INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - May 17, 2021, 4:23 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Tuesday, May 18, 2021 



7:45 AM ET. Weekly Chain Store Sales Index



8:30 AM ET. April New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits



                       Total Starts (previous 1.739M)



                       Housing Starts, M/M% (previous +19.4%)



                       Building Permits (previous 1.766M)



                       Building Permits, M/M% (previous +2.7%)



8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index



                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%



                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +13.3%)



                       Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +13.3%)



10:00 AM ET. ISM Semiannual Report On Business Economic Forecast



10:00 AM ET. 1st Quarter Quarterly Retail E-Commerce Sales



4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin



                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -2.5M)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +5.6M)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -0.9M)



Wednesday, May 19, 2021 



7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey



                       Composite Idx (previous 715.3)



                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous +2.1%)



                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 276.7)



                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous +0.8%)



                       Refinance Idx (previous 3281)



                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous +2.9%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report



                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 484.691M)



                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -0.426M)



                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 236.189M)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +0.378M)



                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 134.419M)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.734M)



                       Refinery Usage (previous 86.1%)



                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 17.483M)



                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous -2.208M)

                       

2:00 PM ET. Federal Open Market Committee meeting minutes published



Thursday, May 20, 2021



8:30 AM ET. May Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey



                       Business Activity (Previous 50.2)



                       Prices Paid (Previous 69.1)



                       Employment (Previous 30.8)



                       New Orders (Previous 36.0)



                       Prices Received (Previous 34.5)



                       Delivery Times (Previous 27.8)



                       Inventories (Previous 17.3)



                       Shipments (Previous 25.3)



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims



                       Jobless Claims (Previous 473K)



                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (Previous -34K)



                       Continuing Claims (Previous 3655000)



                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (Previous -45K)



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales



                       Corn (Metric Tons) (Previous 1970.3K)



                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (Previous 196.8K)



                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (Previous 298.3K)



9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index



10:00 AM ET. 1st Quarter Advance Quarterly Services



10:00 AM ET. April Leading Indicators



                       Leading Index, M/M% (Previous +1.3%)



                       Leading Index (Previous 111.6)



                       Coincident Index, M/M% (Previous +0.6%)



                       Lagging Index, M/M% (Previous -0.5%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report



                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (Previous 2029B)



                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Previous +71B)

                   

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



Friday, May 21, 2021 



9:45 AM ET. May US Flash Manufacturing PMI



                       PMI, Mfg (Previous 60.6)



9:45 AM ET. May US Flash Services PMI



                       PMI, Services (Previous 63.1)



10:00 AM ET. April State Employment and Unemployment



10:00 AM ET. April Existing Home Sales



                       Existing Sales (Previous 6.01M)



                       Existing Sales, M/M% (Previous -3.7%)



                       Unsold Homes Month's Supply (Previous 2.1)



                       Median Price (USD) (Previous 329100)



                       Median Home Price, Y/Y% (Previous +17.2%)


The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes



The Dow posted an inside day with a lower close on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If the Dow renews the rally off January's low into uncharted territory, upside targets hard to project. If the Dow extends last-week's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 33,499.42 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Tuesday's gap crossing at 34,741.57. Second resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 35,091.56. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 33,499.42. Second support is the March 25th low crossing at 32,071.41. 

 

The June NASDAQ 100 closed lower on Monday following a two-day bounce off last-Thursday's low. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 13,634.01 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.If June extends the decline off April's high, the 75% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at 12,666.46 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 13,403.38. Second resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 13,634.01. First support is the 62% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at 12,912.45. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at 12,666.46



The June S&P 500 closed lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 4162.64 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 4061.74 would open the door for additional weakness near-term. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 4162.64. Second resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 4238.25. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 4061.74. Second support is the March 25th low crossing at 3843.25.  



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



June T-bonds closed down 4/32's at 156-22. 

  

June T-bonds closed slightly lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 157-17 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. If June extends last-week's decline, the March 30th low crossing at 153-29 is the next downside target. First resistance is May's high crossing at 160-15. Second resistance is the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 160-15. First support is the March 30th low crossing at 153-29. Second support is the March 18th low crossing at 153-07. 



June T-notes closed down 35-points at 132.095.



June T-notes closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June renews the rally off April's low, the 38% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 134.054 is the next upside target. If June extends last-week's decline, the April-29th low crossing at 131.185 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 133.001. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 133.230. First support is the April 29th low crossing at 131.185. Second support is April's low crossing at 130.255. 



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



June crude oil closed higher on Monday supported by signs of a demand recovery in the U.S. and Europe, which feed optimism over the outlook for energy demand. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If May extends the rally off March's low, March's high crossing at $67.99 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $62.68 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the May 5th high crossing at $66.67. Second resistance is March's high crossing at $67.98. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $62.68. Second support is the March 23rd low crossing at $57.25. 



June heating oil closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June renews the rally off March's low, the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $213.75 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $189.43 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $208.10. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2018-2020-decline crossing at $213.75. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $196.36. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $189.43. 



June unleaded gas closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $203.37 would signal that a short-term top has likely been posted. If June renews the rally off March's low, the May-2018 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $228.55 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at $221.70. Second resistance is the May-2018 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $228.55. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $208.65. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $203.37.   



June Henry natural gas gapped up and closed higher on Monday as it renewed the rally off last-March's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off March's low, the March-2020 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 3.396 is the next upside target. Closes below last-Tuesday's low crossing at 2.881 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 3.150. Second resistance is the March-2020 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 3.396. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing at 2.881. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 2.772. 



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The June Dollar closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June renews the decline off March's high, the 87% retracement level of the February-March-rally crossing 89.71 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 90.77 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 90.77. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 91.44. First support is last-Tuesday's low crossing 89.96. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the February-March-rally crossing 89.71.   



The June Euro closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June renews the rally off March's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 122.27 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 119.81 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 121.90. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 122.27. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 120.93. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 119.81. 



The June British Pound closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June resumes this month's rally, February's high crossing at 1.4245 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3886 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 1.4167. Second resistance is February's high crossing at 1.4245. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1.4033. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3967.

 

The June Swiss Franc closed changed on Monday.The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June renews the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 1.1233 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1003 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 1.1117. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the January-April-decline crossing at 1.1233. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.1003. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0869.



The June Canadian Dollar closed higher on Monday and is poised to resume the rally off April's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the aforementioned rally, the May-2015 high crossing at 83.66 on the monthly continuation chart is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 81.45 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at 83.02. Second resistance is the May-2015 high crossing at 83.66. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 82.28. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 81.45. 



The June Japanese Yen closed slightly higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June renews the rally off March's low, the 50% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 0.0939 is the next upside target. If June extends the decline off April's high, the April-9th low crossing at 0.0910 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 38% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 0.0930. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the January-March-decline crossing at 0.0939. First support is the April-9th low crossing at 0.0910. Second support is March's low crossing at 0.0918.



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



June gold closed higher on Monday as it renewed the rally off the late-April low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If June extends the rally off April's low, the 50% retracement level of the August-March decline crossing at $1894.10 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $1801.20 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50% retracement level of the August-March-decline crossing at $1894.10. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the August-March decline crossing at $1945.50. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1801.20. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1760.60.  



July silver closed higher on Monday as it renewed the rally off March's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July extends the rally off March's low, the 87% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 28.451 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 26.788 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 28.451. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the February-March-decline crossing at 29.199. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 26.788. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 26.042. 



July copper closed higher on Monday ending a three-day correction. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 453.57 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If July extends the rally off the March 19th -2020 low, upside targets will be hard to project. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 488.80. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 466.73. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 453.57. 



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



July Corn closed up $0.08 3/4-cents at $6.52 1/2. 



July corn closed higher on Monday as it bounced off support marked by the 38% retracement level of this year's rally. The high-close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends this week's decline, the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at $6.06 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.97 1/2 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.97 1/2. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $7.35 1/4. First support is the 38% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at $6.37 1/4. Second support is the 50% retracement level of this year's rally crossing at $6.06 3/4. 



July wheat closed down $0.07 1/2-cents at $6.99 3/4.  



July wheat closed lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends the decline off May's high, the 50% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.80 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $7.29 3/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $7.29 3/4. Second resistance is April's high crossing at $7.15 1/4. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $6.90 3/4. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.80 3/4.



July Kansas City Wheat closed down $0.05 1/2-cents at $6.52 1/4.

 

July Kansas City wheat closed lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends today's decline, the 62% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.28 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.95 1/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.95 1/4. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $7.41 1/2. First support is the 62% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.28 3/4. Second support is the 75% retracement level of the March-April-rally crossing at $6.04 3/4.



July Minneapolis wheat closed down a $0.25 3/4-cents at $7.15. 



July Minneapolis wheat closed sharply lower on Monday as it extends the decline off May's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends this month's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.82 3/4 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $7.62 1/4 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $7.62 1/4. Second resistance is May's high crossing at $8.07 1/4. First support is today's low crossing at $7.03 1/2. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.82 3/4.  

       

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



July soybeans closed up $0.01 1/4-cents at $15.87 1/2.



July soybeans closed higher on Monday as it consolidated some of last-Thursday's decline. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $15.47 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If July renews the rally off last-April's low, psychological resistance crossing at $17.00 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $16.67 1/2. Second resistance is psychological resistance crossing at $17.00. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $15.84. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $15.47.



July soybean meal closed down $3.60 to $414.90. 



July soybean meal closed lower on Monday as it extended the decline off last-Wednesday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $415.10 would open the door for a possible test of April's low crossing at $399.40. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $430.80 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at $430.80. Second resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $457.20. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $415.10. Second support is April's low crossing at $399.40.       



July soybean oil closed up 139-pts. at 68.97. 



July soybean oil closed sharply higher on Monday and posted another new contract high as it extends the rally off last-April's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July extends this year's rally, the March-2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 71.26 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 62.56 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 69.99. Second resistance is the March-2008 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 71.26. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 65.30. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 62.56.     

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



June hogs closed down $0.08 at $108.65. 



June hogs closed lower on Monday as it extended the decline off May's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends the aforementioned decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at $105.66 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at $111.77 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is May's high crossing at $115.00. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2014-2016 decline on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $121.70. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $105.66. Second support is April's low crossing at $100.92. 



June cattle closed up $0.05 at $115.35. 



June cattle closed slightly higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If June extends last-Thursday's decline, May's low crossing at $112.57 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at $119.21 are needed to renew this month's rally. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $119.21. Second resistance is the April 20th high crossing at $119.83. First support is last-Thursday's low crossing at $114.70. Second support is May's low crossing at $112.57.



August Feeder cattle closed up $1.60 at $152.75. 


August Feeder cattle closed higher on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Close above the 50-day moving average crossing at $153.96 would open the door for additional gains near-term. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $147.85 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $153.96. Second resistance is the April 21st high crossing at $154.93. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $147.85. Second support is May's low crossing at $141.53.          



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



July coffee closed higher on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 14.41 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If July renews the rally off March's low, the November-2016 high crossing at 17.60 is the next upside target.            



July cocoa closed sharply higher on Monday and renewed this month's rally. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If July extends this month's rally, the March 11th high crossing at 26.21 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 24.52 would signal that a short-term top has been posted.               



July sugar closed slightly lower on Monday as it extended the decline off last-Wednesday's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends the aforementioned decline, the April-29th low crossing at 16.46 is the next downside target. If July renews the rally off March's low, long-term resistance on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 18.42 is the next upside target.        



July cotton closed lower for the third-day in a row on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If July extends the decline off April's high, the April 13th low crossing at 81.20 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 87.39 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.   

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By metmike - May 17, 2021, 6:21 p.m.
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Thanks tallpine!

NG is bullish/broke out with the gap higher. If that gets filled, the seasonal highs might be in.

New crop weather is very bearish but old crop fundamentals are extremely bullish.....for grains.