Natural Gas Friday
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Started by metmike - July 27, 2018, 10:18 a.m.

August Natural Gas expires today!


For weather that effects the natural gas market(Cooling Degree Days in the Summer help gauge residential natural gas use because natural gas is used to generate electricity for air conditioning:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/8835/


Weather models were warmer overnight in week 2.........so we are higher.

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By metmike - July 27, 2018, 10:19 a.m.
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By metmike - July 27, 2018, 10:20 a.m.
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Yesterdays EIA storage report:

Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report       +22BCF---bullish!

       

Big drawdown in SouthCentral from the intense heat in TX last week.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

Working gas in underground storage, Lower 48 states Summary textCSVJSN
  Historical Comparisons
Stocks
billion cubic feet (Bcf)
 Year ago
(07/20/17)
5-year average
(2013-17) 
Region07/20/1807/13/18net changeimplied flow  Bcf% change Bcf% change
East527  507  20  20   624  -15.5  630  -16.3  
Midwest524  501  23  23   742  -29.4  686  -23.6  
Mountain145  144  1  1   197  -26.4  174  -16.7  
Pacific257  259  -2  -2   294  -12.6  311  -17.4  
South Central820  838  -18  -18   1,122  -26.9  1,028  -20.2  
   Salt214  230  -16  -16   310  -31.0  286  -25.2  
   Nonsalt606  608  -2  -2   813  -25.5  741  -18.2  
Total2,273  2,249  24  24   2,978  -23.7  2,830  -19.7  



Storage is LOW for this time of year!!

Storage is at the bottom of the 5 year average:

Working Gas in Underground Storage Compared with Five-Year Range

By metmike - July 27, 2018, 10:21 a.m.
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These were the temperatures for the 7 day period which passed for that EIA ng storage report:

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/tanal/7day/mean/20180720.7day.mean.F.gif

By metmike - July 27, 2018, 10:24 a.m.
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Natural gas 3 months
         


Naturalgas 1 year below

Naturalgas 5 years below

                   

Naturalgas10years below                
                   
By metmike - July 27, 2018, 6:55 p.m.
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Closing comments from Natural Gas Intelligence:

      

August Natural Gas Rallies into Expiry on Storage, Heat

     5:55 PM    

The front month natural gas futures contract rallied ahead of expiration Friday, with potential August heat and a tight storage picture offering support in a market still heavily weighed down by production. In the spot market, most regions posted discounts on three-day deals, including in the sweltering California and Desert Southwest; the NGI National Spot Gas Average dropped 21 cents to $2.70/MMBtu