Crop conditions 10-11-22
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Started by metmike - Oct. 10, 2022, 4:04 p.m.

Because of US Federal Holiday, the USDA report is delayed until Tuesday.

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By metmike - Oct. 11, 2022, 4:41 p.m.
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Crop conditions. Winter wheat emerged is starting to fall behind because of severe drought.

Very low moisture in huge areas of the Plains will cause germination to be poor in some places and early development/establishment to be poor in MANY places. 

https://downloads.usda.library.cornell.edu/usda-esmis/files/8336h188j/zs25zj733/st74f0327/prog4222.pdf

+++++++++++

@kannbwx

U.S. farmers are harvesting #corn slower than analysts thought but #soybeans faster. Both the corn and soy (and #cotton/#sorghum) harvests are now ahead of the 5yr average for the date. Winter #wheat planting is progressing as expected but slower than average.

Image

By metmike - Oct. 11, 2022, 4:41 p.m.
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Soilmoisture anomaly:


These maps sometimes take a day to catch up to incorporate the latest data(the bottom map is only updated once a week).



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Soilmst_Monitoring/US/Soilmst/Soilmst.shtml#

                            

Daily Soil Moisture Pecentile       

        Daily Anomaly Soil Moisture (mm)

        Monthly Soil Moisture Change

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/regional_monitoring/palmer.gif

                       ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/cliwatch/watch.htm#curMonths

https://mrcc.purdue.edu/cliwatch/mtd_cen/month.pperc.png


October 4, 2022 Below

Drought worsening!!

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/CompareTwoWeeks.aspx


Drought Monitor for conus


AUGUST 16, 2022 BELOW

Drought is worse in the WCB compared to 3 weeks earlier

Drought Monitor for conus

July 26, 2022-update

       U.S. Drought Monitor

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/Maps/CompareTwoWeeks.aspx

Drought Monitor for conus



Image



         Drought monitor previous years:

Image

                                    


                          

By metmike - Oct. 11, 2022, 4:42 p.m.
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Not much help on the way!

7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126


Extended weather.


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

6 to 10 day outlooks

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8 to 14 Day Outlooks

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8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
 

                                    


            

                                    


            

                

                                                                                    

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                Re: Re: Re: drought in plains states effects shipping            

            

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                By metmike - Oct. 11, 2022, 2:17 p.m.            

            

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This is being caused by the La Nina!

The drought is being caused by the cool water anomalies in the tropical Pacific, the La Nina which has caused the 8 year global warming pause. The best thing to bust it would be global warming resuming with a planet warming El Nino!

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf


https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/ocean/sst/anomaly/index.html

Map of SST anomalies