Trading ideas
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Started by tjc - March 19, 2026, 3:13 p.m.

  There appears to be a significant change in 'mood' in the time after 230 et.

  Sell positions in grains, cover metal shorts and go long, sell crude (advise put strategies), AND buy index.

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By fayq - March 19, 2026, 4:33 p.m.
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Metals may form a buying low is almost here but Strong buying emerge  near the cycle window around 25 March, with potential strength building into 8 April, which appears to be an important timing point.

For stock indices, another downside move is still possible, but the probability looks limited (around 30% chance).
After that, the market may recover toward the 6805 area, which is an important chart resistance / decision level. Break leads higher 6939 and 7070 >>7260 cna be Major top 

Summary outlook

  • Metals:
    • Cycle low → ~25 March
    • Strength window → ~8 April
  • Stock Indices:
    • Possible final dip (low probability)
    • Key upside level → 6805 zone
    • Reaction expected from this level
By metmike - March 20, 2026, 1:47 p.m.
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Thanks very much tjc and fayq!
 Personally, I wouldn't  trade in this environment even if you paid me to risk my money but everybody makes their own decisions based on their own situations.

But it's still fun and challenging to follow and try to predict what might happen in this unprecedented, extraordinarily captivating time. 

I would imagine that options in many markets are much more costly than they would be in normal times.

It's all about the NEWS.

At some point the war in Iran will end and/or the Gulf of Hormuz will open. If you could predict that point accurately you could make a ton of money being short in the oil market.