Extreme Weather
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Started by mojo - Jan. 31, 2019, 8:45 a.m.

Polar vortex in Midwest, record heat in Australia, weird warmth in Alaska. What's going on?

https://www.yahoo.com/news/extreme-weather-polar-vortex-midwest-230248620.html

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By metmike - Jan. 31, 2019, 1:53 p.m.
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I love it when you make weather posts mojo. Thanks much!

The mainstream media is hyping the weather again, as if it's unprecedented.........it's not.

When was the last time we had to Polar Vortex drop down like this?

5 years ago.


Do you remember Obama's climate czar with his damage control video about the cold that time, in 2014? With the cheering from one side that believed in this absurdity because their source gave them an explanation that helped reassure them that they could still believe the junk science on their busted climate models:

“Breathtaking”: The White House Releases Its Climate Heavy Hitter on the Polar Vortex

https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2014/01/john-holdren-video-polar-vortex/

“A growing body of evidence suggests that the kind of extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency as global warming continues,” Holdren asserts. Watch it:


So what really caused the polar vortex to be dislodged this far south then?

Answer on the next page(hint: it had nothing to do with man made climate change as we are being told)


By metmike - Jan. 31, 2019, 2:04 p.m.
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It was caused by a Sudden Stratospheric Warming a month ago:

Sudden Stratospheric Warming to likely cause Polar Vortex disruption; What it means for us

                Posted

https://www.mlive.com/weather/2018/12/sudden-stratospheric-warming-to-likely-cause-polar-vortex-disruption-what-it-means-for-us.html

How unusual is it for these events:

Sudden stratospheric warming

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sudden_stratospheric_warming

Dynamics

"In a usual northern-hemisphere winter, several minor warming events occur, with a major event occurring roughly every two years.  One reason for major stratospheric warmings to occur in the Northern hemisphere is because orography and land-sea temperature contrasts are responsible for the generation of long (wavenumber 1 or 2) Rossby waves in the troposphere. These waves travel upward to the stratosphere and are dissipated there, decelerating the winds and warming the Arctic. This is the reason that major warmings are only observed in the northern-hemisphere, with one exception. In 2002 a southern-hemisphere major warming was observed.[5][6] This event to date is not fully understood."


metmike: These events were  even more common during the 1970's during global cooling.

By metmike - Jan. 31, 2019, 2:07 p.m.
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The weather during the past 40 years has been the best in the last 1,000 years for life on this planet..........since the last time it was this warm, during the Medieval Warm Period.


You want extreme weather?

Let's look at the 1930's. Ever hear of the Dust Bowl?

https://www.epa.gov/climate-indicators/climate-change-indicators-high-and-low-temperatures

  • Line graph showing values of the U.S. Heat Wave Index for each year from 1895 to 2015.
    Download Data  Download Image  
      
      
    This figure shows the annual values of the U.S. Heat Wave Index from 1895 to 2015. These data cover the contiguous 48 states. Interpretation: An index value of 0.2 (for example) could mean that 20 percent of the country experienced one heat wave, 10 percent of the country experienced two heat waves, or some other combination of frequency and area resulted in this value.
By metmike - Jan. 31, 2019, 2:13 p.m.
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The decade with the most extreme heat and cold, by a wide margin was the 1930's. This is the decade that set the most all time state records for hottest and coldest temperatures. 


U.S. state temperature extremes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/U.S._state_temperature_extremes


Notice how very few of those records were set in recent years....during a time when the mainstream media is telling us we are having these historical temperature extremes.

The evidence provided here shows that this is "fake news".

How do they get away with that?

Because they have(had) more information than you and you didn't have the weather records.

But now you do!


By metmike - Jan. 31, 2019, 2:31 p.m.
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It would actually be more strange to not have periodic weather extremes like this, that have been occurring well before humans existed.

The part that is really  unprecedented this time and for the last decade+...............is the reporting of it to be unprecedented and or to be caused by man made climate change.


Now that you've seen the empirical data, you know that it's clearly NOT unprecedented.


Just like drought in California was not(the climate models actually predict a massive increase in precipitiaton for California), or the drought in 2012 was not from climate change(climate change is decreasing global drought and increasing rain) or Super Storm Sandy or the recent hurricanes. 

2018 did set an unprecedented record for tornadoes, however.

It was the first time in recorded history that we did not have an EF4 or stronger tornado. These type of violent tornadoes with winds greater than 200mph,  kill 67% of the people killed by tornadoes.

And climate change has been decreasing the most violent tornadoes by weakening the temperature gradient from north to south(warming the coldest places the most).

2018 will be the first year with no violent tornadoes in the United States


https://www.washingtonpost.com/

No violent tornadoes reported in US in 2018, first time since 1950

https://www.foxnews.com/science/no-violent-tornadoes-reported-in-us-in-2018-first-time-since-1950


2018 was an all-time record quiet year for tornadoes in the U.S.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2018/12/28/tornadoes-set-record-lows-2018-only-10-deaths-us/2431360002/

"Both the number of Americans killed by tornadoes and the number of violent tornadoes in the U.S. set record lows that have stood for decades. 

Tornadoes only killed 10 Americans in 2018, the fewest since unofficial records began in 1875 during the administration of President Ulysses S. Grant. The previous record low year for tornado deaths was 1910, when 12 people died, according to data from NOAA's National Severe Storms Laboratory."

I wonder why Fox news reported this but most of the mainstream media, like CNN, with their finely tuned instinctive reporters somehow missed it???

By metmike - Jan. 31, 2019, 2:37 p.m.
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You might these additional posts with authentic views on climate change to be of interest:

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/18326/

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/14777/

https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/10741/


By mojo - Jan. 31, 2019, 3:07 p.m.
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WOW!! That must've been a mighty powerful article for you counter it with six replies.   



By mcfarm - Jan. 31, 2019, 3:25 p.m.
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seems like it would be better to take mike's deep data on climate and the reasons, read them, spread the factual material and debate with the loons on the other side to correct some of the warming/change talk that most do  not dare to debate. Much like the abortion talk yesterday from NY and Virginia the extremes on the left want that debate shut down and if you challenge them they threaten you

By JP - Jan. 31, 2019, 6:06 p.m.
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“A growing body of evidence suggests that the kind of extreme cold being experienced by much of the United States as we speak is a pattern that we can expect to see with increasing frequency as global warming continues,” Holdren asserts.

Yes, because nothing will speed up global warming like a pattern of "extreme cold that we can expect to see with increasing frequency."    

By metmike - Jan. 31, 2019, 7:15 p.m.
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That video with the quote has been at the top of my favorites to pass on.


The funniest part about it is the media source that posted it. They tout it like: "Take that you global warming/climate change deniers!"

Obama just sent out the big dog (heavy hitter) and he just proved that extreme cold comes from global warming.

Must be part of that alternative universe, where up is down and down in up. You know, the one that the mainstream media sells using a speculative theory that exists on computer simulations going out the next 100 years that is the opposite of what's happening in this universe.


Global warming causes extreme cold to increase

Widespread, increasing precipitation.......... causes more drought

Record crop yields and plant growth....... results from the devastating effects of climate change on crops and plants

Increasing extreme weather........ caused record low tornadoes

Climate change threatening polar bears with extinction....... caused their population to explode higher by 30%.

Rapidly melting glaciers and Arctic/Antarctic ice............caused the rate of sea level increase to stay the same

Extreme and unprecedented weather/climate........... is from the best weather/climate for life on this planet in the last 1,000 years.

The hottest years in human history..............are almost as warm as the Medieval, Roman, and Minoan Warm Periods of the past, as recorded by humans. 

Natural climate cycles that effected global temperatures in the past.............have been abolished. Humans control climate now with CO2 emissions. 


By silverspiker - Jan. 31, 2019, 8:36 p.m.
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.... this is just tragic..... he was in his 2-nd year of college through honors programs before he even entered college at 

Univ of IOWA...... at -51 below zero..... alcohol was not a factor.... sounds like he slipped and cracked his noodle and 7 

minutes later he was an ice cube.... WOZWA

---------------------------------------------------------------------

Brutally cold weather believed to be what claimed the life of UI student

'He wanted to help people,' father says of Cedar Rapids native

IOWA CITY — Compassionate, smart, responsible, team player.

Those were the words being used to describe Gerald Belz, 18, a Cedar Rapids Kennedy High School graduate and first-year University of Iowa student who died Wednesday, most likely from the frigid weather, after being discovered unresponsive in an outdoor campus walkway.

His death is among at least six reported throughout the Midwest believed to be caused by the bitter cold that broke record low temperatures, canceled classes and delayed mail delivery.

A Cedar Rapids native, Belz was a pre-medicine student in his first year, but, according to the school, had earned enough credits to be considered a sophomore. He lived in the Burge Residence Hall, according to the Daily Iowan student newspaper.

Belz was found unresponsive before 3 a.m. Wednesday behind Halsey Hall on W. Jefferson Street, a popular cut-through from the nearby Iowa Memorial Union to the residence halls a short distance away. He was transported to the hospital, where he died.

UI police said the investigation into Belz’s death is ongoing, but believed to be weather related. No foul play was suspected, police said.

The student’s father, Michael Belz, said he was told by two doctors, a counselor and a UI police captain that his son’s death was not alcohol-related — that there “was zero alcohol found in his system.”

“We don’t want the memory of Gerald being that he was a young, underage college student out drinking,” he said.

Instead, Michael Belz said he hopes his son is remembered as someone who, though having a “quiet, tough exterior” in public, had deep compassion for others.

“That compassion, it’s part of the reason why he decided to study (in) the medical field,” Michael Belz said. “He has experienced the frustration of having a loved one with medical issues that have been difficult to be diagnosed or resolved. He was wanting to be a neurosurgeon or cardiologist, that was what his ultimate dream was to be. He wanted to help people.”

Brian White, a social studies teacher and the head football coach at Kennedy High, said Belz was a smart and responsible kid, who gave his all to playing football.

“He was a great kid,” White said. “He wasn’t one of our star football players; in fact he probably didn’t get on the field a whole lot on Friday nights. But … (he) played very hard every day. He was a very reliable young man that gave it everything he had and he always did things the right way. He was just a good kid.”

White said he has known the Belz family for years and has a son the same age. The boys grew up playing football.

Belz, he said, played for the Metro Youth Football Association in fourth and fifth grades and played middle school football in seventh and eighth grades. At Kennedy, the coach said, Belz played on the freshman team, then the sophomore team and then in his junior and senior years the varsity team.

White said Belz played running back, “so he sometimes took a little bit of a beating, but he didn’t care. He always just played hard and he never complained. You know, he was part of our team — he was part of our family.”

Additionally, Belz excelled in his classes.

“He was a very smart kid — an (advanced placement) student,” White said. “He was in my government class, which was a senior-level class, as a junior and was the top performer in the class. He was incredibly intelligent and a critical thinker and he did a fantastic job tackling complex topics in the class.”

When Belz graduated high school in 2018, his father said, he joined the Cedar Rapids Head Hunters Rugby Club.

Belz’s death is one of at least six linked to the polar vortex storm that Tuesday started hitting the Midwest.

The Washington Post reported that a man found dead Wednesday outside in a Detroit suburb likely froze to death, according to police. Another man in Detroit also is suspected to have frozen to death, the Detroit Free Press reported. Additionally, three other deaths in Milwaukee, Rochester, Minn., and Peoria, Ill., may have been weather-related, according to The Post.

Temperatures Wednesday morning broke record lows in the Corridor, hitting 25 below zero and besting the record of 22 below set in 1951.

And more record-breaking lows are expected Thursday, according to weather service, with temperatures predicted to reach 29 below zero, which would beat the record low of minus 21 set on the same day in 1996. If temperatures reach 29 below, that would tie the coldest temperature on record for January, which was set on Jan. 15, 2009. The weather service records date to 1893.

A wind chill warning is in effect until 10 a.m. Thursday. While most K-12 schools in the Corridor again canceled classes for Thursday, state universities including the UI will resume classes by midday.

Kennedy High School Principal Jason Kline said grief counselors will be available when the school reopens, and the UI said counselors will be available from 6-8 p.m. Thursday in the Burge Private Dining Room.

“This is a tragic situation,” Coach White said. “Personally I just I can’t help but think of his parents — his mom and dad — and what they must be going through right now. He was such a good kid, such a trustworthy kid, and it’s just awful when young people have their entire lives in front of them and their lives are cut short. It just makes you think and puts a lot of things in perspective.”

l Comments: (319) 398-8238; kat.russell@thegazette.com




By metmike - Jan. 31, 2019, 8:49 p.m.
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Sorry to read about this tragic loss.