Trump spikes copper to record highs
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Started by metmike - July 8, 2025, 7:31 p.m.

Mr. Pathological Thinker came up with a new way to inject chaos into the markets to feed his galaxy sized ego at the expense of Americans and the world. 

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/copper

1. 1 day-can you tell when Trump made the announcement  

2. 1 week-after falling for several days, Copper spiked to record highs. 

3. 1 month

4. 1 year-The big drop lower in early April was also caused by Mr. Chaos. Expectations then that his tariffs would damage the economy and hurt demand for copper that time!

5. 10 years-Price is 2.5 times what it was a decade ago. Steepening slope of the up trending line. Major breakout today, well above previous highs. Probably hit tons of buy stops. 





Comments
By metmike - July 8, 2025, 7:43 p.m.
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Trump unveils a 50% tariff on copper and threatens to impose 200% duties on pharmaceuticals

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-unveils-a-50-tariff-on-copper-and-threatens-to-impose-200-duties-on-pharmaceuticals-181231693.html

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What Does $5/lb Copper Mean for the Building Wire Market?

https://www.copperweld.com/blog/what-does-5-lb-copper-mean-for-the-building-wire-market


As a result of these factors, the U.S. Department of Energy classified copper as a “Critical Material” in their 2023 report.3 This classification is reserved for a substance that the Secretary of Energy designates as “a high risk of supply chain disruption; and serves an essential function in one or more energy technologies.”4

What does this mean for the building wire market?

The greater a market’s reliance on a critical material, the greater its vulnerability to instability.

Few industries will feel the impact of record-setting copper price increases like the construction industry, which accounts for almost half (46%) of the nation’s copper supply. According to the United States Geological Survey (USGS), within the construction industry, building wire alone uses 20% of the total U.S. copper supply.5, 6 



The price of copper has an outsized impact on the price of building wire.

Steep increases in building wire costs

Over the past few months, builders and electrical contractors who use solid-copper building wire have felt the financial and administrative fallout of record-setting building wire costs. When copper prices spike, building costs soar, requiring copper price approvals, re-estimations, construction delays, and slower cycle times. These factors devastate budgets, reduce profits, and frustrate relationships.

By metmike - July 8, 2025, 7:47 p.m.
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List of countries by copper production

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_copper_production



Top 10 Copper-Producing Countries in 2024 (estimated)[1]
RankCountry/Region2024 Production (× 1000 tons)
1Chile Chile5,300
2Democratic Republic of the Congo Congo (Kinshasa)3,300
3Peru Peru2,600
4China China1,800
5United States United States1,100
6Indonesia Indonesia1,100
7Russia Russia930
8Australia Australia800
9Kazakhstan Kazakhstan740
10Mexico Mexico700



How things have changed in a century+ !!!!!!!


1907

RankCountry/regionProduction
(× 1000 tons)[2]
 World723
1United States United States399
2Mexico Mexico61
3Spain Spain and Portugal50
4Japan Japan50
5Australasia Australasia42
6Chile Chile27
7Germany Germany21
8Russia Russia15



By metmike - July 8, 2025, 10:43 p.m.
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Copper has continued strong in the early overnight trade.

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/copper


By cutworm - July 9, 2025, 10:19 a.m.
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On the demand side it has been talked about (on another venue) the volume needed for these new data centers is large.

By metmike - July 9, 2025, 10:33 a.m.
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WONDERFUL point, cutworm!


Why AI tools and data centres are driving copper demand

https://www.bhp.com/news/bhp-insights/2025/01/why-ai-tools-and-data-centres-are-driving-copper-demand


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AI data centers to drive 2% of global copper demand by 2030

https://theoregongroup.com/commodities/copper/ai-data-centers-to-drive-2-of-global-copper-demand-by-2030/

By metmike - July 9, 2025, 11:10 a.m.
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Potential top(short term speculative buying exhaustion) from the knee jerk reaction to the latest Trump tariff news about copper. 

This interpretation is VERY low for predictive value.

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/copper


By metmike - July 11, 2025, 3:37 p.m.
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Copper held its gains this week and is closing strong. This will put inflationary/upward pressure on prices in the United States as will all of Trumps wacko tariffs later this year. 

1. 1 week

2. 10 years. Accelerating uptrend. Huge upside breakout to record high prices. 

https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/copper