Exhaustive study finds more CO2 and water molecules will not cause dangerous warming
David Wojick, Ph.D.
https://wattsupwiththat.com/2020/11/29/slight-beneficial-warming-from-more-carbon-dioxide/
Precision research by physicists William Happer and Willem van Wijngaarden has determined that the current levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide and water vapor are “saturated.” In radiation physics that means adding more CO2 or water molecules will bring modest warming that will benefit plant growth, and thus all life on Earth. More CO2 and H2O will not cause dangerous warming.
From this point forward, emissions from burning fossil fuels will bring little additional global warming, and what does occur will improve forests, grasslands and agriculture. There is no climate emergency.
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2006.03098.pdf
Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on Five Most Abundant Greenhouse Gases
W. A. van Wijngaarden1and W. Happer21
Department of Physics and Astronomy, York University, Canada, wlaser@yorku.ca2Department of Physics, Princeton University, USA, happer@Princeton.edu June 8, 2020
The atmospheric temperatures and concentrations of Earth’s five most important, green-house gases, H2O, CO2, O3, N2O and CH4control the cloud-free, thermal radiative fluxfrom the Earth to outer space. Over 1/3 million lines having strengths as low as 10−27cmof the HITRAN database were used to evaluate the dependence of the forcing on the gas concentrations. For a hypothetical, optically thin atmosphere, where there is negligible sat-uration of the absorption bands, or interference of one type of greenhouse gas with others,the per-molecule forcings are of order 10−22W for H2O, CO2, O3, N2O and CH4. For cur-rent atmospheric concentrations, the per-molecule forcings of the abundant greenhouse gases H2O and CO2 are suppressed by four orders of magnitude. The forcings of the less abundant greenhouse gases, O3, N2O and CH4, are also suppressed, but much less so. For current concentrations, the per-molecule forcings are two to three orders of magnitude greater for O3, N2O and CH4, than those of H2O or CO2. Doubling the current concentrations of CO2,N2O or CH4 increases the forcings by a few per cent. These forcing results are close to previously published values even though the calculations did not utilize either a CO2or H2O continuum. The change in surface temperature due to CO2 doubling is estimated taking into account radiative-convective equilibrium of the atmosphere as well as water feedback for the cases of fixed absolute and relative humidities as well as the effect of using a pseudoadiabatic lapse rate to model the troposphere temperature. Satellite spectral measurements at various latitudes are in excellent quantitative agreement with modelled intensities.1arXiv:2006.03098v1 [physics.ao-ph] 4 Jun 2020
Happer’s numerous peer-reviewed journal articles have collectively garnered over 12,000 citations by other researchers.
In their study, Professors Happer and van Wijngaarden (H&W) analyzed saturation physics in painstaking detail. Their preprint, “Dependence of Earth’s Thermal Radiation on Five Most Abundant Greenhouse Gases,” goes far beyond any work done previously on this complex problem.
metmike: This is no lightweight, so the MSM ignoring his findings is clearly related to them having already decided not to publish authentic information that contradicts the fake climate crisis narrative.
Here is much more evidence to support this that has come out recently:
https://www.marketforum.com/forum/topic/57636/
It's clear that authentic science which shows conclusively that we are not having a climate emergency/crisis is being censored.
They stated almost 2 decades ago "The science is settled and the Debate is over" and they meant it.
Anybody that has authentic science that disputes their speculative theory is smeared and called a denier(of their manufactured science) and no debate is allowed.
It's a done deal.
And it is............so that the Climate Accord and march to global socialism can proceed via a fake climate crisis........using an agreement that includes a transfer of wealth from the rich to the poor countries and a discontinuation of the fossil fuels that are causing rich countries to be too rich and over consume natural resources at an unsustainable pace(in the eyes of the UN).
While doing almost nothing to affect the climate because its a complete ruse.
Hiya metmike
Just wanted to say that I smelled a rat during the first couple months of sudden and powerful "The sky is falling" alarm rhetoric coming out through popular media channels.
That must have been,oh,15 years or so past.
Sure we all had heard of the great hole in our ozone layer,but this blast of false science was obviously painfully bogus immediately! You mean to tell me that during a one month period we discovered the earth will be flooded by melting ice caps and y'alls better get your affairs in order pronto?!!
I'm no phd but i have a degree in agronomy and have been schooled in science and the scientific method(which, by the way, I feel is basic simple logic). So just using simple logic I concluded that these type of climate changes are much too monstrous to have happened over last night and this morning. Who were they kidding?
Yet they sure have succeeded haven't they?
Anyway I'm pretty tired of hearing the fear mongering. Glad to see some folks are coming to their senses and/or some truth is getting published. Now weve got to get folks to read and think about this stuff-thanks for all you do!
John
YW John!
They've been feeding us this line of crapola for over 3 decades now!
But now we've got the technology and studies and data and understanding to know this is NOT going to happen.
The speculative theory of catastrophic human caused climate change from 3 decades ago is busted badly! It's long, long past time to change it.
PETER JAMES SPIELMANN June 29, 1989
https://apnews.com/article/bd45c372caf118ec99964ea547880cd0
UNITED NATIONS (AP) _ A senior U.N. environmental official says entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels if the global warming trend is not reversed by the year 2000.
Coastal flooding and crop failures would create an exodus of ″eco- refugees,′ ′ threatening political chaos, said Noel Brown, director of the New York office of the U.N. Environment Program, or UNEP.
He said governments have a 10-year window of opportunity to solve the greenhouse effect before it goes beyond human control.
As the warming melts polar icecaps, ocean levels will rise by up to three feet, enough to cover the Maldives and other flat island nations, Brown told The Associated Press in an interview on Wednesday.
Coastal regions will be inundated; one-sixth of Bangladesh could be flooded, displacing a fourth of its 90 million people. A fifth of Egypt’s arable land in the Nile Delta would be flooded, cutting off its food supply, according to a joint UNEP and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency study.
″Ecological refugees will become a major concern, and what’s worse is you may find that people can move to drier ground, but the soils and the natural resources may not support life. Africa doesn’t have to worry about land, but would you want to live in the Sahara?″ he said.
UNEP estimates it would cost the United States at least $100 billion to protect its east coast alone.
Shifting climate patterns would bring back 1930s Dust Bowl conditions to Canadian and U.S. wheatlands, while the Soviet Union could reap bumper crops if it adapts its agriculture in time, according to a study by UNEP and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis.
Excess carbon dioxide is pouring into the atmosphere because of humanity’s use of fossil fuels and burning of rain forests, the study says. The atmosphere is retaining more heat than it radiates, much like a greenhouse.
The most conservative scientific estimate that the Earth’s temperature will rise 1 to 7 degrees in the next 30 years, said Brown.
The difference may seem slight, he said, but the planet is only 9 degrees warmer now than during the 8,000-year Ice Age that ended 10,000 years ago.
Brown said if the warming trend continues, ″the question is will we be able to reverse the process in time? We say that within the next 10 years, given the present loads that the atmosphere has to bear, we have an opportunity to start the stabilizing process.″
He said even the most conservative scientists ″already tell us there’s nothing we can do now to stop a ... change″ of about 3 degrees.
″Anything beyond that, and we have to start thinking about the significant rise of the sea levels ... we can expect more ferocious storms, hurricanes, wind shear, dust erosion.″
He said there is time to act, but there is no time to waste.
UNEP is working toward forming a scientific plan of action by the end of 1990, and the adoption of a global climate treaty by 1992. In May, delegates from 103 nations met in Nairobi, Kenya - where UNEP is based - and decided to open negotiations on the treaty next year.
Nations will be asked to reduce the use of fossil fuels, cut the emission of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases such as methane and fluorocarbons, and preserve the rain forests."
metmike: This is all a big fat ruse to bring about global socialism/Marxism and to cause the rich countries to stop consuming things at an unsustainable rate.
The reality is that we rescued the planet from near CO2 starvation, when CO2 was at less than 300 ppm.
This is why the increase in CO2 is massively greening up the planet. If we are killing the planet, why is it greening up?
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2016/carbon-dioxide-fertilization-greening-earth
From a quarter to half of Earth’s vegetated lands has shown significant greening over the last 35 years largely due to rising levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide, according to a new study published in the journal Nature Climate Change on April 25.
An international team of 32 authors from 24 institutions in eight countries led the effort, which involved using satellite data from NASA’s Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer instruments to help determine the leaf area index, or amount of leaf cover, over the planet’s vegetated regions. The greening represents an increase in leaves on plants and trees equivalent in area to two times the continental United States.
This image shows the change in leaf area across the globe from 1982-2015.Credits: Boston University/R. Myneni"However, carbon dioxide fertilization isn’t the only cause of increased plant growth—nitrogen, land cover change and climate change by way of global temperature, precipitation and sunlight changes all contribute to the greening effect."