USDA July 12, 2024
7 responses | 0 likes
Started by metmike - July 15, 2024, 1:08 p.m.

Sorry for the delay!

World Agricultural Supply
and Demand Estimate

https://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/wasde0724.pdf

More to come

Comments
By mcfarm - July 15, 2024, 4:04 p.m.
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bullish report to aid the sell off. makes sense

By metmike - July 15, 2024, 4:50 p.m.
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Thanks, mcfarm!

Bearish weather rules!

Here we go:


Karen Braun@kannbwx

USDA trims #Argentina's 2023/24 harvests of #corn & #soybeans but leaves #Brazil unchanged from last month. No movement in new-crop numbers yet.

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By metmike - July 15, 2024, 4:52 p.m.
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Karen Braun@kannbwx

Nothing out of the ordinary for 2024/25 U.S. #corn & #soybeans. Harvested acres from the June acreage report times the trend yields equals the production numbers below. Next month's yields will be survey-based and potentially more exciting.

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By metmike - July 15, 2024, 4:53 p.m.
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Karen Braun@kannbwx

U.S. #corn ending stocks come in well below expectations on a large increase in old-crop use. #Soybeans are also a bit below expectations but new-crop #wheat stocks came in high on a big crop projection.

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The corn numbers were rather surprising to most. Those old crop changes stemmed from the June 1 stock survey results (it appears) and a sufficient export book and this is the blurb on that from the front of the WASDE:

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Analysts' estimate of old-crop U.S. #corn stocks ahead of USDA's report on Friday was 9.2% above the actual - the most "bullish" result in at least 15 years. USDA reduced 2023/24 corn stocks by 7.2% from June, the largest June-July cut since 2010 (for 2009/10).

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By metmike - July 15, 2024, 4:54 p.m.
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Karen Braun@kannbwx

The 2024/25 U.S. #wheat crop is set to top 2 billion bushels, blowing over all the trade estimates. Other spring wheat production also landed well above all trade guesses, and all wheat production is projected to rise 11% from last year.

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By metmike - July 15, 2024, 4:55 p.m.
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Karen Braun@kannbwx

Big jump in new-crop world #wheat stocks due to USA/China. Russian wheat crop unch at 83 mmt. 24/25 China wheat imports +1mmt to 12mmt, #corn/#soybeans imports unch at 23/109. Trade nailed new-crop corn stocks but on accident (big miss in US), soybeans were near expectations.

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By metmike - July 15, 2024, 4:57 p.m.
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In July, WEATHER is KING!

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/

7 Day Total precipitation below:

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.govcdx /qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126

http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/p168i.gif?1530796126




Extended weather.



https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/

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