https://www.aar.org/news/rail-traffic-for-the-week-ending-january-15-2022/

for the first couple weeks of the year, rail traffic (not including intermodal) is down over 4%.  container traffic is down 15% .   y-o-y. 

by this indicator, we are in recession.  but we do not have an inverted yield curve, ... and the unemployment rate is not surging.