oil ban and russia
8 responses | 0 likes
Started by bear - March 8, 2022, 1:09 p.m.

so, if the u.s. finally decides to ban russian oil,  will this be a case of buy the rumor, sell the news?   

did anyone here change their position based on this?  

Comments
By metmike - March 8, 2022, 1:20 p.m.
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Great question bear!!!!

Natural gas has managed to separate itself from the other energies with the huge pattern change to much warmer in the US causing prices to crash lower since early Sunday Night.

However, I think the downside could be limited if the liquid energies hold up.

With regards to the reaction to actual news of anything up here. The market is jacked up on emotions based on news and over reacting.

Trying to predict where the markets are going is hard enough under normal demand/supply dynamics.

Now, we are trying to predict the markets reaction to pure news about the news.

Confirmation news about the speculation news in this case. 

You are probably right though.

By Richard - March 8, 2022, 4:10 p.m.
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Long Oil and looking to add more. Current Objective is Above $200. Everything will be done by June 1. 

By wglassfo - March 8, 2022, 11:47 p.m.
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You know folks, there is a large supply of oil just north of your northern border

By metmike - March 9, 2022, 2:16 p.m.
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Thanks Richard!

You've been long oil  100 times since 2008.

Maybe this time you'll be right!


Previous discussion:

                Richard  --  oil                        

                11 responses |               

                Started by wglassfo - March 25, 2020, 11:18 p.m.            

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/49517/#49604

By bear - March 14, 2022, 11:04 a.m.
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wow, oil has been declining ever since i posted that.  i did not really expect that to work that way so fast.  

By metmike - March 14, 2022, 12:53 p.m.
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Great call bear!!

By joj - March 14, 2022, 3 p.m.
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Nice call bear.  Buy the rumor sell the fact an old standard.

By wglassfo - March 14, 2022, 3:58 p.m.
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I think approx 8 % of crude oil and products come from Russia to the USA

Rather small amount, don't you think ???

But it did fool most of the people most of the time, or some thing like that