Severe Storm Risk Thurday. Main jet stream shifting north, not much risk. Press your cursor on the map for full screen.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/

Current Day 1 Outlook	Forecaster: Hart/Kerr Issued: 18/1240Z Valid: 18/1300Z - 19/1200Z Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Slight Risk
Current Day 2 Outlook	Forecaster: Bunting Issued: 18/0600Z Valid: 19/1200Z - 20/1200Z Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Marginal Risk
Current Day 3 Outlook	Forecaster: Bunting Issued: 18/0731Z Valid: 20/1200Z - 21/1200Z Forecast Risk of Severe Storms: Marginal Risk
Current Day 4-8 Outlook

Excessive Rainfall Forecasts.............Northeast US today.

Current Day 1 Forecast Valid 12Z 07/05/18 - 12Z 07/06/18

Day 1 Threat Area in Text Format  

Current Day 2 Forecast Valid 12Z 07/06/18 - 12Z 07/07/18

Day 2 Threat Area in Text Format 

Current Day 3 Forecast Valid 12Z 07/07/18 - 12Z 07/08/18

Most weather maps on MarketForum are updated constantly, from radar images every few minutes to daily precip/models. This causes descriptions of some of the maps to be outdated later on or the next day. Every day, we just start over again with new descriptions and new maps. Please enjoy the comprehensive coverage of your weather here!

High Temperatures today and Friday,  hot in much of the country...cool N.Rockies on Wednesday.

Adding the 70+ dew points below will make it feel 5-10 degrees hotter in many places.

Heat and high humidity........feels like temperature!

Highs days 3-7 shows  Very warm/hot in most places. Cool start in Northeast.

How do these temperatures compare to average at this time of year:

High temperature departures:

Low Temperature Departures:

From the GFS ensemble mean products. Temperature anomalies for Thursday.

Temperature anomalies at the end of week 2.....most intense heat shifted west.

Last OVERNIGHT European model, heat ridge farther southwest but heat flows into Midwest, especially southern Midwest:

Last, 6Z GFS is very bearish towards the end of week 2....heat  ridge far southwest and deep trough digs into Midwest.

gfs_namer_360_200_wnd_ht	gfs_namer_360_500_vort_ht
gfs_namer_360_1000_500_thick	gfs_namer_360_850_temp_ht

   Same idea with Canadian model but a couple members of the ensemble solution still bullish with dome   farther northeast.     

360h GZ 500 forecast valid on Jul 20, 2018 00 UTC

NWS guidance for 8-14 day forecast for this afternoon(sneak peak at what it will show). Very Warm across the country but this tool shows a bit more precip than before...........from ridge riders???

Precip below:

CFS week 3 and 4. Cooler today but dry.

Precip below

https://weather.com/maps/currentusweather

Here is the latest radar image. 

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/radar_tab.php

Satellite picture.

Rains the past 24 hours.  Nebraska/Iowa to MN/WI.           

You can go to this link to see rain totals from recent time periods:

https://water.weather.gov/precip/

Go to precipitation, then scroll down to pick a time frame. Hit states to get the borders to see locations better. Under products, you can hit "observed" or "Percent of normal". 

After day 10, alot of the guidance brings rains back in. This is the total precip for 384 hours below from the  just out 12z GFS:

      It also pushes the most intense heat south of the Cornbelt.......later in week 2 on this 12z GFS solution just out:

	gfs_namer_384_500_vort_ht
gfs_namer_384_1000_500_thick	gfs_namer_384_850_temp_ht

mcfarm shared this great link with us on earlier this week:

https://www.atmos.illinois.edu/~snodgrss/Ag_Wx.html

NWS extended maps: Above temps, below rain in the Cornbelt........same as the previous 12 days of extended maps. 

Temperature Probability 6-10 day

Precipitation Probability

Temperature Probability 8-14 day

Precipitation Probability

Great job metmike.  Wish you were around when I was actively trading grains and energies.