Maybe the most credible economist on the planet!

Whether one completely agrees with everything, we have to recognize his brilliance.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paul_Krugman

Paul Robin Krugman (/ˈkrʊɡmən/ ^ⓘ KRUUG-mən;^[4][5] born February 28, 1953)^[6] is an American economist who is the Distinguished Professor of Economics at the Graduate Center of the City University of New York.  He was a columnist for The New York Times from 2000 to 2024.^[7] In 2008, Krugman was the sole winner of the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his contributions to new trade theory and new economic geography.^[8] The Prize Committee cited Krugman's work explaining the patterns of international trade and the geographic distribution of economic activity, by examining the effects of economies of scale and of consumer preferences for diverse goods and services.^[9]

Krugman was previously a professor of economics at MIT, and later, at Princeton University from where he retired in June 2015, holding the title of professor emeritus there. He also holds the title of Centennial Professor at the London School of Economics.^[10] Krugman was President of the Eastern Economic Association in 2010,^[11] and is among the most influential economists in the world.^[12] He is known in academia for his work on international economics (including trade theory and international finance),^[13][14] economic geography, liquidity traps, and currency crises.

Krugman is the author or editor of 27 books, including scholarly works, textbooks, and books for a more general audience, and has published more than 200 scholarly articles in professional journals and edited volumes.^[15] He has also written several hundred columns on economic and political issues for The New York Times, Fortune and Slate. A 2011 survey of economics professors named him their favorite living economist under the age of 60.^[16] According to the Open Syllabus Project, Krugman is the second most frequently cited author on college syllabi for economics courses.^[17] As a commentator, Krugman has written on a wide range of economic issues including income distribution, taxation, macroeconomics, and international economics. Krugman considers himself a modern liberal, referring to his books, his blog on The New York Times, and his 2007 book The Conscience of a Liberal.^[18] His popular commentary has attracted widespread praise and criticism.^[19]

^{+++++++++++++++++++++++++++}

New trade theory

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_trade_theory

+++++++++++++++++++++++++

Krugman is likely biased with Trump because of his political affiliation but he uses facts and solid economic principles to support his points. With regards to Trump being in trouble, I would argue that it's even worse than he describes, believing there's an 80% chance that Trump won't finish his 2nd term. 

It could happen as early as 2026 but the most likely year for us to have President Vance for the first time is  2027. I'm basing this completely on authentic facts and  clear observations, independent of political views since I don't affiliate with either party.

++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Trump Is In FAR Deeper Trouble Than I Anticipated | Paul Krugman

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_xB6R5_5FFI