INO Evening Market Comments
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Started by tallpine - July 19, 2021, 4:14 p.m.

KEY EVENTS TO WATCH FOR:



Tuesday, July 20, 2021 



7:45 AM ET. Weekly Chain Store Sales Index



8:30 AM ET. June New Residential Construction - Housing Starts and Building Permits



                       Total Starts (previous 1.572M)



                       Housing Starts, M/M% (previous +3.6%)



                       Building Permits (previous 1.681M)



                       Building Permits, M/M% (previous -3.0%)



8:55 PM ET. Johnson Redbook Retail Sales Index



                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, M/M%



                       Ret Sales Mo-to-Date, Y/Y% (previous +11.1%)



                       Latest Wk, Y/Y% (previous +14.0%)



4:30 PM ET. API Weekly Statistical Bulletin



                       Crude Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -4.1M)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous -1.5M)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbls) (previous +3.7M)



Wednesday, July 21, 2021 



7:00 AM ET. MBA Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey



                       Composite Idx (previous 727.5)



                       Composite Idx, W/W% (previous +16.0%)



                       Purchase Idx-SA (previous 273.3)



                       Purchase Idx-SA, W/W% (previous +8.3%)



                       Refinance Idx (previous 3361.5)



                       Refinance Idx, W/W% (previous +20.4%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report



                       Crude Oil Stocks (Bbl) (previous 437.6M)



                       Crude Oil Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous -7.9M)



                       Gasoline Stocks (Bbl) (previous 236.5M)



                       Gasoline Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +1.0M)



                       Distillate Stocks (Bbl) (previous 142.3M)



                       Distillate Stocks, Net Chg (Bbl) (previous +3.7M)



                       Refinery Usage



                       Total Prod Supplied (Bbl/day)



                       Total Prod Supplied, Net Chg (Bbl/day)



  N/A              IMF World Economic Outlook Update



Thursday, July 22, 2021 



8:30 AM ET. Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report - Initial Claims



                       Jobless Claims (previous 360K)



                       Jobless Claims, Net Chg (previous -26K)



                       Continuing Claims (previous 3241000)



                       Continuing Claims, Net Chg (previous -126K)



8:30 AM ET. U.S. Weekly Export Sales



                       Corn (Metric Tons) (previous 272K)



                       Soybeans (Metric Tons) (previous 312.5K)



                       Wheat (Metric Tons) (previous 424.7K)



8:30 AM ET. June CFNAI Chicago Fed National Activity Index



                       NAI (previous 0.29)



                       NAI, 3-mo Moving Avg (previous 0.81)



9:45 AM ET. Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index



10:00 AM ET. June Existing Home Sales



                       Existing Sales (previous 5.8M)



                       Existing Sales, M/M% (previous -0.9%)



                       Unsold Homes Month's Supply (previous 2.5)



                       Median Price (USD) (previous 350300)



                       Median Home Price, Y/Y% (previous +23.6%)



10:00 AM ET. June Leading Indicators



                       Leading Index, M/M% (previous +1.3%)



                       Leading Index (previous 114.5)



                       Coincident Index, M/M% (previous +0.4%)



                       Lagging Index, M/M% (previous -2.2%)



10:30 AM ET. EIA Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report



                       Working Gas In Storage (Cbf) (previous 2629B)



                       Working Gas In Storage, Net Chg (Cbf) (previous +55B)

                       

11:00 AM ET. July Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Survey of Tenth District Manufacturing



                       Mfg Activity Idx (previous 30)



                       6-Mo Exp Prod Idx (previous 44)



                       Mfg Composite Idx (previous 27)



                       6-Mo Exp Composite Idx (previous 32)



4:30 PM ET. Federal Discount Window Borrowings



4:30 PM ET. Foreign Central Bank Holdings



Friday, July 23, 2021 



9:45 AM ET. July US Flash Manufacturing PMI



                       PMI, Mfg (previous 62.6)



9:45 AM ET. July US Flash Services PMI



                       PMI, Services (previous 64.8)



The STOCK INDEXES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=indexes



The Dow gapped down and closed sharply lower on Monday as investors dump stocks and move into haven assets such as bonds as a rise of the delta variant of the coronavirus raised concerns over the economic recovery. Additional selling pressure came from increased tensions between the U.S. and China. Commodity, financial and industrial stocks led the decline in the S&P 500, which posted its largest loss since May. Airlines and cruise ship stocks fell due to rising concerns over further travel restrictions.The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If the Dow extends today's decline, June's low crossing at 33,281.93 is the next downside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at 34,687.26 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is Today's gap crossing at 34,647.82. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 35,091.56. First support is today's low  crossing at 33,741.76. Second support is June's low crossing at 33,271.93. 



The September NASDAQ 100 closed sharply lower on Monday and closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 14,595.75 signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off last-Tuesday's high, the 50-day moving average crossing at 14,016.51 is the next downside target. If September renews this year's rally into uncharted territory, upside targets will be hard to project.First resistance is last-Tuesday's high crossing at 14,996.00. Second resistance is unknown. First support is today's low crossing at 14,445.00. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 14,016.51. 



The September S&P 500 closed sharply lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at 4228.65 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews this year's rally upside targets are hard to project. First resistance is last-Tuesday's high  crossing at 4384.50. Second resistance is unknown. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 4228.65. Second support is June's low crossing at 4126.75.  



INTEREST RATES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=interest ""



September T-bonds closed up 2-04/32's at 165-30. 

  

September T-bonds closed sharply higher on Monday driven by investors moving out of stocks and into bond as they seek safe havens to park their money. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally of May's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 167-00 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 161-20 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 167-00. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 169-10. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 161-20. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 158-23.  



September T-notes closed up 270-pts at 134.200.



September T-notes closed sharply higher on Monday as it renewed the rally off March's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are becoming overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off April's low, the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 135.121 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 132.302 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 75% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 135.121. Second resistance is the 87% retracement level of the 2020-2021-decline crossing at 136.087. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 132.302. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at 132.106.  



ENERGY MARKETS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=energy ""



September crude oil closed sharply lower on Monday as an increase in cases of the Delta variant of the coronavirus rattled investors over the uncertainty of the economic recovery. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off July's high, the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $64.67 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $72.41 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $69.07. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $76.98. Third resistance is the November-2014 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $80.98.First support is the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $64.67. Second support is May's low crossing at $61.06.   




September heating oil closed sharply lower on Monday and below the July 8th low crossing at $205.36 signaling that a short-term top has been posted. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night trading session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends today's decline, May's low crossing at $191.71 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $213.33 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is July's high crossing at $221.01. Second resistance is the October-2018 high crossing at $228.75. First support is the May 21st low crossing at $195.38. Second support is May's low crossing at $191.71.    



September unleaded gas closed sharply lower on Monday and below the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.1667 confirming that a short-term top has been posted while opening the door for additional weakness near-term. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends today's decline, May's low crossing at $1.9926 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at $2.2318 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $2.1667. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $2.3123. First support is today's low crossing at $2.0747. Second support is May's low crossing at 1.9926.  



September Henry natural gas closed higher on Monday as it extends the trading range of the past three-weeks. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September renews the rally off May's low, the December-2016 on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 3.994 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.570 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is July's high crossing at 3.789. Second resistance is the December-2016 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at 3.994. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at 3.570. Second support is the July 7th low crossing at 3.495.  



CURRENCIES? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=currencies ""



The September Dollar closed higher on Monday as it extends the rally off May's low The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off May's low, March's high crossing at 93.43 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing 92.31 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is the 87% retracement level of the March-May-decline crossing at 92.93. Second resistance is March's high crossing at 93.43. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing 92.31. Second support is the June 23rd low crossing at 91.51.  



The September Euro closed lower on Monday as it extended the decline off May's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off May's high, March's low crossing at 117.47 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 118.77 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 118.77. Second resistance is the June 26th high crossing at 119.95. First support is today's low crossing at 117.76. Second support is March's low crossing at 117.47.



The September British Pound closed sharply lower on Monday as it renewed the decline off June's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off June's high, the 25% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at 1.3578 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Monday's high crossing at 1.3913 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Monday's high crossing at 1.3913. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.4005. First support is today's low crossing at 1.3657. Second support is April's low crossing at 1.3678.

 

The September Swiss Franc closed slightly higher on Monday.The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September renews the decline off June's high, the 75% retracement level of the March-May-rally crossing at 1.0744 is the next downside target. If September renews the rally off July's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.1035 is the next upside target. First resistance is last-Thursday's high crossing at 1.0984. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 1.1035. First support is the 75% retracement level of the March-May-rally crossing at 1.0775. Second support is the 87% retracement level of the March-May-rally crossing at 1.0701.



The September Canadian Dollar plunged to its lower level since January on Monday as it extended the decline off June's high. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off June's high, the January 28th low crossing at 77.72 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 80.35 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is the 20-day moving average crossing at 80.35. Second resistance is the July 6th high crossing at 81.28. First support is the January 28th low crossing at 77.72. Second support is the December 21st low crossing at 77.30.



The September Japanese Yen closed higher on Monday and above the 50-day moving average crossing at 0.091095 signaling that a short-term low has been posted. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday’s night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, May's high crossing at 0.092295 is the next upside target. If September renews the decline off April's high, weekly support on the continuation chart crossing at 0.089205 is the next downside target. First resistance is the May 25th high crossing at 0.092170. Second resistance is May's high crossing at 0.092295. First support is July's low crossing at 0.089605. Second support is weekly support crossing at 0.089205.



PRECIOUS METALS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=metals ""



August gold closed lower on Monday as it consolidates some of the rally off June's low. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $1793.70 is the next downside target. If August resumes the rally off June's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $1838.60 is the next upside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $1838.60. Second resistance is the June 11th high crossing at $1906.20. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $1793.70. Second support is June's low crossing at $1750.10.  



September silver closed lower on Monday as it marked a downside breakout of the trading range of the past three-weeks. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI have turned bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends the decline off May's high, the April 13th low crossing at 24.800 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Wednesday's high crossing at 26.575 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is July's high crossing at 26.910. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 27.078. First support is the April-13th low crossing at 24.800. Second support is March's low crossing at 23.825.  



September copper closed lower on Monday as it extends the trading range of the past three-weeks.The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends today's decline, June's low crossing at 409.40 is the next downside target. Closes above July's high crossing at 440.25 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is July's high crossing at 440.25. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at 444.89. First support is June's low crossing at 409.40. Second support is the April 12th low crossing at 400.00. 



GRAINS? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



December Corn closed up $0.00 1/4-cent at $5.52 1/4. 



December corn closed fractionally higher on Monday after opening solidly higher this morning. Spillover weakness from the equity markets triggered a sell off during the session pulling the market into negative territory. However, extended weather forecast for much of the upper Midwest offered support and led to a short covering bounce that allowed the market to close fractionally higher on the day. Today's low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night sessions begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If December extends the aforementioned rally, the July 6th gap crossing at $5.73 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes above the July 6th gap crossing at $5.73 1/2 would open the door for a possible test of July's high crossing at $6.11 1/4. If December renews the decline off July's high, May's low crossing at $5.00 1/4 is the next downside target. First resistance the 50-day moving average crossing at $5.61 1/4. Second resistance is the July 6th gap crossing at $5.73 1/2. First support is July's low crossing at $5.07. Second support is May's low crossing at $5.00 1/4.   



September wheat closed up $0.05 1/4-cents at $6.97 3/4.  



September wheat closed higher on Monday as it extended the rally off July's low.The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the aforementioned rally, the 75% retracement level of the May-July-decline crossing at $7.28 1/4 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.47 1/2 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $7.09 1/2. Second resistance is the 75% retracement level of the May-July-decline crossing at $7.28 1/4. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $6.74. Second support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $6.52 1/4.



September Kansas City Wheat closed up $0.00 3/4-cents at $6.52 1/4.

 

September Kansas City wheat closed fractionally higher on Monday as it extended the rally off July's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to slightly higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the aforementioned rally, the 62% retracement level of the May-July-decline crossing at $6.81 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.15 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is July's high crossing at $6.69. Second resistance is the 62% retracement level of the May-July-decline crossing at $6.81 1/2 is the next upside target. First support is the 10-day moving average crossing at $6.15. Second support is July's low crossing at $5.78 1/4.  



September Minneapolis wheat closed up $0.06 1/2-cents at $9.23 3/4. 



September Minneapolis wheat closed higher for the seventh-day in a row on Monday as it extends this year's rally. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off June's low, the September-2011 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $9.83 1/2 is the next upside target. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.34 1/4 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. First resistance is today's high crossing at $9.44 1/2. Second resistance is the September-2012 high on the monthly continuation chart crossing at $9.83 1/4. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $8.34 1/4. Second support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $7.84. 

       

SOYBEAN COMPLEX? http://quotes.ino.com/ex?changes/?c=grains "



November soybeans closed down $0.19-cents at $13.72 3/4.



November soybeans posted a key reversal down with today's lower close as it consolidates some of the rally off June's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are poised to turn neutral to bearish with additional weakness that would signal a potential double top with July's high was posted today. Closes below the 20-day moving average crossing at $13.40 1/2 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If November extends the rally off June's low, July's high crossing at $14.23 is the next upside target.First resistance is July's high crossing at $14.23. Second resistance is June's high crossing at $14.80. First support is the 20-day moving average crossing at $13.40 1/2. Second support is June's low crossing at $12.40 1/2.



December soybean meal closed down $1.80 to $364.40. 



December soybean meal posted a key reversal down as it closed lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral signaling that sideways trading is possible near-term. If December extends the rally off last-Tuesday's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $383.40 is the next upside target. If December renews the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at $347.00 is the next downside target. First resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $383.40. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $392.70. First support is July's low crossing at $355.20. Second support is June's low crossing at $347.00.       



December soybean oil closed down 214-pts. at 63.08. 



December soybean oil posted a key reversal down as it closed sharply lower on Monday signaling that a possible double top with June's high was posted today. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are poised to turn neutral to bearish with additional weakness. Closes below the July 7th low crossing at 58.03 would confirm that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends the rally off June's low, June's high crossing at 67.06 is the next upside target. First resistance is today's high crossing at 66.34. Second resistance is June's high crossing at 67.06. First support is the July 7th low crossing at 58.03. is the June 25th low crossing at 56.66.      

 

LIVESTOCKhttp://quotes.ino.com/exchanges/?c=livestock 



August hogs closed down $1.23 at $104.43. 



August hogs closed lower on Monday. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Tuesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought but remain neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If August extends the rally off June's low, the 50-day moving average crossing at $108.40 is the next upside target. If August renews the decline off June's high, the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $95.71 is the next downside target. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $106.80. Second resistance is the 50-day moving average crossing at $108.40. First support is June's low crossing at $96.50. Second support is the 50% retracement level of the 2020-2021-rally crossing at $95.71.  



August cattle closed down $0.03 at $120.15. 



August cattle closed lower on Monday. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI have turned neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If August renews the decline off June's high, the June 8th low crossing at $117.23 is the next downside target. Closes above last-Wednesday's high crossing at $122.60 would signal that a short-term low has been posted. First resistance is last-Wednesday's high crossing at $122.60. Second resistance is July's high crossing at $124.33. First support is the July 9th low crossing at $118.85. Second support is the June 8th low at $117.23. Third support is June's low crossing at $114.63. 



August Feeder cattle closed up $1.80 at $157.43. 



August feeder cattle posted a key reversal up as it closed higher on Monday due to spillover weakness from the soybean complex. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Closes below the 50-day moving average crossing at $154.16 would open the door for a test of the June 14th gap crossing at $151.90. If August renews the rally off May's low, April's high crossing at $162.40 is the next upside target. First resistance is July's high crossing at $161.10. Second resistance is April's high crossing at $162.40. First support is the 50-day moving average crossing at $154.16. Second support is the June 14th gap crossing at $151.90.  



FOOD & FIBERhttp://quotes.ino.com/ex changes/?c=food 



September coffee closed lower on Monday as it consolidated some of the rally off July's low. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If September extends the rally off July's low, July's high crossing at $164.65 is the next upside target. Closes below the 10-day moving average crossing at $153.94 would signal that a short-term top has been posted. If September renews the decline off July's high, May's low crossing at 14.15 is the next downside target.               



September cocoa closed sharply lower on Monday as it plunged to a new low for the year. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If September extends today's decline, the  87% retracement level of 2020's rally crossing at 22.03 is the next downside target. Multiple closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 23.54 would signal that a short-term low has been posted.                      



October sugar closed sharply lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are turning neutral to bullish signaling that sideways to higher prices are possible near-term. If October extends last-week's rally, July's high crossing at 18.49 is the next upside target. If October renews the decline off July's high, June's low crossing at 16.44 the next downside target.       



December cotton closed sharply lower on Monday. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening on Tuesday. Stochastics and the RSI are overbought and are turning neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. Today's close below the 20-day moving average crossing at 87.31 confirms that a short-term top has been posted. If December extends today's decline, the 50-day moving average crossing at 85.74 is the next downside target. If December renews the rally off May's low, weekly resistance on the continuation chart crossing at 91.66 is the next upside target.   

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