KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:
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Started by tallpine - Oct. 23, 2022, 6:53 p.m.

Monday, October 24, 2022   



0830/1230  September CFNAI Chicago Fed National Activity Index

                       NAI (previous 0.00)

                       NAI, 3-mo Moving Avg (previous 0.01)

0945/1345  October US Flash Manufacturing PMI

                       PMI, Mfg (previous 51.8)

0945/1345  October US Flash Services PMI

                       PMI, Services (previous 49.2)



Tuesday, October 25, 2022 



8:55 AM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%

                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y%

                       Latest Wk, Y/Y%

9:00 AM ET. August U.S. Monthly House Price Index

9:00 AM ET. August S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Indices

                       10-City Idx, M/M% (previous -0.8%)

                       10-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +14.9%)

                       20-City Idx, M/M% (previous -0.8%)

                       20-City Idx, Y/Y% (previous +16.1%)

                       National Idx, M/M% (previous -0.3%)

                       National Idx, Y/Y% (previous +15.8%)

10:00 AM ET. October Richmond Fed Business Activity Survey

                       Mfg Idx (previous 0)

                       Shipments Idx (previous 14)

10:00 AM ET. October Consumer Confidence Index

                       Cons Conf Idx (previous 108)

                       Expectation Idx

                       Present Situation Idx (previous 149.6)

1:00 PM ET. September Money Stock Measures

4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin

                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls)



Wednesday, October 26, 2022 



7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey

                       Composite Idx (previous 204.6)

                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous -4.5%)

                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 164.2)

                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous -3.7%)

                       Refinance Idx (previous 394.6)

                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous -6.8%)



8:30 AM ET. September Advance Economic Indicators Report

10:00 AM ET. September New Residential Sales

                       New Home Sales (previous 685K)

                       New Home Sales, M/M% (previous +28.8%)

                       New Home Sales Months Supply (previous 8.1)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 437.357M)

                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -1.725M)

                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 209.368M)

                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -0.114M)

                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 106.187M)

                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +0.124M)

                       Refinery Usage (previous 89.5%)

                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day) (previous 20.761M)

                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day) (previous +1.49M)



Thursday, October 27, 2022 



8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter Advance estimate GDP

                       Annual Rate, Q/Q% (previous -0.6%)

                       Chain-Weighted Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +9.0%)

                       PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +7.3%)

                       Purchase Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +8.5%)

                       Real Final Sales 1st Est, Q/Q% (previous +1.3%)

                       Core PCE Price Idx, Q/Q% (previous +4.7%)

                       Personal Consumption, Q/Q% (previous +2.0%)



8:30 AM ET. September Advance Report on Durable Goods

                       Durable Goods-SA, M/M% (previous -0.2%)

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Defense, M/M% (previous -0.9%)

                       Dur Goods, Ex-Transport, M/M% (previous +0.2%)

                       Orders: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M%(previous +1.3%)

                       Shipmnts: Cap Gds, Non-Def, Ex-Air, M/M% (previous +0.3%)

                       

8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims

                       Jobless Claims (previous 214K)

                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -12K)

                       Continuing Claims (previous 1385000)

                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous +21K)



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report

                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 3342B)

                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +111B)

                       

11:00 AM ET. October Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing

                       Mfg Activity Idx (previous 2)

                       6-Mo Exp Prod Idx (previous 16)

                       Mfg Composite Idx (previous 1)

                       6-Mo Exp Composite Idx (previous 9)



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings

4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



Friday, October 28, 2022 



8:30 AM ET. September Personal Income & Outlays

                       Personal Income, M/M% (previous +0.3%)

                       Consumer Spending, M/M% (previous +0.4%)

                       PCE Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.3%)

                       PCE Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +6.2%)

                       PCE Core Price Idx, M/M% (previous +0.6%)

                       PCE Core Price Idx, Y/Y% (previous +4.9%)



8:30 AM ET. 3rd Quarter Employment Cost Index

                       ECI, Q/Q% (previous +1.3%)

                       ECI, Y/Y% (previous +5.1%)



10:00 AM ET. September Pending Home Sales Index

                       Pending Home Sales (previous 88.4)

                       Pending Home Sales Idx, M/M% (previous -2.0%)

                       Pending Home Sales Idx , Y/Y% (previous -24.2%)



10:00 AM ET. October University of Michigan Survey of Consumers - final

                       End-Mo Sentiment Idx (previous 58.6)

                       End-Mo Expectations Idx (previous 58.0)

                       12-Month Inflation Forecast (previous 4.7%)

                       5-Year Inflation Forecast (previous 2.7%)

                       End-Mo Current Idx (previous 59.7)



Comments
By metmike - Oct. 23, 2022, 8:32 p.m.
Like Reply

Thanks tallpine!

Rain in SOME places that need it in southeast Plains and mid/lower Miss River Valley. Missing in others.


Very mild and bearish natural gas in the high population centers of the Midwest and East. Massive injections as record supplies gush in to help refill storage before the end of the year. 

All the weather here:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/


7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

           

Extended weather.


https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

6 to 10 day outlooks

Click below for information about how to read 6-10 day outlook maps
 Temperature        Precipitation
Click below for archives of past outlooks (data & graphics), historical analogs to todays forecast, and other formats of the 6-10 day outlooks
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data

Temperature Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
Precipitation Probability

6 to 10 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
 
8 to 14 Day Outlooks

Click below for information about how to read 6-10 day outlook maps
 Temperature        Precipitation
Click below for archives of past outlooks (data & graphics), historical analogs to todays forecast, and other formats of the 8-14 day outlooks
ArchivesAnalogsLines-Only FormatGIS Data

Temperature Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Temperature Probability
Precipitation Probability

8 to 14 Day Outlook - Precipitation Probability
 

                        


            

                


By metmike - Oct. 23, 2022, 8:34 p.m.
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Just out 18z GFS ensemble precip the next 15 days. Most of it is this week:

This should help the lower Miss River levels and barge traffic.