INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - Jan. 9, 2018, 4:40 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Wednesday, January 10, 2018 



7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey



                       Composite Idx (previous 368.6)



                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous +0.7%)



                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 236.9)



                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -0.1%)



                       Refinance Idx (previous 1151.9)



                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous +1.4%)



8:30 AM ET. December Import & Export Price Indexes



                       Import Prices (expected +0.5%; previous +0.7%)



                       Non-Petroleum Prices (previous +0.1%)



                       Petroleum Prices (previous +7.2%)



10:00 AM ET. November Monthly Wholesale Trade



                       Inventories, M/M% (expected +0.7%; previous -0.5%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report



                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 424.463M)



                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -7.419M)



                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 233.187M)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +4.813M)



                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 138.834M)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +8.899M)



                       Refinery Usage (previous 96.7%)



                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 19.947M)



                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous -0.828M)



Thursday, January 11, 2018 



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales



                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 101.3K)



                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 160.8K)



                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 131K)



8:30 AM ET. December PPI



                       PPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous +0.4%)



                       Ex-Food & Energy PPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous +0.3%)



                       Personal Consumption (previous +0.6%)



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims



                       Jobless Claims (expected 245K; previous 250K)



                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous +3K)



                       Continuing Claims (previous 1914000)



                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -37K)



9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report



                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 3126B)



                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous -206B)



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



4:30 PM ET. Money Stock Measures



4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



Friday, January 12, 2018 



8:30 AM ET. December CPI



                       CPI, M/M% (expected +0.1%; previous +0.4%)



                       Core CPI, M/M% (expected +0.2%; previous +0.1%)



                       Energy Idx, M/M% (previous +3.9%)



                       Food Idx, M/M% (previous +0.0%)



                       Real Avg Wkly Pay-Infla Adj, M/M% (previous +0.1%)



                       CPI, Y/Y% (expected +2.1%; previous +2.2%)



                       Core Annual, Y/Y% (expected +1.7%; previous +1.7%)



8:30 AM ET. December Advance Monthly Sales for Retail & Food Services



                       Overall Sales-SA, M/M% (expected +0.4%; previous +0.8%)



                       Sales, Ex-Auto, M/M% (expected +0.4%; previous +1.0%)



                       Sales, Ex-Auto & Gas, M/M% (previous +0.8%)



10:00 AM ET. November Manufacturing & Trade: Inventories & Sales



                       Total Inventories (expected +0.4%; previous -0.1%)



12:00 PM ET. World Agricultural Supply & Demand Estimates (WASDE)



                       Corn, End Stocks (Bushels)



                       Soybeans, End Stocks (Bushels)



                       Wheat, End Stocks (Bushels)





Monday, January 15, 2018  



  N/A              U.S: Martin Luther King Day. Financial markets closed



 The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes ""



The March NASDAQ 100 closed slightly lower due to profit taking on Tuesday after posting a new record high in early-trading. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. However, I would not be surprised to see a lower close on Wednesday as it consolidates some of this year's gains. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 6507.23 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 6707.25. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 6550.18. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 6507.23.  



The March S&P 500 closed higher for the sixth-day in a row on Tuesday as it extended this winter's rally into record territory. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March extends this winter's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 2693.74 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 2759.50. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 2709.99. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 2693.74. 



The Dow closed higher on Tuesday into record territory as it extends this winter's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. With the Dow trading in uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 24,817.27 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 25,439.78. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 24,989.69. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 24,817.27.    



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



March T-bonds closed down 1-16/32's at 150-07.



March T-bonds closed sharply lower on Tuesday and has renewed the decline off December's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the decline off December's high, October's low crossing at 149-07 is the next downside target. Closes above last Friday's high crossing at 152-21 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is December's high crossing at 154-18. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the September-October-decline crossing at 154-21. First support is today's low crossing at 150-06. Second support is October's low crossing at 149-07.   



March T-notes closed down 140/32's at 123-015.



March T-notes closed sharply lower on Tuesday and has renewed the decline off September's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the aforementioned decline, weekly support crossing at 122.205 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 123.269 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 123.269. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 124.105. First support is today's low crossing at 123.015. Second support is weekly support crossing at 122.205.   



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



February crude oil closed higher on Tuesday and renewed the rally off June's low.Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins. If February extends the aforementioned rally, the 50% retracement level of the 2014-2016-decline crossing at 64.11 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 59.32 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 63.24. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the 2014-2016-decline crossing at 64.11. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 60.99. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 59.32. 



February heating oil closed higher on Tuesday as it renewed the rally off June's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February extends the rally off October's low, the 62% retracement level of the 2014-2016-decline crossing at 216.85 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 194.88 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 208.39. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the 2014-2016-decline crossing at 216.85. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 198.34. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 194.88.   



February unleaded gas closed higher on Tuesday and has renewed the rally off December's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February extends the rally off December's low, the May-2015 high crossing at 186.01 is the next upside target. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 175.01 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 184.62. Second resistance is the May-2015 high crossing at 186.01. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 175.01. Second support is December's low crossing at 166.19.   



February Henry natural gas closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidated some of last week's decline. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February renews the rally off December's low, the reaction high crossing at 3.210 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 2.788 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 3.097. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 3.210. First support is December's low crossing at 2.562. Second support is weekly support crossing at 2.522. 



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The March Dollar closed higher on Tuesday and above the 10-day moving average crossing at 92.16 as it extends this week's rebound. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 92.64 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March resumes the decline off December's high, the 87% retracement level of the September-November-rally crossing at 91.20 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 92.64. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 93.15. First support is the 87% retracement level of the September-November-rally crossing at 91.20. Second support is September's low crossing at 90.68.



The March Euro closed lower on Tuesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 119.61 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes the aforementioned rally, September's high crossing at 122.11 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 121.40. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 122.11. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 119.61. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 118.84.     



The March British Pound closed lower on Tuesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3485 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the rally off November's low, September's high crossing at 1.3695 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Wednesday's high crossing at 1.3646. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 1.3695. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1.3485. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.3386.     



The March Swiss Franc closed lower on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0201 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off October's low, the 50% retracement level of the July-September-decline crossing at 1.0412 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Tuesday's high crossing at 1.0365. Second resistance is the 50% retracement level of the July-September-decline crossing at 1.0412. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.0201. Second support is the reaction low crossing at 1.0159.  



The March Canadian Dollar closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidates some of the rally off December's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 79.00 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the aforementioned rally, the 75% retracement level of the September-December-decline crossing at 81.41 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 81.00. Second resistance is September's high crossing at 82.71. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 79.88. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 79.00.  



The March Japanese Yen closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If March resumes the rally off December's low, December's high crossing at 0.9023 is the next upside target. If March extends this month's decline, December's low crossing at 0.8840 is the next downside target. First resistance is November's high crossing at 0.9073. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the September-November-decline crossing at 0.9141. First support is December's low crossing at 0.8840. Second support is November's low crossing at 0.8782.  



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



February gold closed lower on Tuesday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher price are possible near-term. If February extends the aforementioned rally, the 75% retracement level of the September-December-decline crossing at 1334.00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 1285.20 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 1327.30. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the September-December-decline crossing at 1334.00. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 1309.50. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 1285.20.



March silver closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidates below the 62% retracement level of the September-December-decline crossing at 17.325. The low-range close set the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 16.560 are needed to confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off December's low, November's high crossing at 17.485 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 62% retracement level of the September-December-decline crossing at 17.325. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 17.485. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 16.735. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 16.560.     



March copper closed lower on Tuesday.The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 319.48 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March resumes the rally off December's low, the August-2013 high crossing at 334.05 is the next upside target. First resistance is December's high crossing at 332.20. Second resistance is the August-13 high crossing at 334.05. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 319.48. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 313.70.       



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



March Corn closed up 1 3/4-cents at 3.49. 



March corn posted an inside day with a higher close on Tuesday as it consolidated some of Monday's decline.The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below support marked by December's low crossing at 3.46 1/2 would renew the decline off last year's high while opening the door for a possible test of weekly support crossing at 3.32. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.53 3/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 3.53 3/4. Second resistance is December's high crossing at 3.60 1/2. First support is December's low crossing at 3.46 1/2. Second support is weekly support crossing at 3.32. 



March wheat closed up 4-cents at 4.31 3/4. 



March wheat closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.24 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 4.37 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the reaction high crossing at 4.37. Second resistance is December's high crossing at 4.60 3/4. First support is December's low crossing at 4.10 1/2. Second support is psychological support crossing at 4.00.    



March Kansas City Wheat closed up 5 3/4-cents at 4.39. 



March Kansas City wheat closed higher on Tuesday as it consolidates above the 50-day moving average crossing at 4.32. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 4.25 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off December's low, November's high crossing at 4.51 1/2 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Thursday's high crossing at 4.41 3/4. Second resistance is November's high crossing at 4.51 1/2. First support is December's low crossing at 4.10 1/2. Second support is psychological support crossing at 4.00.  



March Minneapolis wheat closed up 5 1/4-cents at 6.30 3/4. 



March Minneapolis wheat closed higher on Tuesday and above the 50-day moving average crossing at 6.28 1/2. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Multiple closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 6.28 1/2 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March renews the decline off November's high, the 87% retracement level of the April-July-rally crossing at 5.89 1/2 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 6.28 1/2. Second resistance is December's high resistance crossing at 6.34. First support is December's low crossing at 6.05. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the April-July-rally crossing at 5.89 1/2. 



SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



March soybeans closed down 3 1/2-cents at 9.63 1/4. 



March soybeans closed lower on Tuesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 9.70 1/4 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted. If March resumes the decline off December's high, the late-August low crossing at 9.50 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 9.70 1/4. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 9.89. First support is December's low crossing at 9.54 3/4. Second support is the late-August low crossing at 9.50.



March soybean meal closed down $3.50 at 318.00. 



March soybean meal closed lower on Tuesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 324.00 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted. If March resumes the decline off December's high, November's low crossing at 315.00 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 324.00. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 331.20. First support is last Thursday's low crossing at 315.50. Second support is November's low crossing at 315.00.



March soybean oil closed up 15 pts. At 33.69. 



March soybean oil closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 33.38 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off December's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 34.10 is the next upside target. First resistance is last Friday's high crossing at 34.10. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 34.10. First support is December's low crossing at 32.52. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the June-September-rally crossing at 32.44. 



LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



February hogs closed up $0.20 at $73.18. 



February hogs closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If February extends the rally off December's low, weekly resistance crossing at 76.91 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 69.72 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at 73.45. Second resistance is weekly resistance crossing at 76.91. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at 71.66. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 69.72. 



February cattle closed up $0.45 at 117.68. 



February cattle closed higher on Tuesday as it retest broken support marked by December's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If February extends Monday's decline, the 75% retracement level of the August-November-rally crossing at 115.05 is the next downside target. Closes above the 10-day moving average crossing at 120.89 would confirm that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 10-day moving average crossing at 120.89. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 123.36. First support is the 75% retracement level of the August-November-rally crossing at 115.05. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the August-November-rally crossing at 112.35.

 

March Feeder cattle closed up $0.83 at $142.75. 



March Feeder cattle closed higher on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Wednesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends this month's decline, December's low crossing at 138.30 is the next downside target. Closes above the 50-day moving average crossing at 148.50 would confirm that a low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 148.50. Second resistance is the reaction high crossing at 154.05. First support is today's low crossing at 140.12. Second support is December's low crossing at 138.30.   



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



March coffee closed unchanged on Tuesday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 12.36 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off December's low, November's high crossing at 13.30 is the next upside target. 



March cocoa closed lower on Tuesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If March extends the rally off December's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 20.08 is the next upside target. If March renews the decline off November's high, weekly support crossing at 17.91 is the next downside target. 



March sugar closed lower on Tuesday as it consolidates some of the rally off December's low. The high-range close set the stage for a steady to higher opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 14.57 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If March renews the aforementioned rally, November's high crossing at 15.49 is the next upside target. 



March cotton posted an inside day with a higher close on Tuesday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Wednesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that a short-term top might be in or is near. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 76.81 are needed to confirm a short-term top has been posted. If March extends the rally off October's low, weekly resistance crossing at 80.67 is the next upside target. 

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