Fred not a major threat right now but needs to be monitored closely.
Mostly from Fred rains below in Florida and in the path of Fred:
7 Day Total precipitation below:
http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126
People in the path of Fred will not be saying this(-:
Chances for Fred to be even a weak hurricane have diminished to yabba dabba don't (-:
New system could be the next Tropical Storm..Grace!
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?start#contents
![[Key Messages]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL072021_key_messages+png/145644_key_messages_sm.png)
Only 6 storms to go until we get to Larry!
The name Michael was eliminated when Hurricane Michael hit the hurricane hall of fame in 2018 and caused that name to be retired forever. Now replaced with Milton, which will make his debut in 2024(6 years after Michael wreaked havoc).
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml
Atlantic Pronunciation Guide (PDF)
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ana Bill Claudette Danny Elsa Fred Grace Henri Ida Julian Kate Larry Mindy Nicholas Odette Peter Rose Sam Teresa Victor Wanda | Alex Bonnie Colin Danielle Earl Fiona Gaston Hermine Ian Julia Karl Lisa Martin Nicole Owen Paula Richard Shary Tobias Virginie Walter | Arlene Bret Cindy Don Emily Franklin Gert Harold Idalia Jose Katia Lee Margot Nigel Ophelia Philippe Rina Sean Tammy Vince Whitney | Alberto Beryl Chris Debby Ernesto Francine Gordon Helene Isaac Joyce Kirk Leslie Milton Nadine Oscar Patty Rafael Sara Tony Valerie William | Andrea Barry Chantal Dexter Erin Fernand Gabrielle Humberto Imelda Jerry Karen Lorenzo Melissa Nestor Olga Pablo Rebekah Sebastien Tanya Van Wendy | Arthur Bertha Cristobal Dolly Edouard Fay Gonzalo Hanna Isaias Josephine Kyle Leah Marco Nana Omar Paulette Rene Sally Teddy Vicky Wilfred |
So Fred was nothing special and followed Florida's coast line. Grace looks to take a more direct route to the center of the Gulf.
Thanks much Jim!
I would have started another thread for Grace but she looks so wimpy and Fred is still out there so let's combine the 2.
Like you showed/typed, the path of Grace is in the heart of GOM energy interests, so if the forecast increased the strength to a hurricane, I wouldn't want to be short NG or even the liquid energies.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?start#contents
![[Key Messages]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL072021_key_messages+png/025634_key_messages_sm.png)
Looks like Fred took a dive to the west and Grace current path is moving more south.
Great observation Jim!
Grace will track over some warmer waters also and now is expected to get close to a cat. 1 hurricane at 70 mph.
Still no major threat to ng market but I wouldn't want to be short if the intensity goes up.
Fred is having a burst of strength here with water tempertures around 86 deg. at the very end his existence, before hitting the panhandle of FL and is almost a cat. 1 hurricane.
Scroll up to the top page for Fred info.
Fred moving northeast and weakening:
Grace now a hurricane!
Not so wimpy anymore! But still no serious threat to NG platforms in the GOM.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/73499/#73727
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?start#contents
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/181500.shtml?
![[Key Messages]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT07/refresh/AL072021_key_messages+png/174128_key_messages_sm.png)
Grace back up to 85 mph going just over 100 mph later today before hitting Mexico. Staying in far S. GOM.
![[Key Messages]](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL062021_key_messages+png/145856_key_messages_sm.png)