossing at $6.19 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.39 1/2 would temper the near-term bearish out. First resistance is February's high crossing at $6.58 3/4. Second resistance is January's high crossing at $6.62. First support is last-Friday's low crossing at $6.21. Second support is the 38% retracement level of the December-January-rally crossing at $6.19 3/4.       

     

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains



May soybeans was steady to higher overnight.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $13.90 3/4 would signal that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. If May resumes the rally off last-August's low, psychological resistance crossing at $15.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is March's high crossing at $14.60. Second resistance is psychological resistance crossing at $15.00. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $13.90 3/4. Second support is the February 11th low crossing at $13.36 3/4.

 

May soybean meal was steady to lower overnight as it consolidates above the 38% retracement level of the August-January rally crossing at $396.90. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $413.30 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If May resumes the decline off January's high, the 50% retracement level of August-January rally crossing at $376.30 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at $413.30. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $425.80. First support is the 38% retracement level of the August-January rally crossing at $396.90. Second support is the 50% retracement level of August-January rally crossing at $376.30.      


May soybean oil was higher overnight. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when the day session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 52.26 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If May extends the rally off October's low, the September-2012 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 58.14 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 55.75. Second resistance is the September-2012 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 58.14. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 52.26. Second support is March's low crossing at 48.62.      


LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



April hogs closed down $0.05 at $94.25. 



April hogs closed slightly lower on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If April extends the rally off November's low, the April-2019 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $99.83 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $89.32 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $95.73. Second resistance is the April-2019 high on the weekly continuation chart crossing at $99.83. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $91.30. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $89.32. 



April cattle closed down $0.20 at $118.38. 



April cattle closed lower on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish hinting that low might be in or is near. If April extends the decline off February's high, the 50% retracement level of the October-February-rally crossing at $117.72 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $120.87 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $120.87. Second resistance is February's high crossing at $126.70. First support is today's low crossing at $118.00. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the October-February-rally crossing at $117.72. 



April Feeder cattle closed down $2.00 at $139.43. 


April Feeder cattle closed sharply lower for the second day in a row on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Monday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If April extends this week's decline, March's low crossing at $137.22 is the next downside target. If April renews the rally off March's low, January's high crossing at $147.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is Thursday's high crossing at 145.83. Second resistance is January's high crossing at $147.00. First support is today's low crossing at 138.43. Second support is March's low crossing at $137.22.           



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



May coffee closed lower on Friday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 12.91 would open the door for a possible test of February's low crossing at 12.21. If May extends the rally off March's low, February's high crossing at 140.45 is the next upside target.         



May cocoa closed sharply lower on Friday as it extends the decline off March's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the decline off March's high, February's low crossing at 23.69 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 25.64 would temper the near-term bearish outlook.            



May sugar closed lower on Friday and below the 50-day moving average crossing at 15.79 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. The mid-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold, diverging but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 16.35 would temper the near-term bearish outlook.      



May cotton closed lower on Friday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Monday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 88.36 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. Closes below last-Wednesday's low crossing at 82.87 would open the door for a possible test of February's low crossing at 81.06. 

Comments
By metmike - March 22, 2021, 1:11 p.m.
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Thanks very much tallpine!!