Previous Winter Storm threads:
Evansville Winter Storm 1-4-25+
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/109322/
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Midwest- Tracking the Winter Storm 1-4-25+
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/109316/
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Winter weather ahead 12-30-24
Started by metmike - Dec. 30, 2024, 10:04 p.m.
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/109248/
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Note: I'm still tethering off of a cell phone to use the computer because our internet, cable and landline phone service from Spectrum is down. Thanks to our son, Quinn for showing me how to do this!
Our lives in 2025 are SOOO dependent on the recent technologies that couldn't have been imagined by old people like me many decades ago.
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Get all the constantly updated weather here:
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/83844/
This one will track much farther south and be much weaker but possibly bring a couple inches of snow to Evansville.
1. 18z GEFS(American model)
2. 12z European Ensemble
3. Canadian model
This was the snowfall total forecast from the just out 12z GEFS.
This one gets close to Larry who lives in the Atlanta, GA area!
Evansville? Mostly much farther south but maybe an inch of snow? Possibly 2+ inches?
Theres still a question of when our EVSC schools will reopen because of bad roads from this last storm.
If there’s 2 inches of snow possible on Friday, when the Thursday forecast comes out, there will not be school on Friday and our chess tournament will be cancelled at McCutchanville on Saturday. Likely rescheduled for January 18th, the following Saturday.
2.5 inches for Evansville on this model below.
Latest numerical guidance snowfall prediction for Friday/Saturday around 2 inches.
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NWS messges:
12z European model:
Just under 2.5 inches for Evansville.
12z Canadian model:
Just over 2.5 inches for Evansville.
Still much uncertainty in amount of snow, so Evansville can still end up missing most of it, or getting several inches. It will all be very light, fluffy snow with no freezing rain and no sleet, no way.
Not a great deal of change, except for this next snow even getting closer, which is gradually increasing its likelyhood and the amounts in the forecast.
As a result, a Winter storm WATCH has been issued for a huge area of the South(pink is a Winter storm WARNING). Evansville in NOT included because we will likely see a weather advisory since the amounts of snow should be below the Winter Storm Warning criteria. The criteria for a Winter storm WATCH for just snow is usually 4+ inches (places farther south have a lower threshold because lower amounts of snow have a greater impact there).
It will all depends on the guidance when they issue the warning/advisories, probably later today.
Go to the link below, hit hazards box in the top right hand corner(it will also define all the color codes), if its not already in the hazards mode when you load the link.
Then you can hit any spot on the map, including where you live and it will go to that NWS with all the comprehensive local weather information for that/your county.
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Computer numerical guidance:
The latest models are still uncertain about how far north to take the accumulating snow. However, they all strongly agree on areas of HEAVY snow in the South, which rarely gets heavy snow, even though they don't agree on the amounts and exact locations. A band of 6+ inches will start in Northeast TX and extend east/northeast for a long distance.
For Evansville below. If I had to pick an amount, I'd be leaning towards 2 inches right now. There will be no school on Friday, even with that lower amount. It's still possible to get LESS than that.
1. 0z Canadian model with the most snow = 4+inches.
2. 6z GEFS model with ~3 inches of snow
3. 0z European model with only ~2" of snow.
This just out, 12z GEFS model has the blue, 2" band pretty far north of us. It's still 48 hours before the first flakes land so there's a chance of missing most of that.........but those chances are rapidly diminishing! The NWS is extremely likely to issue a Winter weather advisory for Evansville in the next 24 hours for Friday and Friday Night.
The timing has moved up a bit to an earlier Friday Morning start, then ending by midnight. This is a no school Friday forecast.
Noon update: The Canadian model continues to have the highest snow totals in Evansville. 3"+ on this just out 12z run. Note that Evansville is well into the 3rd level of blue below.
The NWS has issued a "cold weather advisory":
https://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=PAH&wwa=cold%20weather%20advisory
..COLD WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM CST /10 PM EST/ THIS EVENING TO AM CST /7 AM EST/ THURSDAY...
* WHAT...Very cold temperatures as low as 2 below expected.
* WHERE...Portions of southern Illinois, southwest Indiana, and western Kentucky.
* WHEN...From 9 PM CST /10 PM EST/ this evening to 6 AM CST /7 AM EST/ Thursday.
* IMPACTS...Frostbite and hypothermia will occur if unprotected skin is exposed to these temperatures.
