Eric shows some interesting things that show up on radar in the first 2 minutes. and a discussion of possible MJO affects during march and april.( about 22 minutes to the end)

Feb 27, 2024 IN-DEPTH: Wildfires | Severe Storms | 50°F Swing in Temps | 3-6’ Snow West | MJO MOVES! (youtube.com)

Thanks, cutworm!

in his feb 28th in depth video he again discusses the possible effect of the MJO this time on the late march temperatures (starts about 24:10)

Feb 28, 2024 IN-DEPTH: 24-Hour Recap | 4-6’ of Snow West | Huge Temp Swings | MJO Discussion + March (youtube.com)

Thanks, cutworm,

I'll be back to posting more next week after our March 2nd chess tournament is over.

Mike

Mar 1, 2024 IN-DEPTH: 8-10’ of Snow | 70s in SD | March & April Fcst | 2012 v. 2024 | Brazil Drought

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UYXMRerJ9YY

+++++++++++++

26 minute point on this NOT CLOSE TO MARCH 2012 being an analog.

2012 had a MAJOR -PDO which is a major drought signal.

Nothing close to that in March 2024!

It can change in the Spring and long range forecasts have low skill.